The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +154 858.45₸

Invest 559 687.90₸

Average return 714 546.35₸

ROI +27.7%

Chance of profit 64%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 382 429.13₸ · profit at most −667 882.73₸ (at most -48.3%) · chance of profit at most 9%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 5 19% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 559687.90 → 1382429.11 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 16. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 72.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -415 986.16 ₸.

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки

+154 858.46 ₸ +27.7% chance of profit 64%

expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 1 930 419.37 ₸ · chance 4.5%

продажа ненадёжна

5× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135

Variant 2 Restricted → Classified

+5 538.39 ₸ +55.6% chance of profit 67%

expensive: AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) · 27 112.42 ₸ · chance 33%

sells slowly

9× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
1× MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062

Variant 3 Classified → Covert

+16 385.62 ₸ +47.2% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) · 52 724.87 ₸ · chance 50%

float out of reach

8× P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
2× P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763

How to build

19% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 19% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

559 687.90 ₸

at 111 937.58

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 559 687.90 ₸ +154 858.45 (+27.7%)

What you get 22 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 14%

Order

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

599 361.60 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

704 963.61 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

776 665.71 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

538 988.58 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

664 570.58 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

424 586.76 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

542 197.45 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

833 101.04 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

631 709.94 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

718 350.22 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

677 237.09 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

599 592.46 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

1 956 767.96 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

642 074.08 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

760 208.83 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

722 868.14 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

480 897.09 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

395 318.49 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

351 919.34 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

628 040.56 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

1 969 815.69 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

831 298.37 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +151 115.65 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +154 504.75 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history — their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

Market check at night · fresher — with «Check floats on Steam»

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 22 outcomes

More

How to build