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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 237.54₴

Invest 1 864.45₴

Average return 3 101.99₴

ROI +66.4%

Chance of profit 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 4 665.93₴ · profit at most −1 563.95₴ (at most -33.5%) · chance of profit at most 23%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 304.87 → 689.01 ₴

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 1559.58 → 3976.93 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 727 ₴

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

+1 237.54 ₴ +66.4% chance of profit 70%

expensive: Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 5 136.96 ₴ · chance 23%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 727 ₴

3× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

+1 606.02 ₴ +81.8% chance of profit 76%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 8 205.78 ₴ · chance 6.0%

profit on prices without salesat least −1 784 ₴

7× MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
3× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835

Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

+905.30 ₴ +69.0% chance of profit 38%

expensive: Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 8 205.78 ₴ · chance 18%

profit on prices without salesat least −731 ₴

1× MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
9× XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

304.87 ₴

at 101.62

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0225

1 559.58 ₴

at 222.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 864.45 ₴ +1 237.54 (+66.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

5 907.51 ₴ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Splash

Factory New

3 366.99 ₴ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

4 807.23 ₴ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

1 436.61 ₴ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

621.83 ₴ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

1 997.95 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

250.92 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

385.14 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 023.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 192.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Similar 44 crafts almost like this one

The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 1743260 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 606.02₴ · invest 1 963.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 784 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1728084 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 497.45₴ · invest 1 857.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 768 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1736653 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 474.48₴ · invest 1 812.15₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 791 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1729840 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 474.05₴ · invest 1 814.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 791 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1742913 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 473.64₴ · invest 1 872.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 845 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1730888 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 466.70₴ · invest 1 855.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 804 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022503 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1740251 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 464.85₴ · invest 1 893.87₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 808 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1740947 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 463.87₴ · invest 1 819.43₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 801 ₴ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1741304 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 462.77₴ · invest 1 818.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 803 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022521 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1724733 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 450.54₴ · invest 1 840.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 818 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1725704 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 449.25₴ · invest 1 858.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 816 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1733097 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 448.69₴ · invest 1 858.69₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 817 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1729007 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 435.25₴ · invest 1 851.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 830 ₴ rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022544 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1712386 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 432.42₴ · invest 1 965.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 833 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1742972 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 408.56₴ · invest 2 000.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 857 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1707376 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 405.37₴ · invest 2 172.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 017 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Humidor (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1711704 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 376.34₴ · invest 2 198.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 152 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1743058 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 346.99₴ · invest 2 019.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 918 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1731721 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 335.05₴ · invest 1 672.16₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 522 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1743227 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 329.12₴ · invest 2 082.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 989 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1722068 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 316.30₴ · invest 1 695.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 651 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1735312 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 315.71₴ · invest 1 693.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 541 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1742514 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 312.21₴ · invest 1 631.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 545 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1738825 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 307.45₴ · invest 1 654.23₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 550 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1738422 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 302.06₴ · invest 2 120.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 004 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1740576 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 301.64₴ · invest 1 665.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 556 ₴ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1721265 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 301.44₴ · invest 1 640.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 582 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1732373 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 298.97₴ · invest 1 628.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 575 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1741590 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 296.75₴ · invest 1 654.04₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 586 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1705650 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 289.98₴ · invest 1 830.75₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 567 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1715445 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 289.64₴ · invest 1 617.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 568 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1714114 · The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 288.95₴ · invest 1 695.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 568 ₴ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1734602 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 285.25₴ · invest 1 682.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 572 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022696 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1726776 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 281.55₴ · invest 1 601.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 576 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022643 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1718167 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 278.23₴ · invest 1 651.65₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 599 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022674 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1739813 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 276.16₴ · invest 1 635.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 581 ₴ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1723299 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 275.45₴ · invest 1 610.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 582 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022629 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1742111 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 274.97₴ · invest 1 708.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 582 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1742683 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 274.04₴ · invest 1 618.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 583 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1709932 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 270.77₴ · invest 1 674.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 586 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022691 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1742822 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 266.83₴ · invest 1 641.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 590 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1717084 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 266.82₴ · invest 1 644.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 590 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Craft 1736007 · The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 223.93₴ · invest 1 651.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 633 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022591
Craft 1718352 · The Cache Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 1 212.60₴ · invest 3 857.31₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 857 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022591

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build