Crafts · The Recoil Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1740925 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +53.47$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 126.48$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 179.95$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +42.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 295.61$ · profit at most −115.66$ (at most -39.1%) · chance of profit at most 5%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 50.72 → 127.30 $
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 46.58 → 105.26 $
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 29.19 → 63.04 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection
+53.47 $ +42.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) · 652.24 $ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 1× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1639
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+428.31 $ +149.8% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 1 496.81 $ · chance 5.0%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+395.19 $ +155.1% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 901.60 $ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+258.83 $ +55.5% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 1 371.02 $ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0089
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0802
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0089
Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection
+56.90 $ +56.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 262.31 $ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+55.65 $ +56.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 262.31 $ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
50.72 $
at 8.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074838f′ (normalized) 0.106912wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 65.24 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 56 · from 13.28 $ (float 0.0707) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0042
46.58 $
at 15.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004233f′ (normalized) 0.006048wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 84 · from 50.86 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1639
29.19 $
at 29.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163910f′ (normalized) 0.163910wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 28 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 57) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 126.48 $ +53.47 (+42.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.082352841 result 0.057647, 0.070000, 0.082353, 0.052706 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
61.88 $ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)net 53.81 you get 0.057647 sells 32 a week sell now to a buy order: 53.75 $ (you get 46.74)) · buy orders: 1352 sell on Market.CSGO: 42.59 $ to your card cheapest lot 46.70 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 41.83 $ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 42.93 $ on Lis-Skins: from 43.56 $ listings: 69
in profit
StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
301.66 $ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)net 262.31 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 272.67 $ to your card cheapest lot 298.98 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 230.46 $ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 253.83 $ on Lis-Skins: from 251.31 $ listings: 50
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector
Minimal Wear
750.07 $ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)net 652.24 you get 0.082353The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 541.88 $ (you get 471.20)) · buy orders: 632 sell on Market.CSGO: 459.66 $ to your card cheapest lot 504.02 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 427.56 $ listings: 37 on CS.Money: ~ 457.06 $ on Lis-Skins: from 445.40 $ listings: 53
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
117.02 $ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)net 101.76 you get 0.052706The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 80.79 $ (you get 70.25)) · buy orders: 823 sell on Market.CSGO: 97.46 $ to your card cheapest lot 106.86 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 83.39 $ listings: 22 on CS.Money: ~ 84.77 $ on Lis-Skins: from 85.73 $ listings: 37
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