Crafts · The Wildfire Collection
$≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.0117 $. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1743197 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +627.83$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 664.19$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 292.02$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +94.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 588.65$ · profit at most −296.63$ (at most -18.7%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 9.34 → 20.17 $
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 354.07 → 888.70 $
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 300.79 → 679.77 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −113 $ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −113 $: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New), StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +76.58 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection
+627.83 $ +94.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −113 $ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection
+670.27 $ +88.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −143 $ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+620.68 $ +92.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −111 $ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
  • 3× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 1× StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+601.08 $ +85.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) · 1 625.76 $ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −151 $ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) buy 0.0600–0.0605
  • 1× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection
+70.88 $ +89.9% chance of profit 83%
expensive: StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Factory New) · 386.22 $ · chance 12%
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 5× StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0741
Variant 6 only The Wildfire Collection
+12.55 $ +15.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) · 107.65 $ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 5× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0061

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0035
9.34 $
at 9.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003589f′ (normalized) 0.007975wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 23 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 109.94 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 29) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
354.07 $
at 59.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074101f′ (normalized) 0.019056wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 1) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash
Factory New
buy 0.0600–0.0605
300.79 $
at 100.26
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.060512f′ (normalized) 0.004272wear 0.0600–0.0700on the market 9 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 10) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 664.19 $ +627.83 (+94.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.062973, 0.013513, 0.010270, 0.008108 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 5 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate
Factory New
1 250.00 $ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)net 1225.00 you get 0.070000The eSports 2013 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 250.00 $ listings 6 · you get 1 225.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 1 004.82 $ (you get 873.76)) · buy orders: 598 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 1 250.00 $ listings: 6 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM
Factory New
1 869.63 $ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)net 1625.76 you get 0.062973The eSports 2013 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 777.77 $ listings: 12 on Lis-Skins: from 824.57 $ listings: 10
at a loss
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Factory New
107.57 $ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Factory New)net 93.54 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 103.57 $ (you get 90.06)) · buy orders: 701 sell on Market.CSGO: 85.22 $ to your card cheapest lot 93.44 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 75.33 $ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 79.38 $ on Lis-Skins: from 77.93 $ listings: 48
at a loss
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon
Factory New
123.79 $ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)net 107.65 you get 0.010270
by lot · 1 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 101.16 $ to your card cheapest lot 110.92 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 91.94 $ listings: 39 on CS.Money: ~ 103.90 $ on Lis-Skins: from 93.98 $ listings: 53
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
85.39 $ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 74.25 you get 0.008108
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 75.03 $ (you get 65.24)) · buy orders: 418 sell on Market.CSGO: 63.88 $ to your card cheapest lot 70.05 · lots 12 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 68.00 $ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 65.36 $ on Lis-Skins: from 65.83 $ listings: 36
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