Crafts · The Winter Offensive Collection
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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1743249 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +4 983.63₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 301.29₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 284.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +18.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 64 786.89₽ · profit at most −33 501.97₽ (at most -51.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) × 2 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.21 4760.00 → 10519.60 ₽
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) × 7 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 19841.29 → 50595.29 ₽
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 12% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1700.00 → 3672.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 301 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 301 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+4 983.63 ₽ +18.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 56 984.14 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 301 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.5168
  • 7× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1779
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1779
Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+36 678.30 ₽ +154.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 50%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 3 only The Winter Offensive Collection
+5 750.67 ₽ +21.0% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 56 984.14 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −27 436 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.5134
  • 8× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1765
Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+4 518.79 ₽ +16.8% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) · 56 984.14 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 832 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) buy 0.4500–0.4974
  • 7× StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1698
  • 1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

12% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 12% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×2
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.5168
4 760.00 ₽
at 2 380.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.516892f′ (normalized) 0.516892wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 4 · from 2 488.37 ₽ (float 0.5020) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1779
19 841.29 ₽
at 2 834.47
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177973f′ (normalized) 0.177973wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 14 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 26) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1779
1 700.00 ₽
at 1 700.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.177973f′ (normalized) 0.159423wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 13 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 3 843.02 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 79 · from 5 571.20 ₽ (float 0.1563) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 26 301.29 ₽ +4 983.63 (+18.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.243902339 result 0.380000, 0.097561, 0.243902, 0.127317 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov
Field-Tested
65 531.76 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 56984.14 you get 0.380000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 48 699.34 ₽ (you get 42 347.25)) · buy orders: 780 sell on Market.CSGO: 39 373.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 43 172.34 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 40 922.31 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 45 923.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 41 449.96 ₽ listings: 55
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Minimal Wear
10 797.03 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)net 9388.72 you get 0.097561
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 227.03 ₽ (you get 5 414.80)) · buy orders: 300 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 610.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 344.49 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 6 938.31 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 6 623.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 524.58 ₽ listings: 13
at a loss
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar
Field-Tested
19 683.98 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested)net 17116.50 you get 0.243902The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 14 521.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 923.03 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 13 784.10 ₽ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 15 691.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 036.80 ₽ listings: 34
at a loss
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Minimal Wear
12 909.99 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)net 11226.08 you get 0.127317The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 8 859.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 713.98 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 8 385.07 ₽ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 9 061.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 076.33 ₽ listings: 42
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