The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +732.40₽

Invest 1 486.05₽

Average return 2 218.45₽

ROI +49.3%

Chance of profit 47%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 793.15₽ · profit at most −1 574.71₽ (at most -41.5%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 65.40 → 141.26 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 1356.48 → 3513.28 ₽

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 64.17 → 138.61 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −751 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

+732.40 ₽ +49.3% chance of profit 47%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −751 ₽

1× G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
1× Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+2 361.74 ₽ +66.4% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 296 ₽

3× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+1 839.58 ₽ +74.1% chance of profit 38%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 371 ₽

1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+1 727.70 ₽ +69.0% chance of profit 38%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 394 ₽

1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857

Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection

+827.17 ₽ +54.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −745 ₽

2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744

Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+707.03 ₽ +46.6% chance of profit 48%

expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −708 ₽

2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

65.40 ₽

at 65.40

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 356.48 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

64.17 ₽

at 64.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 486.05 ₽ +732.40 (+49.3%)

profit on prices without sales at least −774 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

753.60 ₽

at 188.40

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

256.68 ₽

at 64.17

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

250.24 ₽

at 125.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 260.52 ₽ +265.12 (+21.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −802 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

169.56 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

376.80 ₽

at 188.40

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

192.51 ₽

at 64.17

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

500.48 ₽

at 125.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 239.35 ₽ +147.73 (+11.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −831 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

339.12 ₽

at 169.56

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

128.34 ₽

at 64.17

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

750.72 ₽

at 125.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 218.18 ₽ +30.34 (+2.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

858.36 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

257.11 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

2 741.65 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

1 186.71 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

443.32 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

478.87 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

735.01 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +230.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +470.09 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −706 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −636 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −638 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −641 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −645 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −662 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −657 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −665 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −653 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −653 ₽ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −655 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1739331 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 758.73₽ · invest 1 487.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −656 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −658 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074351 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −673 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −660 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −661 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −662 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074344 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1742620 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 752.31₽ · invest 1 459.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −663 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
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profit on prices without salesat least −665 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1740872 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 749.07₽ · invest 1 457.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −666 ₽ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1741228 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 748.03₽ · invest 1 456.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074406 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074406 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1742755 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 747.72₽ · invest 1 474.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1717041 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 747.71₽ · invest 1 475.90₽
profit on prices without salesat least −667 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1742033 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 731.62₽ · invest 1 461.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −683 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1737652 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 721.61₽ · invest 1 509.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −746 ₽ rare inputs

Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 1707351 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 721.41₽ · invest 1 708.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −903 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1735992 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 720.43₽ · invest 1 480.61₽
profit on prices without salesat least −695 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1742952 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 719.15₽ · invest 1 462.27₽
profit on prices without salesat least −696 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 1712364 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 717.39₽ · invest 1 461.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −698 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 1740185 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 712.96₽ · invest 1 460.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −702 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074783 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1735746 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 712.05₽ · invest 1 552.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1743084 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 711.54₽ · invest 1 481.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1741857 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 711.06₽ · invest 1 488.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −704 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
Craft 1711672 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 704.66₽ · invest 1 529.25₽
profit on prices without salesat least −777 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build