Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection
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The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743382 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 075.32₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 506.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 581.32₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +8.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -2 815.23 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +3 890.55 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 36 267.40₽ · profit at most −22 686.08₽ (at most -62.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) × 800 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 8016.00 → 23246.40 ₽
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) × 200 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 4490.00 → 13021.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -2 815.23 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+1 075.32 ₽ +8.6% chance of profit 0%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 50%
profit only from resale
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 050.06 ₽ +55.6% chance of profit 67%
expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 5 140.41 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+3 106.65 ₽ +47.2% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 9 996.43 ₽ · chance 50%
float out of reach
  • 8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 4 Covert → нож или перчатки
+29 360.56 ₽ +27.7% chance of profit 64%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 366 000.01 ₽ · chance 4.5%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 27% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 218 sell per day — buying will take 5 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×800
Sawed-Off | Fusion
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
8 016.00 ₽
at 10.02
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details8 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 690 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 22.27 ₽ (float 0.1675) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×200
M249 | Bock Blocks
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
4 490.00 ₽
at 22.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details2 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 801 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 92) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 167.47 ₽.

Craft on only from P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear), P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 061.70 ₽.

Set · 1000 pcs 12 506.00 ₽ +1 075.32 (+8.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
Minimal Wear
197.27 ₽ 20%
Steam Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)+4.07 each above the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
Galil AR | Galigator
Minimal Wear
171.33 ₽ 20%
Steam Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)fetches 148.98, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
sell
M4A1-S | Electrum
Minimal Wear
226.55 ₽ 20%
Steam M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)+29.53 each above the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
MP7 | Amberline
Minimal Wear
173.37 ₽ 20%
Steam MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)fetches 150.76, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
159.25 ₽ 20%
Steam MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)fetches 138.48, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
AK-47 | Crane Flight
Minimal Wear
2 331.36 ₽ 33%
Steam AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)+965.57 each above the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
P250 | Kintsugi
Minimal Wear
1 030.12 ₽ 33%
Steam P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)fetches 895.76, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
P90 | Deathgaze
Minimal Wear
1 059.67 ₽ 33%
Steam P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)fetches 921.45, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
AWP | Queen's Gambit
Minimal Wear
11 495.90 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)net 9996.43 you get 0.150000 sells ≈71 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 502.37 ₽ (you get 9 132.49)) · buy orders: 1001
at a loss
worst
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Minimal Wear
10 792.87 ₽ 50.00%
Steam Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)net 9385.10 you get 0.150000 sells ≈40 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 508.11 ₽ (you get 9 137.48)) · buy orders: 3022 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 934.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 700.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 7 709.23 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 8 778.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 983.34 ₽ listings: 96
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