Knives and gloves · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all knife crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1744482 · ways to build: 4 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +412.17₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 57 487.79₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 57 899.96₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +0.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 47%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 133 292.59₴ · profit at most −75 392.63₴ (at most -56.6%) · chance of profit at most 7%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13005.05 → 28090.91 ₴
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 44482.74 → 105201.68 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 069 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −12 069 ₴: ★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Factory New), ★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New), ★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Factory New), ★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Factory New), ★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Factory New) and 10 more
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 4.6% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 16. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 58.2% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -44 957.29 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Dead Hand Collection
+412.17 ₴ +0.7% chance of profit 47%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 191 781.77 ₴ · chance 3.6%
profit on prices without salesat least −12 069 ₴ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+70 252.32 ₴ +85.1% chance of profit 28%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection
+55 279.73 ₴ +65.5% chance of profit 27%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+34 499.38 ₴ +29.2% chance of profit 18%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+22 320.05 ₴ +82.6% chance of profit 63%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) · 241 926.54 ₴ · chance 3.3%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 62% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094
  • 4× MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+20 123.88 ₴ +74.1% chance of profit 73%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New) · 191 781.77 ₴ · chance 0.9%
marketplace price sells slowly 52% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100
  • 4× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

19% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×1
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0135
13 005.05 ₴
at 13 005.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 78 830.45 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0135
44 482.74 ₴
at 11 120.69
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 24 910.68 ₴
Set · 5 pcs 57 487.79 ₴ +412.17 (+0.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 35 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 44%
  • Losing outcome 44%
  • About break-even 7%
  • Above the Steam cap 5%
about break-even
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane
Factory New
59 544.90 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Factory New)net 58354.00 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 59 544.90 ₴ listings 4 · you get 58 354.00 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 44 734.94 ₴ (you get 38 899.94)) · buy orders: 27
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers
Factory New
70 036.16 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Factory New)net 68635.44 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 70 036.16 ₴ listings 7 · you get 68 635.44 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists
Factory New
77 159.57 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Factory New)net 67095.27 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32 852.22 ₴ (you get 28 567.15)) · buy orders: 31
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Garden
Factory New
53 547.01 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)net 52476.06 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 53 547.01 ₴ listings 3 · you get 52 476.06 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
about break-even
★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters
Factory New
66 023.23 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New)net 57411.50 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 281.27 ₴ (you get 22 853.28)) · buy orders: 53
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill
Factory New
42 181.51 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Factory New)net 36679.57 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha
Factory New
53 865.80 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Factory New)net 46839.83 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 675.36 ₴ (you get 21 456.84)) · buy orders: 28
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser
Factory New
82 766.26 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Factory New)net 81110.93 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 82 766.26 ₴ listings 11 · you get 81 110.93 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 73 902.34 ₴ (you get 64 262.90)) · buy orders: 7
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam
Factory New
62 758.62 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Factory New)net 61503.44 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 62 758.62 ₴ listings 8 · you get 61 503.44 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 63 747.79 ₴ (you get 55 432.86)) · buy orders: 16
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser
Factory New
71 366.09 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)net 69938.76 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 71 366.09 ₴ listings 12 · you get 69 938.76 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook
Factory New
67 281.61 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)net 65935.97 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 67 281.61 ₴ listings 5 · you get 65 935.97 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 53 683.43 ₴ (you get 46 681.24)) · buy orders: 58
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield
Factory New
59 567.83 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Factory New)net 51798.12 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 34 893.05 ₴ (you get 30 341.78)) · buy orders: 24
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers
Factory New
194 399.42 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New)net 190511.43 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 194 399.42 ₴ listings 8 · you get 190 511.43 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst
Factory New
63 788.26 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Factory New)net 62512.50 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 63 788.26 ₴ listings 4 · you get 62 512.50 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 35 787.45 ₴ (you get 31 119.52)) · buy orders: 21
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell
Factory New
75 524.62 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell (Factory New)net 74014.13 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 75 524.62 ₴ listings 6 · you get 74 014.13 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork
Factory New
71 814.93 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Factory New)net 70378.63 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 71 814.93 ₴ listings 5 · you get 70 378.63 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Frosty
Factory New
47 775.78 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Factory New)net 46820.26 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 47 775.78 ₴ listings 4 · you get 46 820.26 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 40 260.94 ₴ (you get 35 009.51)) · buy orders: 18
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Blaze
Factory New
39 273.79 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Factory New)net 38488.31 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 39 273.79 ₴ listings 7 · you get 38 488.31 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe
Factory New
34 962.20 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Factory New)net 34262.95 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 34 962.20 ₴ listings 3 · you get 34 262.95 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 34 177.53 ₴ (you get 29 719.59)) · buy orders: 24
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer
Factory New
62 394.07 ₴ 3.64%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Factory New)net 54255.71 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 53 683.43 ₴ (you get 46 681.24)) · buy orders: 34
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent
Factory New
195 695.68 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)net 191781.77 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 195 695.68 ₴ listings 15 · you get 191 781.77 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 49
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Occult
Factory New
82 587.17 ₴ 3.64%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)net 80935.42 you get 0.070000The Dead Hand Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 82 587.17 ₴ listings 8 · you get 80 935.42 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 86 286.12 ₴ (you get 75 031.41)) · buy orders: 14
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade
Factory New
8 050.04 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 7000.04 you get 0.001081
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 365.63 ₴ (you get 6 404.89)) · buy orders: 652
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter
Factory New
5 476.45 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 4762.13 you get 0.013378
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 182.00 ₴ (you get 4 506.08)) · buy orders: 299
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
Factory New
10 350.05 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 9000.05 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 724.27 ₴ (you get 5 847.19)) · buy orders: 143
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained
Factory New
9 740.84 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New)net 8470.30 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened
Factory New
14 292.58 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 12428.33 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest
Factory New
7 777.49 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 6763.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 115.23 ₴ (you get 3 578.46)) · buy orders: 104
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 11 277.43 ₴ (you get 9 806.46)) · buy orders: 140
★ Shadow Daggers | Night
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 6 709.74 ₴ (you get 5 834.56)) · buy orders: 140
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched
Factory New
10 272.81 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Factory New)net 8932.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 326.44 ₴ (you get 2 022.99)) · buy orders: 91
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh
Factory New
5 807.15 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 5049.69 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 981.95 ₴ (you get 3 462.56)) · buy orders: 121
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked
Factory New
7 440.23 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 6469.76 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ Shadow Daggers
no wear
3 721.18 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggersnet 3235.81 sells ≈19 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 3 270.44 ₴ (you get 2 843.86)) · buy orders: 1039
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work