Crafts · The Vanguard Collection
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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743117 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +707.03₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 517.11₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 224.14₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +46.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 48%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 748.52₽ · profit at most −1 524.38₽ (at most -40.7%) · chance of profit at most 22%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 173.36 → 383.13 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1186.92 → 3026.65 ₽
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 156.83 → 338.75 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −708 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −708 ₽: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
+707.03 ₽ +46.6% chance of profit 48%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −708 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 7× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+2 536.52 ₽ +63.8% chance of profit 80%
expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 9 803.48 ₽ · chance 27%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 797 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× M249 | Magma (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 8× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+1 839.58 ₽ +74.1% chance of profit 38%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 371 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0839
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection
+1 748.95 ₽ +70.9% chance of profit 36%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 15 660.06 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 355 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835
Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection
+827.17 ₽ +54.1% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 25%
profit on prices without salesat least −745 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1626
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection
+776.63 ₽ +49.5% chance of profit 49%
expensive: M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) · 6 288.88 ₽ · chance 22%
profit on prices without salesat least −707 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1618
  • 8× UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 1× Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
MAG-7 | Firestarter
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1618
173.36 ₽
at 86.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161857f′ (normalized) 0.236877wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 104 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 84 · from 155.90 ₽ (float 0.1610) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
1 186.92 ₽
at 169.56
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074124f′ (normalized) 0.048704wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 79 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 105) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
156.83 ₽
at 156.83
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074124f′ (normalized) 0.060310wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 91 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 1 517.11 ₽ +707.03 (+46.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.040125, 0.070000, 0.059500, 0.087500, 0.089375, 0.035000, 0.026250, 0.043750 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 48%
  • Losing outcome 52%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
858.36 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 746.40 you get 0.040125 sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 859.66 ₽ (you get 747.53)) · buy orders: 14620 sell on Market.CSGO: 655.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 718.49 · lots 83 on CSFloat: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 435 on CS.Money: ~ 641.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 636.44 ₽ listings: 280
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
7 232.21 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6288.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 446.96 ₽ (you get 5 606.05)) · buy orders: 5075 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 459.36 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 986.15 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 5 139.49 ₽ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 5 554.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 386.18 ₽ listings: 158
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
2 494.55 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2169.17 you get 0.059500 sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 485.27 ₽ (you get 2 161.10)) · buy orders: 4448 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 099.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 302.40 · lots 57 on CSFloat: from 2 082.35 ₽ listings: 186 on CS.Money: ~ 2 108.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 060.08 ₽ listings: 211
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
257.11 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 223.57 you get 0.087500 sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 213.24 ₽ (you get 185.42)) · buy orders: 2895 sell on Market.CSGO: 182.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 199.70 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 176.46 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 191.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 183.31 ₽ listings: 61
at a loss
Dual Berettas | Marina
Minimal Wear
634.78 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)net 551.98 you get 0.089375The Winter Offensive Collection sells 26 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 579.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 635.01 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 482.26 ₽ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 525.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 546.50 ₽ listings: 78
in profit
FAMAS | Pulse
Factory New
2 398.61 ₽ 2.50%
Steam FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New)net 2085.75 you get 0.035000The Winter Offensive Collection sells ≈22 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 333.22 ₽ (you get 2 028.88)) · buy orders: 6289 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 934.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 120.80 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 1 866.49 ₽ listings: 174 on CS.Money: ~ 1 926.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 921.31 ₽ listings: 181
at a loss
MP9 | Rose Iron
Factory New
940.73 ₽ 2.50%
Steam MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)net 818.03 you get 0.026250The Winter Offensive Collection sells 29 a week sell now to a buy order: 808.98 ₽ (you get 703.46)) · buy orders: 2743 sell on Market.CSGO: 691.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 758.31 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 658.71 ₽ listings: 172 on CS.Money: ~ 681.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 657.85 ₽ listings: 195
at a loss
Nova | Rising Skull
Factory New
756.42 ₽ 2.50%
Steam Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)net 657.76 you get 0.043750The Winter Offensive Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 753.52 ₽ (you get 655.23)) · buy orders: 1169 sell on Market.CSGO: 601.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 659.21 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 537.08 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 605.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 598.75 ₽ listings: 53
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