Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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to all knife crafts

The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743955 · ways to build: 3 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −61.37$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 380.21$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 318.84$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −16.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 877.45$ · profit at most −558.62$ (at most -63.7%) · chance of profit at most 6%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 274.18 → 648.44 $
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 106.03 → 229.02 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 12.3% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 2. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 6.9% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -74.63 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection
−61.37 $ −16.1% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 1 565.34 $ · chance 6.2%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 70% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection
+1 497.17 $ +90.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+1 433.11 $ +84.4% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 32% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection
+700.61 $ +28.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+636.56 $ +25.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 28 714.00 $ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 32% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection
−3.39 $ −0.9% chance of profit 21%
expensive: ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 4 595.54 $ · chance 0.3%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 72% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
  • 1× P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
274.18 $
at 68.55
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 269.27 $
×1
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
106.03 $
at 106.03
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 51 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 348.88 $ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs 380.21 $ -61.37 (-16.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 41 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 73%
  • Above the Steam cap 12%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
349.33 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 303.76 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 321.05 $ (you get 279.17)) · buy orders: 609
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
228.21 $ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 198.44 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 223.58 $ (you get 194.42)) · buy orders: 331
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
341.28 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 296.77 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 213.72 $ (you get 185.85)) · buy orders: 169
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
288.03 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 250.46 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 168.51 $ (you get 146.53)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
369.67 $ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 321.45 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 372.52 $ (you get 323.93)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
159.19 $ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 156.01 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 159.19 $ listings 3 · you get 156.01 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 117.62 $ (you get 102.28)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
351.01 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 305.22 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
1 800.14 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1565.34 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 544.78 $ (you get 473.72)) · buy orders: 46
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
646.90 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 562.52 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 185.40 $ (you get 161.22)) · buy orders: 57
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
363.54 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 316.12 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 158.44 $ (you get 137.78)) · buy orders: 85
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
246.42 $ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 214.28
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 221.42 $ (you get 192.54)) · buy orders: 1036
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Doppler
Factory New
248.66 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 216.22 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 43 a week sell now to a buy order: 208.56 $ (you get 181.35)) · buy orders: 2181
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
159.90 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 139.04 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 94 a week sell now to a buy order: 141.24 $ (you get 122.82)) · buy orders: 595
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
131.15 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 114.04 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 92 a week sell now to a buy order: 113.97 $ (you get 99.10)) · buy orders: 514
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
79.09 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 68.77 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 13 a week sell now to a buy order: 79.22 $ (you get 68.88)) · buy orders: 223
at a loss
worst
★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
54.47 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 47.37 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 51.20 $ (you get 44.52)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
218.17 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 189.71 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 157.46 $ (you get 136.92)) · buy orders: 70
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler
Factory New
229.02 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 199.15 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 34 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
158.01 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 137.40 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 89 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
120.01 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 104.36 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 75 a week sell now to a buy order: 124.23 $ (you get 108.02)) · buy orders: 1459
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
82.32 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 71.58 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 19 a week sell now to a buy order: 81.62 $ (you get 70.97)) · buy orders: 122
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
54.94 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 47.78 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 54.73 $ (you get 47.60)) · buy orders: 107
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
409.54 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 356.12 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler
Factory New
464.93 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 404.29 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 432.82 $ (you get 376.36)) · buy orders: 675
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
305.61 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 265.75 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 42 a week sell now to a buy order: 266.57 $ (you get 231.80)) · buy orders: 1450
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
240.44 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 209.08 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 44 a week sell now to a buy order: 222.65 $ (you get 193.61)) · buy orders: 483
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
189.10 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 164.43 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 175.63 $ (you get 152.73)) · buy orders: 190
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
136.81 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 118.96 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 119.23 $ (you get 103.67)) · buy orders: 94
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
345.03 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 300.02 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 283.08 $ (you get 246.16)) · buy orders: 87
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler
Factory New
761.37 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 662.06 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 17 a week sell now to a buy order: 712.89 $ (you get 619.90)) · buy orders: 841
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
489.05 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 425.26 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
372.32 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 323.75 you get 0.001081The Fever Collection sells 31 a week sell now to a buy order: 373.36 $ (you get 324.66)) · buy orders: 531
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
247.24 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 214.99 you get 0.006757The Fever Collection sells 10 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
200.54 $ 0.71%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 174.38 you get 0.408108The Fever Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 157.06 $ (you get 136.57)) · buy orders: 101
in profit
★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
522.08 $ 0.71%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 511.64 you get 0.070000The Fever Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 522.08 $ listings 4 · you get 511.64 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 451.43 $ (you get 392.55)) · buy orders: 86
at a loss
★ Paracord Knife
no wear
59.54 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Paracord Knifenet 51.77The Fever Collection sells 155 a week sell now to a buy order: 56.79 $ (you get 49.38)) · buy orders: 1076
at a loss
★ Survival Knife
no wear
62.72 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Survival Knifenet 54.54The Fever Collection sells 205 a week sell now to a buy order: 60.82 $ (you get 52.89)) · buy orders: 1092
at a loss
★ Nomad Knife
no wear
166.27 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Nomad Knifenet 144.59The Fever Collection sells 55 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Skeleton Knife
no wear
268.89 $ 0.71%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Skeleton Knifenet 233.82The Fever Collection sells 38 a week no buy orders
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work