Crafts · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1742033 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +383.36₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 765.75₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 149.12₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +50.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 959.67₴ · profit at most −810.55₴ (at most -41.4%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 20.70 → 44.71 ₴
G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 34.27 → 74.02 ₴
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 710.79 → 1840.94 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −358 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −358 ₴: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection
+383.36 ₴ +50.1% chance of profit 48%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 3 295.33 ₴ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −358 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+255.06 ₴ +58.6% chance of profit 92%
expensive: AWP | Black Box (Factory New) · 1 115.31 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 9× R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 877.31 ₴ +168.1% chance of profit 30%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 8 976.64 ₴ · chance 30%
profit on prices without salesat least −816 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 9× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 274.97 ₴ +74.6% chance of profit 70%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 5 136.96 ₴ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 582 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+963.93 ₴ +74.1% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 8 205.78 ₴ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −719 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839
Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+917.78 ₴ +72.8% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 8 205.78 ₴ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −682 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SCAR-20 | Green Marine
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
20.70 ₴
at 20.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074093f′ (normalized) 0.092616wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
G3SG1 | Murky
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
34.27 ₴
at 34.27
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074093f′ (normalized) 0.296373wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 63 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×8
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
710.79 ₴
at 88.85
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074093f′ (normalized) 0.048598wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 765.75 ₴ +383.36 (+50.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.077777678 result 0.037889, 0.062222, 0.052889, 0.077778, 0.070000, 0.077778, 0.048222, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 48%
  • Losing outcome 52%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
449.78 ₴ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 391.11 you get 0.037889The Vanguard Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 450.46 ₴ (you get 391.70)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 343.35 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 376.48 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 313.74 ₴ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 336.18 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 333.49 ₴ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
3 789.63 ₴ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 3295.33 you get 0.062222The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 378.17 ₴ (you get 2 937.54)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 860.67 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 136.71 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 2 693.06 ₴ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 2 910.30 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 822.33 ₴ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
1 307.13 ₴ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 1136.63 you get 0.052889The Vanguard Collection sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 302.27 ₴ (you get 1 132.40)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 100.27 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 206.44 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 1 091.14 ₴ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 1 105.05 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 079.47 ₴ listings: 211
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
134.72 ₴ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 117.15 you get 0.077778The Vanguard Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 111.74 ₴ (you get 97.16)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 95.43 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 104.64 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 92.46 ₴ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 100.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 96.05 ₴ listings: 61
in profit
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Factory New
1 032.41 ₴ 2.50%
Steam Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)net 897.75 you get 0.070000 sells ≈18 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 048.73 ₴ (you get 911.93)) · buy orders: 4669 sell on Market.CSGO: 841.40 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 922.59 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 821.38 ₴ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 845.17 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 823.18 ₴ listings: 147
at a loss
worst
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
118.96 ₴ 2.50%
Steam M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)net 103.44 you get 0.077778 sells 60 a week sell now to a buy order: 118.25 ₴ (you get 102.82)) · buy orders: 7581 sell on Market.CSGO: 101.44 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 111.23 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 122.54 ₴ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 100.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 98.30 ₴ listings: 66
at a loss
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
244.58 ₴ 2.50%
Steam MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New)net 212.68 you get 0.048222 sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 265.57 ₴ (you get 230.92)) · buy orders: 4069 sell on Market.CSGO: 224.15 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 245.78 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 223.07 ₴ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 218.59 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 241.03 ₴ listings: 88
at a loss
P250 | Wingshot
Factory New
332.17 ₴ 2.50%
Steam P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)net 288.84 you get 0.070000 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 314.67 ₴ (you get 273.62)) · buy orders: 5454 sell on Market.CSGO: 281.45 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 308.61 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 263.02 ₴ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 276.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 277.83 ₴ listings: 136
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