Crafts · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743394 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 148.77₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 1 761.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 910.17₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +65.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -220.40 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 369.17 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 108.06₽ · profit at most −2 197.89₽ (at most -43.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 1473.30 → 4272.57 ₽
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 288.10 → 835.49 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -220.40 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+1 148.77 ₽ +65.2% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) · 1 610.50 ₽ · chance 33%
profit only from resale sells slowly 67% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+665.01 ₽ +75.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) · 1 610.50 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly
  • 9× StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+505.82 ₽ +8.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) · 7 115.37 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 8× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 9% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 28 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×90
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
1 473.30 ₽
at 16.37
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 767 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 94) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×10
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
288.10 ₽
at 28.81
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 279 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 148 · from 381.18 ₽ (float 0.0001) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 128.00 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 1 761.40 ₽ +1 148.77 (+65.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat
Factory New
175.95 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)+25.00 each above the replacement you get 0.0469
sell
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade
Factory New
329.03 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)+158.11 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror
Factory New
394.06 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)+214.66 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell
Factory New
477.03 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)+286.81 each above the replacement you get 0.0532
craft on
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Factory New
115.98 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)fetches 100.85, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama
Factory New
1 728.87 ₽ 33.33%
Steam StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)net 1503.37 you get 0.070000 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 676.29 ₽ (you get 1 457.64)) · buy orders: 2038 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 555.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 705.71 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 1 343.12 ₽ listings: 133 on CS.Money: ~ 1 361.96 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 408.22 ₽ listings: 71
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
Factory New
1 852.07 ₽ 33.33%
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)net 1610.50 you get 0.070000 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 878.05 ₽ (you get 1 633.08)) · buy orders: 2429 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 604.24 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 759.04 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 1 456.19 ₽ listings: 150 on CS.Money: ~ 1 488.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 567.54 ₽ listings: 74
at a loss
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
Factory New
1 735.51 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)net 1509.14 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 535.72 ₽ (you get 1 335.40)) · buy orders: 3854 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 405.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 540.83 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 250.61 ₽ listings: 126 on CS.Money: ~ 1 276.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 254.89 ₽ listings: 67
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