The Operation Hydra Collection
+ The Dead Hand Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 1744446 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+768.63$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».2 636.04$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.3 404.67$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+29.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.18%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 6 183.44$
· profit at most −2 778.77$
(at most -44.9%) · chance of profit at most 13%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 419% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.372388.28 → 5648.27 $
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 119% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.16247.76 → 535.17 $
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 3.3% of the probability.
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 32.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 67.9% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -2 335.32 $.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.цена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
2 388.28 $
at 597.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
247.76 $
at 247.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 555.00 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 499.61 $ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs2 636.04 $
+768.63
(+29.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×3
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
1 791.21 $
at 597.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
495.53 $
at 247.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 555.00 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 499.61 $ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs2 286.73 $
+662.16
(+29.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×2
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
1 194.14 $
at 597.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
743.29 $
at 247.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 555.00 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 499.61 $ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs1 937.43 $
+555.70
(+28.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 1% of the probability.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×1
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
597.07 $
at 597.07
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
991.05 $
at 247.76
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 555.00 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 499.61 $ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs1 588.12 $
+449.23
(+28.3%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
46 outcomes
Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT
Factory New
522.02 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New)net 511.58you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 522.02 $listings 3 · you get 511.58 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 522.02 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 591.35 $
on Lis-Skins: from 521.80 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands
Factory New
1 761.31 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Factory New)net 1531.57you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 753.02 $
(you get 654.80)) · buy orders: 47not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 720.04 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 701.29 $listings: 5
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Leather
Factory New
877.34 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)net 859.79you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 877.34 $listings 6 · you get 859.79 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 648.84 $
(you get 564.21)) · buy orders: 56Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 877.34 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 891.41 $listings: 8
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter
Factory New
1 153.51 $3.33%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1130.44you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 153.51 $listings 3 · you get 1 130.44 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 002.59 $
(you get 871.82)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 153.51 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 272.72 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse
Factory New
671.04 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Factory New)net 657.62you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 671.04 $listings 6 · you get 657.62 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 548.57 $
(you get 477.02)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 671.04 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 641.85 $listings: 7
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap3.33%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)you get 0.070000sell now to a buy order: 2 023.32 $
(you get 1 759.41)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 5 636.05 $listings: 12
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Boom!
Factory New
1 610.12 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)net 1400.10you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 833.14 $ to your card
cheapest lot 913.53 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 869.00 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 759.07 $listings: 6
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint
Factory New
2 199.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New)net 2155.02you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 199.00 $listings 3 · you get 2 155.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 920.01 $
(you get 1 669.57)) · buy orders: 26
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 764.94 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3 031.74 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 2 199.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 2 190.88 $listings: 9
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave
Factory New
1 040.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)net 1019.20you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 040.00 $listings 7 · you get 1 019.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 594.02 $
(you get 516.54)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 083.85 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 188.43 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 1 040.00 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 1 163.62 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 058.58 $listings: 6
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Convoy
Factory New
741.77 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Factory New)net 645.02you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 547.82 $
(you get 476.37)) · buy orders: 79not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 481.65 $listings: 4
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave
Factory New
2 095.98 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)net 2054.06you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 095.98 $listings 7 · you get 2 054.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $
(you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 29
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 449.04 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 685.35 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 2 095.98 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 2 064.82 $listings: 12
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback
Factory New
1 869.63 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)net 1625.76you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 797.33 $
(you get 693.33)) · buy orders: 94Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 757.46 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
607.60 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 595.45you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 607.60 $listings 6 · you get 595.45 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 481.04 $
(you get 418.30)) · buy orders: 78Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 607.60 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 636.51 $
on Lis-Skins: from 604.48 $listings: 6
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web
Factory New
4 000.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)net 3920.00you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 4 000.00 $listings 8 · you get 3 920.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 188.88 $
(you get 1 903.38)) · buy orders: 43not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 4 000.00 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 4 814.07 $listings: 9
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono
Factory New
9 000.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)net 8820.00you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 9 000.00 $listings 5 · you get 8 820.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 130.80 $
(you get 1 852.87)) · buy orders: 66not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 9 000.00 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation
Factory New
1 823.62 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)net 1787.15you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 823.62 $listings 3 · you get 1 787.15 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $
(you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 38Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 823.62 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 864.77 $listings: 13
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze
Factory New
29 300.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)net 28714.00you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 29 300.00 $listings 5 · you get 28 714.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 188.88 $
(you get 1 903.38)) · buy orders: 77not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 29 300.00 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 28 840.00 $listings: 3
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor
Factory New
10 750.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)net 10535.00you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 10 750.00 $listings 4 · you get 10 535.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 180.83 $
(you get 1 896.38)) · buy orders: 53not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 10 750.00 $listings: 4Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
about break-even
★ Sport Gloves | Arid
Factory New
2 679.63 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Factory New)net 2626.04you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 679.63 $listings 8 · you get 2 626.04 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $
(you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 68Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 2 679.63 $listings: 8Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
Factory New
20 180.00 $3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)net 19776.40you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 20 180.00 $listings 8 · you get 19 776.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 188.88 $
(you get 1 903.38)) · buy orders: 108
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred
Factory New
1 035.08 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New)net 900.07you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 618.23 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla
