Crafts · The Horizon Collection
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The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743474 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +35.47$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 79.67$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 115.15$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +44.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%
From the outcome +5.38 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +30.09 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 231.06$ · profit at most −115.91$ (at most -50.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) × 60 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 39.86 → 115.58 $
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) × 40 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 39.82 → 115.47 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+35.47 $ +44.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 4× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+28.77 $ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 209.15 $ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+86.25 $ +64.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 244.57 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 3× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0063

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 11 sell per day — buying will take 10 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×60
R8 Revolver | Survivalist
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0764
39.86 $
at 0.66
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076421f′ (normalized) 0.109174wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 1.58 $ · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 48 · from 0.81 $ (float 0.0749) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×40
Dual Berettas | Shred
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
39.82 $
at 1.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005619f′ (normalized) 0.011238wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 347 · good ≈ 8
on the market with this float, usually ~8, new ~0.2 per day, cheapest usually 5.60 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 164 · from 2.44 $ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from AWP | PAW (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 8.57 $.

Set · 100 pcs 79.67 $ +35.47 (+44.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.056000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
craft on
AWP | PAW
Factory New
8.24 $ 20%
Steam AWP | PAW (Factory New)fetches 7.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
sell
CZ75-Auto | Eco
Factory New
15.14 $ 20%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New)+4.59 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
G3SG1 | High Seas
Factory New
14.01 $ 20%
Steam G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New)+3.61 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
MP7 | Powercore
Factory New
12.95 $ 20%
Steam MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)+2.69 each above the replacement you get 0.0560
sell
Nova | Toy Soldier
Factory New
14.63 $ 20%
Steam Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)+4.15 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
at a loss
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
33.88 $ 33.33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 29.46 you get 0.049000 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 33.91 $ (you get 29.49)) · buy orders: 3860 sell on Market.CSGO: 27.35 $ to your card cheapest lot 29.99 · lots 31 on CSFloat: from 25.94 $ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 25.80 $ on Lis-Skins: from 25.52 $ listings: 116
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
240.52 $ 33.33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)net 209.15 you get 0.070000 sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 286.80 $ (you get 249.39)) · buy orders: 2139 sell on Market.CSGO: 247.39 $ to your card cheapest lot 271.26 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 217.72 $ listings: 58 on CS.Money: ~ 237.85 $ on Lis-Skins: from 239.57 $ listings: 76
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
19.04 $ 33.33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)net 16.56 you get 0.056000 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 21.13 $ (you get 18.38)) · buy orders: 2047 sell on Market.CSGO: 18.22 $ to your card cheapest lot 19.98 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 17.29 $ listings: 45 on CS.Money: ~ 17.09 $ on Lis-Skins: from 17.18 $ listings: 72
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