Crafts · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1740864 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +701.74₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 715.08₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 416.82₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +40.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 446.30₽ · profit at most −2 029.48₽ (at most -45.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 136.93 → 295.77 ₽
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 1578.15 → 4150.53 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+701.74 ₽ +40.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
  • 9× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1658
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+2 180.22 ₽ +45.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection
+683.34 ₽ +35.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+569.86 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
  • 1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+566.11 ₽ +29.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1642
  • 1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+558.67 ₽ +28.9% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 2× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 1× P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
136.93 ₽
at 136.93
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004821f′ (normalized) 0.007417wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 015 · good ≈ 16
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 213.05 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 204) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1658
1 578.15 ₽
at 175.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165842f′ (normalized) 0.165842wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 432 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 320 · from 615.88 ₽ (float 0.1576) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 1 715.08 ₽ +701.74 (+40.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.115500, 0.105000, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Minimal Wear
3 083.93 ₽ 45.00%
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear)net 2681.68 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 867.76 ₽ (you get 2 493.70)) · buy orders: 1611 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 097.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 300.00 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 2 077.21 ₽ listings: 246 on CS.Money: ~ 2 398.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 207.41 ₽ listings: 499
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Minimal Wear
2 961.50 ₽ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear)net 2575.22 you get 0.150000The Train 2025 Collection sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 884.02 ₽ (you get 2 507.84)) · buy orders: 1571 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 369.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 598.57 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 2 266.51 ₽ listings: 146 on CS.Money: ~ 2 319.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 306.77 ₽ listings: 324
at a loss
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Minimal Wear
738.85 ₽ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)net 642.48 you get 0.115500 sells 1667 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 580.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 636.20 · lots 235 on CSFloat: from 573.91 ₽ listings: 800 on CS.Money: ~ 579.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 579.91 ₽ listings: 556
at a loss
worst
P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
461.01 ₽ 3.33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)net 400.88 you get 0.105000 sells 252 a week sell now to a buy order: 466.64 ₽ (you get 405.77)) · buy orders: 9851 sell on Market.CSGO: 337.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 370.00 · lots 116 on CSFloat: from 341.78 ₽ listings: 317 on CS.Money: ~ 346.06 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 350.34 ₽ listings: 198
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
567.10 ₽ 3.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)net 493.13 you get 0.150000 sells 237 a week sell now to a buy order: 557.49 ₽ (you get 484.77)) · buy orders: 9806 sell on Market.CSGO: 459.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 504.20 · lots 38 on CSFloat: from 410.30 ₽ listings: 182 on CS.Money: ~ 445.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 446.28 ₽ listings: 151
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