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The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +5 188.71₸

Invest 24 488.00₸

Average return 29 676.72₸

ROI +21.2%

Chance of profit 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 59 026.90₸ · profit at most −29 350.18₸ (at most -49.7%) · chance of profit at most 5%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1636.69 → 3535.25 ₸

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 14262.32 → 36939.40 ₸

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 8588.99 → 18552.23 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection

+5 188.72 ₸ +21.2% chance of profit 55%

expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) · 99 017.27 ₸ · chance 5.0%

rare inputs

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) buy 0.3800–0.3841
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

+182 839.65 ₸ +138.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+177 946.11 ₸ +153.8% chance of profit 90%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 407 336.20 ₸ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+114 084.39 ₸ +53.4% chance of profit 45%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093

Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

+113 853.40 ₸ +48.4% chance of profit 50%

expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 619 416.65 ₸ · chance 45%

marketplace price

1× StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

Variant 6 only The Revolution Collection

+7 379.06 ₸ +34.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) · 35 364.39 ₸ · chance 50%

rare inputs

8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

How to build

6% of lots fit collecting: no data

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

1 636.69 ₸

at 1 636.69

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

14 262.32 ₸

at 1 782.79

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

8 588.99 ₸

at 8 588.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 488.00 ₸ +5 188.71 (+21.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

15 249.15 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

40 669.03 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

65 431.19 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Field-Tested

113 869.84 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +887.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 792.27 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1716879 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4 928.35₸ · invest 25 561.23₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384742 instead of 0.384148; StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165584 instead of 0.163629

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build