Factory New
570.05 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Factory New)net 495.70you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 483.60 $
(you get 420.52)) · buy orders: 118not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 440.95 $listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed
Factory New
592.02 $3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Factory New)net 514.80you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 508.44 $
(you get 442.12)) · buy orders: 133
sell on Market.CSGO: 411.78 $ to your card
cheapest lot 451.52 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 570.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 419.10 $listings: 5
at a loss
worst
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite
Factory New
395.54 $3.33%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)net 375.77you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 395.54 $listings 3 · you get 375.77 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 399.29 $
(you get 347.21)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 360.74 $ to your card
cheapest lot 395.54 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 399.99 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 336.78 $listings: 4
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane
Factory New
1 326.63 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Factory New)net 1300.10you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 326.63 $listings 4 · you get 1 300.10 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 996.67 $
(you get 866.67)) · buy orders: 27not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 326.63 $listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers
Factory New
1 560.37 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Factory New)net 1529.16you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 560.37 $listings 7 · you get 1 529.16 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMarket.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 560.37 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 1 525.48 $listings: 6
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists
Factory New
1 719.08 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Factory New)net 1494.85you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 731.93 $
(you get 636.46)) · buy orders: 31not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 053.93 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Garden
Factory New
1 193.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)net 1169.14you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 193.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 169.14 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 193.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 248.96 $listings: 4
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters
Factory New
1 470.96 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New)net 1279.10you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 585.53 $
(you get 509.16)) · buy orders: 53not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 150.00 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 1 249.02 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill
Factory New
939.78 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Factory New)net 817.20you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 545.00 $listings: 5
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha
Factory New
1 200.10 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Factory New)net 1043.57you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 549.75 $
(you get 478.05)) · buy orders: 28Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 723.38 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 780.64 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser
Factory New
1 843.99 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Factory New)net 1807.11you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 843.99 $listings 11 · you get 1 807.11 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 646.51 $
(you get 1 431.74)) · buy orders: 7Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 843.99 $listings: 11
on Lis-Skins: from 1 637.88 $listings: 5
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam
Factory New
1 398.23 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Factory New)net 1370.27you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 398.23 $listings 8 · you get 1 370.27 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 420.27 $
(you get 1 235.02)) · buy orders: 16Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 398.23 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 2 007.20 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser
Factory New
1 590.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)net 1558.20you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 590.00 $listings 12 · you get 1 558.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 590.00 $listings: 12
on Lis-Skins: from 1 717.40 $listings: 11
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook
Factory New
1 499.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)net 1469.02you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 499.00 $listings 5 · you get 1 469.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 196.04 $
(you get 1 040.03)) · buy orders: 58not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 499.00 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield
Factory New
1 327.14 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Factory New)net 1154.04you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 777.40 $
(you get 676.00)) · buy orders: 24Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 890.00 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers
Factory New
4 331.12 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New)net 4244.50you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 4 331.12 $listings 8 · you get 4 244.50 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 4 331.12 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 4 817.11 $listings: 7
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst
Factory New
1 421.17 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Factory New)net 1392.75you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 421.17 $listings 4 · you get 1 392.75 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 797.33 $
(you get 693.33)) · buy orders: 21not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 421.17 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 1 252.50 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell
Factory New
1 682.65 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell (Factory New)net 1649.00you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 682.65 $listings 6 · you get 1 649.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 682.65 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 1 605.60 $listings: 6
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork
Factory New
1 600.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Factory New)net 1568.00you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 600.00 $listings 5 · you get 1 568.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMarket.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 600.00 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 1 676.41 $listings: 9
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Frosty
Factory New
1 064.42 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Factory New)net 1043.13you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 064.42 $listings 4 · you get 1 043.13 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 896.99 $
(you get 779.99)) · buy orders: 18not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 064.42 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 1 116.01 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Blaze
Factory New
875.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Factory New)net 857.50you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 875.00 $listings 7 · you get 857.50 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 875.00 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 883.17 $listings: 6
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe
Factory New
778.94 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Factory New)net 763.36you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 778.94 $listings 3 · you get 763.36 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 761.46 $
(you get 662.14)) · buy orders: 24not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 778.94 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 884.62 $listings: 3
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer
Factory New
1 390.11 $0.91%
price without deals
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Factory New)net 1208.79you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 196.04 $
(you get 1 040.03)) · buy orders: 34Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 899.00 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 1 169.00 $listings: 5
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent
Factory New
4 360.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)net 4272.80you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 4 360.00 $listings 15 · you get 4 272.80 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 993.35 $
(you get 1 733.35)) · buy orders: 49Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 4 360.00 $listings: 15
on Lis-Skins: from 4 769.10 $listings: 22
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Occult
Factory New
1 840.00 $0.91%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)net 1803.20you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 840.00 $listings 8 · you get 1 803.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 922.41 $
(you get 1 671.66)) · buy orders: 14not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 840.00 $listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 1 922.41 $listings: 20
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+744.40 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+752.65 $historical median
4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history — their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
9 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1744264
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 807.26$
· invest 2 476.81$
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744265
· The Clutch Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 807.26$
· invest 2 476.81$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745002
· The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 795.02$
· invest 2 477.61$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745003
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 795.02$
· invest 2 477.61$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745004
· The Revolution Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 785.78$
· invest 2 498.29$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 1745005
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 785.78$
· invest 2 498.29$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 1744447
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 768.63$
· invest 2 636.04$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 1745012
· The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 768.34$
· invest 2 504.30$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745013
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 768.34$
· invest 2 504.30$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.013513
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
