Crafts · The Genesis Collection
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The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743465 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +41 854.08₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 57 171.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 99 025.08₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +73.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -2 136.56 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +43 990.64 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 165 795.90₽ · profit at most −66 770.82₽ (at most -40.3%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) × 900 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 43893.00 → 127289.70 ₽
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) × 100 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 13278.00 → 38506.20 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −57 171 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −57 171 ₽: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New), StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New), StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New), StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -2 136.56 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+41 854.08 ₽ +73.2% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New) · 55 681.91 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −57 171 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -2137, selling intermediates +43991. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted
+491.04 ₽ +85.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New) · 2 782.61 ₽ · chance 20%
profit on prices without salesat least −322 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Restricted → Classified
+3 121.81 ₽ +93.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) · 7 452.81 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 349 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 Classified → Covert
+25 170.93 ₽ +84.3% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New) · 55 681.91 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −29 864 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 1 sell per day — buying will take 1000 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×900
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
43 893.00 ₽
at 48.77
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.077088f′ (normalized) 0.077088wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 138 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.1 d.
×100
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
13 278.00 ₽
at 132.78
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.006202f′ (normalized) 0.006202wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~10, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 366.75 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 690.00 ₽.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New), StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 6 811.27 ₽.

Set · 1000 pcs 57 171.00 ₽ +41 854.08 (+73.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
Factory New
667.33 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)fetches 580.29, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation
Factory New
3 200.00 ₽ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)+2 092.61 each above the replacement
by lot · 1 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight
Factory New
768.42 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)fetches 668.19, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular
Factory New
727.00 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)fetches 632.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum
Factory New
748.07 ₽ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)fetches 650.50, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled
Factory New
6 854.61 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)fetches 5 960.53, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Factory New
6 810.33 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)fetches 5 922.03, no more than the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills
Factory New
8 570.73 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)+641.54 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 100%
about break-even
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch
Factory New
62 545.02 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New)net 54386.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 47 963.03 ₽ (you get 41 706.98)) · buy orders: 935 sell on Market.CSGO: 43 473.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 47 668.52 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 36 855.26 ₽ listings: 29 on Lis-Skins: from 40 409.22 ₽ listings: 41
about break-even
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle
Factory New
64 034.20 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)net 55681.91 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 970.79 ₽ (you get 34 757.20)) · buy orders: 820 sell on Market.CSGO: 38 537.21 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 42 255.72 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 30 751.26 ₽ listings: 25 on CS.Money: ~ 32 455.00 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 30 542.26 ₽ listings: 44
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