Knives and gloves · The Operation Broken Fang Collection
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The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1743972 · ways to build: 3 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −5 625.22₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 45 080.42₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 39 455.20₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −12.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 26%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 102 188.30₽ · profit at most −62 733.10₽ (at most -61.4%) · chance of profit at most 9%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 21594.62 → 46644.38 ₽
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 23485.80 → 55543.92 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 12.3% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 11. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 14.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -16 291.15 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection
−5 625.22 ₽ −12.5% chance of profit 26%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 226 666.49 ₽ · chance 0.8%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 73% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection
+128 244.80 ₽ +90.2% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+122 389.42 ₽ +77.5% chance of profit 29%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection
+60 013.20 ₽ +28.5% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0112
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
+54 157.82 ₽ +23.9% chance of profit 18%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The CS20 Collection
−218.34 ₽ −0.2% chance of profit 40%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 318 990.83 ₽ · chance 6.2%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one outcome without sales no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×1
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
21 594.62 ₽
at 21 594.62
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
23 485.80 ₽
at 5 871.45
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 61 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 23 065.47 ₽
Set · 5 pcs 45 080.42 ₽ -5 625.22 (-12.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 37 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 26%
  • Losing outcome 61%
  • Above the Steam cap 12%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
29 922.67 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 26019.71 you get 0.001081The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 500.48 ₽ (you get 23 913.46)) · buy orders: 609
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
19 547.88 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 16998.16 you get 0.013378The CS20 Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 151.55 ₽ (you get 16 653.52)) · buy orders: 331
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
29 233.48 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 25420.42 you get 0.013513The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 307.20 ₽ (you get 15 919.30)) · buy orders: 169
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
24 671.89 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 21453.82 you get 0.013513The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 434.43 ₽ (you get 12 551.67)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
31 665.02 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 27534.80 you get 0.013513The CS20 Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 31 909.69 ₽ (you get 27 747.55)) · buy orders: 173
at a loss
worst
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
13 635.92 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 13363.20 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 13 635.92 ₽ listings 3 · you get 13 363.20 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 10 074.93 ₽ (you get 8 760.80)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
30 066.71 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 26144.97 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
154 196.31 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 134083.75 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 46 664.46 ₽ (you get 40 577.79)) · buy orders: 46
in profit
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
55 412.35 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 48184.65 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 881.22 ₽ (you get 13 809.75)) · buy orders: 57
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
31 140.08 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 27078.33 you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 571.90 ₽ (you get 11 801.65)) · buy orders: 85
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection no buy orders
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000The CS20 Collection no buy orders
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
21 107.64 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 18354.47The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 966.04 ₽ (you get 16 492.20)) · buy orders: 1036
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
32 757.00 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 28484.35 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
83 971.20 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 73018.43 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 55 159.69 ₽ (you get 47 964.94)) · buy orders: 145
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
30 839.85 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 26817.26 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 187.33 ₽ (you get 21 902.02)) · buy orders: 92
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
29 554.24 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 25699.34 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 118.09 ₽ (you get 16 624.42)) · buy orders: 113
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Factory New
86 731.42 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)net 75418.63 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
95 593.46 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 83124.75 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 525.18 ₽ (you get 34 369.72)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
33 730.60 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 29330.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 713.37 ₽ (you get 15 402.93)) · buy orders: 164
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
91 518.75 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 79581.52 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 62 999.89 ₽ (you get 54 782.51)) · buy orders: 117
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
172 665.35 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 169212.04 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 172 665.35 ₽ listings 19 · you get 169 212.04 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 53
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Factory New
85 578.25 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New)net 74415.87 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 35 380.84 ₽ (you get 30 765.94)) · buy orders: 107
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
48 802.86 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 47826.80 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 48 802.86 ₽ listings 16 · you get 47 826.80 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 68 143.50 ₽ (you get 59 255.21)) · buy orders: 142
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
97 650.26 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 95697.25 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 97 650.26 ₽ listings 9 · you get 95 697.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
85 000.00 ₽ 0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 80750.00 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 85 000.00 ₽ listings 5 · you get 80 750.00 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 76 834.76 ₽ (you get 66 812.83)) · buy orders: 63
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
126 482.78 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 123953.12 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 126 482.78 ₽ listings 6 · you get 123 953.12 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 27
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Factory New
85 000.00 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)net 73913.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 56 430.53 ₽ (you get 49 070.02)) · buy orders: 70
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
99 999.00 ₽ 0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 94999.05 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 99 999.00 ₽ listings 7 · you get 94 999.05 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 105 112.66 ₽ (you get 91 402.31)) · buy orders: 47
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
80 229.96 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 78625.36 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 80 229.96 ₽ listings 10 · you get 78 625.36 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 106 738.26 ₽ (you get 92 815.87)) · buy orders: 74
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
54 731.26 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 53636.63 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 54 731.26 ₽ listings 5 · you get 53 636.63 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 81 108.19 ₽ (you get 70 528.86)) · buy orders: 89
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
231 292.34 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 226666.49 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 231 292.34 ₽ listings 14 · you get 226 666.49 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 94
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
214 145.30 ₽ 0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 209862.39 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 214 145.30 ₽ listings 3 · you get 209 862.39 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 78
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
16 474.48 ₽ 0.83%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 14325.63 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 14 996.70 ₽ (you get 13 040.60)) · buy orders: 127
in profit
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Factory New
84 562.89 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New)net 73532.95 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 50 501.85 ₽ (you get 43 914.65)) · buy orders: 166
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Factory New
26 151.00 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)net 22740.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 824.24 ₽ (you get 18 977.60)) · buy orders: 148
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Factory New
37 490.89 ₽ 0.83%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Factory New)net 32600.77 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30 046.94 ₽ (you get 26 127.77)) · buy orders: 121
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