The Revolver Case Collection
+ The Shadow Collection
StatTrak™
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 1741380 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+18 039.82₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».13 779.89₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.31 819.71₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+130.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.65%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 32 527.70₽
· profit at most −708.00₽
(at most -2.2%) · chance of profit at most 30%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) × 77% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.556667.43 → 17001.95 ₽
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 27% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.213256.88 → 7197.70 ₽
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 17% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.163855.58 → 8328.05 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
profit on prices without salesIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 780 ₽Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 780 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New), StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New), StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
profit on prices without salesat least −13 780 ₽rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
7× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1652
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1660
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1695
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
profit on prices without salesat least −28 802 ₽rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1625
2× StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)buy0.1500–0.1625
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
6 667.43 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165262f′ (normalized) 0.035581wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×2
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1652
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 256.88 ₽
at 1 628.44
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165262f′ (normalized) 0.183625wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0753
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
3 855.58 ₽
at 3 855.58
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075308f′ (normalized) 0.083676wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs13 779.89 ₽
+18 039.82
(+130.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −18 910 ₽
!
9% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1700
(0% of this wear's listings)
5 714.94 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170099f′ (normalized) 0.042393wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1700
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 628.44 ₽
at 1 628.44
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.170099f′ (normalized) 0.188999wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0769
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
11 566.74 ₽
at 3 855.58
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076991f′ (normalized) 0.085545wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs18 910.12 ₽
+16 130.39
(+85.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −10 877 ₽
!
8% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×8
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1688
(0% of this wear's listings)
7 619.92 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168828f′ (normalized) 0.040603wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×2
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1688
(0% of this wear's listings)
3 256.88 ₽
at 1 628.44
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168828f′ (normalized) 0.187586wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Set · 10 pcs10 876.80 ₽
+17 722.11
(+162.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −29 847 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1663
(0% of this wear's listings)
2 857.47 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166347f′ (normalized) 0.037109wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×7
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0756
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
26 989.06 ₽
at 3 855.58
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075686f′ (normalized) 0.084095wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs29 846.53 ₽
+14 856.38
(+49.8%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.056000, 0.028000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −21 813 ₽
!
7% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1656
(0% of this wear's listings)
4 762.45 ₽
at 952.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165650f′ (normalized) 0.036127wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1656
(0% of this wear's listings)
1 628.44 ₽
at 1 628.44
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165650f′ (normalized) 0.184056wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×4
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(≈0% of this wear's listings)
15 422.32 ₽
at 3 855.58
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075443f′ (normalized) 0.083826wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 5 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs21 813.21 ₽
+16 448.10
(+75.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.069999900result 0.056000, 0.028000, 0.070000, 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin
Factory New
36 659.87 ₽35.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)net 31878.15you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 192.63 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 105.96 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 26 125.73 ₽listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 30 083.99 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 27 357.49 ₽listings: 35
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade
Factory New
14 301.93 ₽35.00%
price without dealspricier variants exist
SteamStatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)net 12436.46you get 0.028000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 690.98 ₽
(you get 10 166.06)) · buy orders: 380
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 091.63 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 065.39 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 9 093.47 ₽listings: 33
on CS.Money: ~ 9 412.97 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 265.64 ₽listings: 34
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
49 389.02 ₽15.00%
price without deals
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)net 42946.97you get 0.070000The Shadow Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 35 314.11 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 38 721.62 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 31 714.92 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 29 798.75 ₽listings: 39
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 57 997.07 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 63 593.28 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 51 424.85 ₽listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 59 570.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 55 955.31 ₽listings: 40
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+15 978.68 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+17 511.23 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolver Case Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
