Crafts · The Snakebite Collection
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The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743602 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +15 281.98₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 40 138.98₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 55 420.96₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +38.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -30 063.48 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +45 345.47 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 116 403.04₴ · profit at most −60 982.08₴ (at most -52.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) × 900 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 34426.40 → 99836.55 ₴
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) × 100 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 5712.58 → 16566.49 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -30 063.48 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+15 281.98 ₴ +38.1% chance of profit 0%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 14 491.10 ₴ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 100% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 1× StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+740.02 ₴ +92.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) · 1 726.03 ₴ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −222 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+3 460.27 ₴ +52.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 14 491.10 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 615 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 8% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 1000 pcs. but about 7 sell per day — buying will take 143 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×900
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0765
34 426.40 ₴
at 38.25
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076511f′ (normalized) 0.076511wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 97) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×100
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
5 712.58 ₴
at 57.13
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005697f′ (normalized) 0.011395wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 52 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 57) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 175.00 ₴.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 517.65 ₴.

Set · 1000 pcs 40 138.98 ₴ +15 281.98 (+38.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.055300, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate
Factory New
2 322.94 ₴ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)+1 844.95 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline
Factory New
599.31 ₴ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)+346.15 each above the replacement you get 0.0679
sell
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher
Factory New
202.67 ₴ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New)+1.23 each above the replacement
by lot · 2 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture
Factory New
175.00 ₴ 20%
Steam StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)fetches 152.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0455
sell
StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell
Factory New
238.42 ₴ 20%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New)+32.33 each above the replacement
by lot · 2 sales per day
you get 0.0595
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
1 984.94 ₴ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)+208.38 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain
Factory New
1 799.76 ₴ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)+47.36 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO
Factory New
1 517.65 ₴ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)fetches 1 319.69, no more than the replacement you get 0.0630
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
6 508.87 ₴ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)net 5659.88 you get 0.055300
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 172.10 ₴ (you get 5 367.04)) · buy orders: 935 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 455.11 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 981.48 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 4 843.02 ₴ listings: 26 on CS.Money: ~ 5 115.47 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 5 073.72 ₴ listings: 59
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor
Factory New
16 664.77 ₴ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)net 14491.10 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 966.40 ₴ (you get 10 405.56)) · buy orders: 859 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 644.72 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 671.85 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 8 914.03 ₴ listings: 31 on CS.Money: ~ 9 910.01 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 969.71 ₴ listings: 40
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