Crafts · The Genesis Collection
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The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Covert About the craft Craft 1743467 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +887.21₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 7 766.80₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 8 654.01₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +11.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%
From the outcome +539.35 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +347.86 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 22 523.72₽ · profit at most −13 869.71₽ (at most -61.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested) × 80 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 5200.00 → 15080.00 ₽
UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) × 20 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2566.80 → 7443.72 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Covert
+887.21 ₽ +11.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 50%
rare inputs
  • 8× Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+981.67 ₽ +66.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) · 2 506.61 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× Nova | Ocular (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+1 845.99 ₽ +28.6% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 2× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 17 sell per day — buying will take 6 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×80
Nova | Ocular
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1683
5 200.00 ₽
at 65.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details8 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.168399f′ (normalized) 0.168399wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 424 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 89) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×20
UMP-45 | Continuum
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0763
2 566.80 ₽
at 128.34
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details2 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076399f′ (normalized) 0.076399wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 317 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 91) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 106.12 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 7 766.80 ₽ +887.21 (+11.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
AWP | Ice Coaled
Minimal Wear
1 392.05 ₽ 33%
Steam AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)+104.36 each above the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic
Minimal Wear
1 006.17 ₽ 33%
Steam Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear)fetches 874.93, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
MP7 | Smoking Kills
Minimal Wear
1 130.00 ₽ 33%
Steam MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)fetches 982.61, no more than the replacement you get 0.1500
2

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
AK-47 | The Oligarch
Minimal Wear
11 182.75 ₽ 50.00%
Steam AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear)net 9724.13 you get 0.150000 sells 56 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 119.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 999.99 · lots 49 on CSFloat: from 8 442.46 ₽ listings: 185 on CS.Money: ~ 9 070.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 993.25 ₽ listings: 248
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | Full Throttle
Minimal Wear
7 921.40 ₽ 50.00%
Steam M4A4 | Full Throttle (Minimal Wear)net 6888.17 you get 0.150000 sells ≈39 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 442.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 063.89 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 6 024.34 ₽ listings: 176 on CS.Money: ~ 6 390.95 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 319.86 ₽ listings: 231
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