to all crafts

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +13 134.78₽

Invest 16 925.52₽

Average return 30 060.30₽

ROI +77.6%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 42 125.94₽ · profit at most −12 065.64₽ (at most -28.6%) · chance of profit at most 30%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2462.88 → 5824.71 ₽

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 14462.64 → 36301.23 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 926 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

+13 134.78 ₽ +77.6% chance of profit 60%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 30%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 926 ₽

4× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+9 956.14 ₽ +57.5% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 25%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 067 ₽

5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
5× P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038

Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection

+8 225.91 ₽ +20.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −40 165 ₽

6× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
4× P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605

Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

+7 014.72 ₽ +21.1% chance of profit 80%

expensive: AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) · 55 811.32 ₽ · chance 40%

profit on prices without salesat least −32 789 ₽

5× Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
3× P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
1× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
1 more

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+738.21 ₽ +17.0% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AWP | Corticera (Factory New) · 10 429.47 ₽ · chance 22%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 485 ₽

1× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0774
1× P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1714
8× P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0774

Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+490.67 ₽ +12.5% chance of profit 53%

expensive: AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) · 6 575.90 ₽ · chance 27%

profit on prices without salesat least −3 318 ₽

2× Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
3× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0750
5× MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0044

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

2 462.88 ₽

at 615.72

Steam

×6

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14 462.64 ₽

at 2 410.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 925.52 ₽ +13 134.78 (+77.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

64 183.02 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

47 116.35 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cartel

Factory New

3 551.86 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

2 827.56 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

2 467.06 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 477.58 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 716.90 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 34 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1743061 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 765.52₽ · invest 17 364.20₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 321 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742320 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 661.82₽ · invest 18 563.16₽
profit on prices without salesat least −18 563 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1729015 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 617.69₽ · invest 15 056.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 417 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1730896 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 613.12₽ · invest 15 597.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 159 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1740579 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 559.35₽ · invest 16 711.76₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 475 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1741595 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 516.98₽ · invest 15 982.76₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 327 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742523 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 511.65₽ · invest 15 116.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 931 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1724740 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 396.28₽ · invest 15 207.40₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 638 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1715447 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 388.67₽ · invest 15 689.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 646 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1740951 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 385.96₽ · invest 15 010.36₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 649 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1718172 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 382.27₽ · invest 15 434.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 231 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742915 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 284.52₽ · invest 16 046.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 750 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1733102 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 238.67₽ · invest 15 782.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 117 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)
Craft 1725710 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 226.61₽ · invest 15 982.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 068 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)
Craft 1729846 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 224.24₽ · invest 15 146.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 810 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1721272 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 218.05₽ · invest 15 779.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 557 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1738828 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 141.51₽ · invest 17 098.88₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 893 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1739819 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14 064.14₽ · invest 15 598.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 970 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)
Craft 1709934 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13 911.05₽ · invest 16 532.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 124 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1712388 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13 446.80₽ · invest 19 476.32₽
profit on prices without salesat least −19 476 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)
Craft 1705654 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13 285.55₽ · invest 16 052.20₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 624 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742974 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13 112.64₽ · invest 18 971.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 922 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New)
Craft 1735798 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 616.63₽ · invest 15 641.35₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 887 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742687 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 550.69₽ · invest 13 118.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 505 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1738426 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 412.06₽ · invest 14 916.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 916 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1731727 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 256.18₽ · invest 13 170.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 939 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1732380 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 225.24₽ · invest 13 642.45₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 970 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1734605 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 212.50₽ · invest 17 615.16₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 822 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1735320 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 114.44₽ · invest 15 723.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 081 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1742827 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12 097.99₽ · invest 13 219.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 098 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1743195 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11 815.43₽ · invest 14 810.60₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 440 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1722073 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11 414.11₽ · invest 14 556.30₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 595 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1714117 · The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11 166.36₽ · invest 14 534.50₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 029 ₽ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074656
Craft 1734184 · The Graphic Design Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11 098.84₽ · invest 19 476.05₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 025 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074681 instead of 0.074656

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build