Crafts · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1742022 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 646.70₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 144.96₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 791.66₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +76.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 010.38₴ · profit at most −1 218.71₴ (at most -24.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 252.56 → 545.53 ₴
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) × 6 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 752.10 → 1887.77 ₴
MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 1140.30 → 2577.08 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −773 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −773 ₴: M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
+1 646.70 ₴ +76.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) · 5 376.63 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −773 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
  • 6× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1653
  • 3× MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0046
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+1 056.81 ₴ +39.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+386.16 ₴ +41.9% chance of profit 80%
expensive: M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) · 1 929.01 ₴ · chance 20%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 6× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection
+358.06 ₴ +35.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 50%
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection
+319.95 ₴ +32.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) · 1 982.87 ₴ · chance 17%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1635
  • 2× MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 5× M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+298.60 ₴ +28.7% chance of profit 93%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 1 405.18 ₴ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 6× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1657
  • 1× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
252.56 ₴
at 252.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004671f′ (normalized) 0.007534wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 101 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 994.52 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×6
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1653
752.10 ₴
at 125.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165349f′ (normalized) 0.112073wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 103 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 309.16 ₴
×3
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
1 140.30 ₴
at 380.10
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004671f′ (normalized) 0.006673wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 225 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · among lots up to 1 128.48 ₴
Set · 10 pcs 2 144.96 ₴ +1 646.70 (+76.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.079500, 0.063000, 0.044800 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Factory New
6 183.13 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)net 5376.63 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 817.85 ₴ (you get 5 058.99)) · buy orders: 1503
in profit
MP9 | Latte Rush
Factory New
3 142.32 ₴ 45.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New)net 2732.45 you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 674.18 ₴ (you get 2 325.37)) · buy orders: 1542
at a loss
worst
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Minimal Wear
1 447.86 ₴ 3.33%
Steam AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)net 1259.01 you get 0.079500 sells 246 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 455.59 ₴ (you get 1 265.72)) · buy orders: 3223
at a loss
G3SG1 | Flux
Factory New
1 991.48 ₴ 3.33%
Steam G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)net 1731.72 you get 0.063000 sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 419.52 ₴ (you get 1 234.36)) · buy orders: 478
at a loss
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
1 479.50 ₴ 3.33%
Steam SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 1286.53 you get 0.044800 sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 366.90 ₴ (you get 1 188.61)) · buy orders: 2114
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