The Revolution Collection
+ The Sport & Field Collection
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1741193 · ways to build: 2The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+696.60₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».4 088.89₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.4 785.49₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+17.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.55%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 9 828.18₴
· profit at most −5 042.68₴
(at most -51.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16280.29 → 605.44 ₴
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) × 86% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.592316.68 → 6000.21 ₴
Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) × 16% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.161491.92 → 3222.54 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
sells slowlyцена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
sells slowlyfloat out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
AWP | Duality
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(2% of this wear's listings)
280.29 ₴
at 280.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074848f′ (normalized) 0.093560wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 461 · good ≈ 11
on the market with this float, usually ~11,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 489.62 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
×8
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 316.68 ₴
at 289.59
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074848f′ (normalized) 0.074848wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 394 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×1
Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0042
(3% of this wear's listings)
1 491.92 ₴
at 1 491.92
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004242f′ (normalized) 0.007651wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 180 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 808.53 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs4 088.89 ₴
+696.60
(+17.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
6% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1632
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
176.54 ₴
at 176.54
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163236f′ (normalized) 0.163236wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 694 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 251.82 ₴ · among lots up to 271.17 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×7
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 027.10 ₴
at 289.59
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074604f′ (normalized) 0.074604wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 394 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
×2
Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(3% of this wear's listings)
2 983.83 ₴
at 1 491.92
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004028f′ (normalized) 0.007266wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 180 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 808.53 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs5 187.47 ₴
+37.25
(+0.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.005600«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
3 outcomes
Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%
about break-even
worst
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
4 668.32 ₴45.00%
SteamAK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)net 4059.41you get 0.070000sells 19 a weeksell now to a buy order: 4 657.89 ₴
(you get 4 050.33)) · buy orders: 8199
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 536.33 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 877.55 · lots 22
on CSFloat: from 3 487.51 ₴listings: 141
on CS.Money: ~ 4 052.61 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 3 691.74 ₴listings: 148
in profit
M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
5 328.11 ₴45.00%
SteamM4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)net 4633.14you get 0.056000sells 48 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 153.94 ₴
(you get 4 481.68)) · buy orders: 8698
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 115.04 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 4 512.11 · lots 40
on CSFloat: from 3 837.61 ₴listings: 249
on CS.Money: ~ 4 214.19 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 082.23 ₴listings: 406
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Fade
Factory New
10 049.27 ₴10.00%
pricier variants exist
SteamM4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)net 8738.49you get 0.005600The Sport & Field Collectionsells 125 a weeksell now to a buy order: 9 298.73 ₴
(you get 8 085.85)) · buy orders: 3922
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 145.02 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 930.95 · lots 138price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 7 181.49 ₴listings: 2290
on CS.Money: ~ 8 279.81 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 813.47 ₴listings: 1031
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+243.05 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+552.31 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
