Crafts · The Train 2025 Collection
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The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 1743632 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +573.03₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 407.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 980.43₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +16.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -778.95 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 351.98 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 881.46₽ · profit at most −5 901.03₽ (at most -59.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 80 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2205.60 → 6396.24 ₽
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) × 20 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 1201.80 → 3485.22 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -778.95 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
+573.03 ₽ +16.8% chance of profit 0%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 50%
profit only from resale
  • 8× UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 2× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted
+3 996.74 ₽ +176.6% chance of profit 33%
expensive: Tec-9 | Whiteout (Factory New) · 17 131.20 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 714 ₽
  • 10× XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0079
Variant 3 Restricted → Classified
+683.34 ₽ +35.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear) · 2 681.68 ₽ · chance 50%
  • 7× Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
  • 3× Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1659
Variant 4 Classified → Covert
+9 744.08 ₽ +29.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 42 460.45 ₽ · chance 100%
profit on prices without salesat least −32 716 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 1× MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 100 pcs. but about 26 sell per day — buying will take 4 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×80
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1625
2 205.60 ₽
at 27.57
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details8 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.162592f′ (normalized) 0.162592wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 066 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
×20
XM1014 | Run Run Run
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0743
1 201.80 ₽
at 60.09
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details2 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074380f′ (normalized) 0.099628wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 461 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 239.22 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 3 407.40 ₽ +573.03 (+16.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
MAC-10 | Derailment
Minimal Wear
500.38 ₽ 33%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear)+195.89 each above the replacement you get 0.1050
sell
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Minimal Wear
516.26 ₽ 33%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear)+209.70 each above the replacement you get 0.1500
craft on
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
234.17 ₽ 33%
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)fetches 203.63, no more than the replacement you get 0.2010
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
M4A4 | Hellish
Minimal Wear
3 083.93 ₽ 50.00%
Steam M4A4 | Hellish (Minimal Wear)net 2681.68 you get 0.150000 sells 54 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 867.76 ₽ (you get 2 493.70)) · buy orders: 1611 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 097.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 300.00 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 2 077.21 ₽ listings: 246 on CS.Money: ~ 2 398.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 207.41 ₽ listings: 499
at a loss
worst
MP9 | Latte Rush
Minimal Wear
2 961.50 ₽ 50.00%
Steam MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear)net 2575.22 you get 0.150000 sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 884.02 ₽ (you get 2 507.84)) · buy orders: 1571 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 369.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 598.57 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 2 266.51 ₽ listings: 146 on CS.Money: ~ 2 319.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 306.77 ₽ listings: 324
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