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The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +6 818.61₽

Invest 47 568.11₽

Average return 54 386.72₽

ROI +14.3%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 123 766.20₽ · profit at most −69 379.48₽ (at most -56.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 44721.45 → 117617.41 ₽

P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 2846.66 → 6148.79 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −47 276 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

+6 818.61 ₽ +14.3% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) · 65 552.17 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −47 276 ₽

9× USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+28 085.09 ₽ +149.3% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −18 817 ₽

1× M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

+24 989.49 ₽ +144.7% chance of profit 95%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 973 ₽

1× P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+11 981.43 ₽ +45.6% chance of profit 70%

expensive: AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) · 65 552.17 ₽ · chance 20%

profit on prices without salesat least −26 293 ₽

4× M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
6× Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043

Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+9 393.93 ₽ +27.1% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) · 65 552.17 ₽ · chance 5.0%

profit on prices without salesat least −34 724 ₽

1× USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
8× MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

+6 859.81 ₽ +14.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New) · 65 552.17 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −46 750 ₽

9× USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
1× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×9

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

44 721.45 ₽

at 4 969.05

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

2 846.66 ₽

at 2 846.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47 568.11 ₽ +6 818.61 (+14.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −35 261 ₽

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 11% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

5 166.62 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

×4

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

19 876.20 ₽

at 4 969.05

Steam

×4

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

11 386.64 ₽

at 2 846.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 429.46 ₽ +4 014.25 (+11.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −30 461 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

7 749.93 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

×2

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

9 938.10 ₽

at 4 969.05

Steam

×5

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

14 233.30 ₽

at 2 846.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 921.33 ₽ +3 874.71 (+12.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −23 625 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

7 749.93 ₽

at 2 583.31

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3 686.04 ₽

at 1 843.02

Steam

×5

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

14 233.30 ₽

at 2 846.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 669.27 ₽ +831.43 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | AUTOEXEC

Factory New

75 384.99 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol

Factory New

60 394.10 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

22 164.94 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

6 717.74 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week -564.58 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 070.72 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1742956 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 859.81₽ · invest 47 188.51₽
profit on prices without salesat least −46 750 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 1713088 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 6 178.90₽ · invest 47 771.45₽
profit on prices without salesat least −46 952 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build