Crafts · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1743192 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +6 955.48₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 664.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 10 620.06₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +189.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 8 961.88₽ · profit at most +1 658.18₽ (at most +18.5%) · chance of profit at most 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) × 7 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 2344.58 → 5978.68 ₽
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 1320.00 → 2983.20 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 571 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 571 ₽: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New), StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New), StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) and 2 more

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+6 955.48 ₽ +189.8% chance of profit 30%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 10%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 571 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 3× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0838
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+13 904.74 ₽ +334.3% chance of profit 58%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 14%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 833 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 3× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835
  • 7× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0835
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+7 163.16 ₽ +179.7% chance of profit 36%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 49 848.43 ₽ · chance 18%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 553 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 9× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0857
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+3 803.50 ₽ +19.8% chance of profit 47%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) · 46 304.35 ₽ · chance 23%
profit on prices without salesat least −18 601 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0225
  • 1× StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 3× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 5 only The eSports 2013 Collection
+1 086.76 ₽ +24.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) · 7 468.03 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −4 358 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0783
  • 9× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0800–0.0872

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0038
2 344.58 ₽
at 334.94
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003814f′ (normalized) 0.007628wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0800–0.0838
1 320.00 ₽
at 440.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.083814f′ (normalized) 0.027244wear 0.0800–0.1500on the market 95 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 6 381.95 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 3 664.58 ₽ +6 955.48 (+189.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.010811, 0.008243, 0.013513, 0.006081, 0.005405, 0.070000, 0.061622, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 56%
  • About break-even 14%
at a loss
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence
Factory New
2 570.22 ₽ 14.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)net 2234.97 you get 0.010811
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 514.91 ₽ (you get 2 186.87)) · buy orders: 757 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 119.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 324.52 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 2 098.62 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 2 096.05 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 111.47 ₽ listings: 52
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Factory New
771.37 ₽ 14.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New)net 670.76 you get 0.008243 sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 910.34 ₽ (you get 791.60)) · buy orders: 1797 sell on Market.CSGO: 800.35 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 877.58 · lots 9 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 835.17 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 815.47 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 774.35 ₽ listings: 38
about break-even
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion
Factory New
4 010.75 ₽ 14.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)net 3487.61 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 427.16 ₽ (you get 2 980.13)) · buy orders: 728 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 411.10 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 740.25 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 2 922.66 ₽ listings: 31 on CS.Money: ~ 3 096.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 077.70 ₽ listings: 54
at a loss
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
800.00 ₽ 14.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)net 695.65 you get 0.006081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 690.40 ₽ (you get 600.34)) · buy orders: 738 sell on Market.CSGO: 683.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 749.42 · lots 7 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 662.99 ₽ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 766.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 639.01 ₽ listings: 29
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire
Factory New
920.00 ₽ 14.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New)net 800.00 you get 0.005405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 770.73 ₽ (you get 670.20)) · buy orders: 1373 sell on Market.CSGO: 725.12 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 795.09 · lots 12 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 749.51 ₽ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 765.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 711.82 ₽ listings: 39
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
53 250.00 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 46304.35 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 075.56 ₽ (you get 14 848.31)) · buy orders: 378 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 21 877.94 ₽ listings: 5
in profit
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
8 588.23 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New)net 7468.03 you get 0.061622The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 558.34 ₽ (you get 7 442.03)) · buy orders: 301 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 6 868.92 ₽ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 8 495.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 299.05 ₽ listings: 10
in profit
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Factory New
47 591.20 ₽ 10.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)net 41383.65 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 144.74 ₽ (you get 8 821.51)) · buy orders: 422 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 22 946.95 ₽ listings: 4
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