Crafts · The Phoenix Collection
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The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743520 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +694.02₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 5 095.70₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 789.72₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%
From the outcome -241.20 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +935.22 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 777.53₽ · profit at most −8 987.81₽ (at most -60.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) × 70 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 3500.00 → 10150.00 ₽
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 30 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 1595.70 → 4627.53 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -241.20 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+694.02 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
profit only from resale sells slowly 67% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
  • 3× UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 909.54 ₽ +64.8% chance of profit 33%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 16 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
  • 8× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1646
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+3 790.34 ₽ +8.5% chance of profit 35%
expensive: ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 393 645.60 ₽ · chance 1.5%
profit on prices without salesat least −20 957 ₽ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 100 pcs needed, and about 16 sell per day — buying will take 7 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×70
Tec-9 | Sandstorm
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1624
3 500.00 ₽
at 50.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details7 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.162486f′ (normalized) 0.104143wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 649 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 81 · from 395.74 ₽ (float 0.1610) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×30
UMP-45 | Corporal
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
1 595.70 ₽
at 53.19
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details3 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074343f′ (normalized) 0.034775wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 117 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 310.00 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 5 095.70 ₽ +694.02 (+13.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.083333233 result 0.150000, 0.025000, 0.135833 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
craft on
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
310.00 ₽ 25%
Steam FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested)fetches 269.57, no more than the replacement you get 0.1750
sell
MAC-10 | Heat
Minimal Wear
466.78 ₽ 25%
Steam MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear)+95.90 each above the replacement you get 0.0833
sell
SG 553 | Pulse
Minimal Wear
550.93 ₽ 25%
Steam SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear)+169.07 each above the replacement you get 0.1417
sell
USP-S | Guardian
Factory New
481.99 ₽ 25%
Steam USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)+109.12 each above the replacement you get 0.0317
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
14 598.37 ₽ 33.33%
Steam AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)net 12694.23 you get 0.150000 sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 045.24 ₽ (you get 12 213.25)) · buy orders: 2595 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 394.25 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 493.70 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 10 543.66 ₽ listings: 357 on CS.Money: ~ 11 925.32 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 168.96 ₽ listings: 423
at a loss
worst
Nova | Antique
Factory New
1 017.17 ₽ 33.33%
Steam Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 884.50 you get 0.025000 sells ≈30 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 011.70 ₽ (you get 879.73)) · buy orders: 1579 sell on Market.CSGO: 813.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 892.33 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 767.50 ₽ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 761.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 800.90 ₽ listings: 93
at a loss
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
1 132.49 ₽ 33.33%
Steam P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)net 984.77 you get 0.135833 sells 17 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 963.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 057.00 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 927.68 ₽ listings: 104 on CS.Money: ~ 887.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 960.23 ₽ listings: 85
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