The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +295.58$

Invest 193.77$

Average return 489.35$

ROI +152.5%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 490.98$ · profit at most −1.63$ (at most -0.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13.72 → 29.64 $

AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 11.58 → 25.02 $

P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 168.46 → 436.32 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −189 $

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+295.58 $ +152.5% chance of profit 90%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 816.11 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −189 $

1× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+330.71 $ +164.5% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 816.11 $ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −201 $

1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749

Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection

+46.93 $ +19.3% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 477.12 $ · chance 50%

profit on prices without salesat least −192 $

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
7× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056

Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+44.23 $ +18.1% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 477.12 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −199 $

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
1× Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057

Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+28.18 $ +11.4% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 477.12 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −198 $

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
1× P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

+10.24 $ +3.9% chance of profit 45%

expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 477.12 $ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −204 $

3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
1× FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0240

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

13.72 $

at 13.72

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

11.58 $

at 11.58

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

168.46 $

at 21.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 193.77 $ +295.58 (+152.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −173 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

27.01 $

at 13.51

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

13.72 $

at 13.72

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

147.41 $

at 21.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.14 $ +216.26 (+114.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −148 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

13.51 $

at 13.51

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

54.89 $

at 13.72

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

105.29 $

at 21.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.69 $ +145.77 (+83.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −121 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13.51 $

at 13.51

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

96.06 $

at 13.72

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

21.06 $

at 21.06

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

30.95 $

at 30.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.57 $ +30.47 (+18.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

938.52 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

284.66 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

128.70 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

117.62 $ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +201.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +229.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −209 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −183 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −182 $ rare inputs

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Craft 1742712 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 304.58$ · invest 194.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −195 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −186 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

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profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

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profit on prices without salesat least −178 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 1726806 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 300.15$ · invest 188.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −178 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 1743245 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 291.74$ · invest 201.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −198 $ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build