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The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +766.75₽

Invest 1 481.97₽

Average return 2 248.72₽

ROI +51.7%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 784.34₽ · profit at most −1 535.62₽ (at most -40.6%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 60.09 → 129.79 ₽

G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 65.40 → 141.26 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1356.48 → 3513.28 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −665 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

+766.75 ₽ +51.7% chance of profit 45%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −665 ₽

1× SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+500.61 ₽ +62.9% chance of profit 93%

expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 2 128.47 ₽ · chance 30%

rare inputs

1× SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765

Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+483.81 ₽ +70.8% chance of profit 60%

expensive: AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New) · 5 234.48 ₽ · chance 8.0%

sells slowly

6× SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
4× SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+3 596.54 ₽ +171.6% chance of profit 30%

expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 559 ₽

1× SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075

Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+2 474.74 ₽ +78.4% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 027 ₽

3× SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225

Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

+1 839.58 ₽ +74.1% chance of profit 38%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 371 ₽

1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

60.09 ₽

at 60.09

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

65.40 ₽

at 65.40

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 356.48 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 481.97 ₽ +766.75 (+51.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −336 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

300.45 ₽

at 60.09

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

173.36 ₽

at 86.68

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

508.68 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 982.49 ₽ +531.51 (+54.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −513 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Sawed-Off | Yorick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

42.14 ₽

at 42.14

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

120.18 ₽

at 60.09

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

65.40 ₽

at 65.40

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 017.36 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 245.08 ₽ +636.28 (+51.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

858.36 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

603.94 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod

Factory New

421.77 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Retrobution

Factory New

967.16 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Power Loader

Factory New

777.84 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Tiger Moth

Factory New

526.29 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Avalanche

Factory New

1 128.49 ₽ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Teclu Burner

Factory New

288.00 ₽ 1.67%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +267.49 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +504.82 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolver Case Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −653 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −653 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −655 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −658 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −673 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −660 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −661 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −665 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −666 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −751 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −683 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −746 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −903 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −695 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −696 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −698 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −702 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −704 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074323
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profit on prices without salesat least −777 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074323

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build