Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743430 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 352.69₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 784.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 136.89₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +40.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%
From the outcome +523.50 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 829.20 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 774.18₽ · profit at most −8 637.29₽ (at most -51.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) × 60 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 3390.60 → 9832.74 ₽
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) × 40 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2393.60 → 6941.44 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+2 352.69 ₽ +40.7% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) · 8 760.63 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 6× StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 4× StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+2 359.29 ₽ +28.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) · 15 572.17 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 427 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0793
  • 5× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0081

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 33 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×60
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
3 390.60 ₽
at 56.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.163043f′ (normalized) 0.203804wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 225 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 120) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×40
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
2 393.60 ₽
at 59.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.163043f′ (normalized) 0.163043wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 208 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 653.49 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 5 784.20 ₽ +2 352.69 (+40.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.187499900 result 0.131250, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue
Minimal Wear
1 080.51 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)+286.08 each above the replacement you get 0.1406
sell
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
Minimal Wear
1 053.59 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)+262.68 each above the replacement you get 0.1369
craft on
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed
Minimal Wear
653.49 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear)fetches 568.25, no more than the replacement you get 0.0937
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Minimal Wear
4 432.98 ₽ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)net 3854.77 you get 0.131250 sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 219.88 ₽ (you get 3 669.46)) · buy orders: 3263 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 306.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 625.49 · lots 65 on CSFloat: from 3 237.02 ₽ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 3 503.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 499.13 ₽ listings: 110
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream
Minimal Wear
10 074.72 ₽ 50.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 8760.63 you get 0.150000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 517.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 242.40 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 6 941.73 ₽ listings: 167 on CS.Money: ~ 8 039.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 327.20 ₽ listings: 108
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