Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1744920 · ways to build: 4 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −5 397.04₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 20 359.37₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 962.34₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −26.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 26%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 47 112.61₴ · profit at most −32 150.28₴ (at most -68.2%) · chance of profit at most 6%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 5060.03 → 10929.67 ₴
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 4 13% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 15299.34 → 36182.95 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 8 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 30.8% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 2. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 3.1% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -5 748.55 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection
−5 397.04 ₴ −26.5% chance of profit 26%
expensive: ★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New) · 53 959.14 ₴ · chance 6.2%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 66% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0092
  • 4× M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0092
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+66 627.99 ₴ +88.5% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 37% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection
+63 967.83 ₴ +83.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 34% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+30 875.05 ₴ +27.8% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 37% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection
+28 214.89 ₴ +25.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 34% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0121
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0121
Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection
−277.88 ₴ −0.6% chance of profit 49%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 167 149.24 ₴ · chance 6.2%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one outcome without sales no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
  • 4× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

13% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0092
5 060.03 ₴
at 5 060.03
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009285f′ (normalized) 0.014508wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0092
15 299.34 ₴
at 3 824.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009285f′ (normalized) 0.013264wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 91 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 8 006.14 ₴
Set · 5 pcs 20 359.37 ₴ -5 397.04 (-26.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 26%
  • Losing outcome 37%
  • About break-even 6%
  • Above the Steam cap 31%
at a loss
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade
Factory New
12 792.99 ₴ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 11124.34 you get 0.001081The Huntsman Collection sells 8 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 251.14 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 10 143.79 · lots 35 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 8 876.78 ₴ listings: 97 on CS.Money: ~ 9 778.05 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 162.24 ₴ listings: 84
at a loss
★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
15 559.24 ₴ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 13529.78 you get 0.013378The Huntsman Collection sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 024.64 ₴ (you get 11 325.78)) · buy orders: 414 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 134.66 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 209.05 · lots 17 on CSFloat: from 10 772.24 ₴ listings: 42 on CS.Money: ~ 11 922.18 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 10 534.80 ₴ listings: 48
in profit
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
28 227.96 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 24546.05 you get 0.013513The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 883.97 ₴ (you get 12 073.01)) · buy orders: 140 sell on Market.CSGO: 14 814.35 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 16 243.81 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 16 766.99 ₴ listings: 5
about break-even
★ Huntsman Knife | Stained
Factory New
23 310.33 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 20269.85 you get 0.013513The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 065.73 ₴ (you get 11 361.50)) · buy orders: 133 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
26 933.16 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 23420.14 you get 0.013513The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 360.10 ₴ (you get 13 356.60)) · buy orders: 168 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 17 772.85 ₴ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 17 157.93 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 19 379.71 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
17 298.41 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 15042.09 you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 727.78 ₴ (you get 5 850.24)) · buy orders: 132 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection sell now to a buy order: 6 590.49 ₴ (you get 5 730.85)) · buy orders: 67 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
51 795.37 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 45039.45 you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 370.10 ₴ (you get 20 321.82)) · buy orders: 178 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 30 611.11 ₴ listings: 8 on Lis-Skins: from 35 236.89 ₴ listings: 3
in profit
best
★ Huntsman Knife | Night
Factory New
62 053.02 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New)net 53959.14 you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 819.44 ₴ (you get 16 364.73)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New) you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection sell now to a buy order: 9 159.44 ₴ (you get 7 964.73)) · buy orders: 65 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection sell now to a buy order: 4 116.23 ₴ (you get 3 579.33)) · buy orders: 61 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000The Huntsman Collection sell now to a buy order: 6 800.43 ₴ (you get 5 913.42)) · buy orders: 74 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ Huntsman Knife
no wear
7 019.68 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Huntsman Knifenet 6104.07The Huntsman Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 271.81 ₴ (you get 5 453.74)) · buy orders: 1619 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 137.69 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 633.43 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 4 999.22 ₴ listings: 32 on CS.Money: ~ 5 674.28 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 5 139.25 ₴ listings: 64
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
11 682.60 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 10158.78 you get 0.001081 sells ≈7 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 10 154.55 ₴ (you get 8 830.04)) · buy orders: 915 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 649.19 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 483.77 · lots 29 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 7 853.86 ₴ listings: 78 on CS.Money: ~ 8 377.66 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 583.23 ₴ listings: 76
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
11 614.29 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 10099.38 you get 0.013378
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 883.60 ₴ (you get 9 463.99)) · buy orders: 377 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 972.87 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 838.67 · lots 26 on CSFloat: from 8 477.75 ₴ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 9 183.78 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 787.01 ₴ listings: 51
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
15 318.16 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 13320.14 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 579.70 ₴ (you get 10 938.86)) · buy orders: 197 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Stained
Factory New
6 483.09 ₴ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 6353.43 you get 0.013513 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 6 483.09 ₴ listings 4 · you get 6 353.43 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 6 483.09 ₴ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 6 442.70 ₴
in profit
★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
49 941.47 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 43427.37 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 459.82 ₴ (you get 9 965.06)) · buy orders: 155 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 19 749.10 ₴ listings: 7 CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 4 950.29 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
9 533.96 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 8290.40 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 751.83 ₴ (you get 5 871.15)) · buy orders: 99 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Night
Factory New
16 831.62 ₴ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Night (Factory New)net 16494.99 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 16 831.62 ₴ listings 4 · you get 16 494.99 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 5 827.37 ₴ (you get 5 067.27)) · buy orders: 110 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 16 831.62 ₴ listings: 4 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Factory New
8 907.37 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 7745.54 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 962.91 ₴ (you get 3 446.00)) · buy orders: 65 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 6 313.40 ₴ (you get 5 489.91)) · buy orders: 47 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 6 858.56 ₴ (you get 5 963.96)) · buy orders: 33 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
worst
★ Bowie Knife
no wear
5 200.32 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knifenet 4522.02 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 160.83 ₴ (you get 3 618.11)) · buy orders: 1165 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 521.23 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 861.01 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 3 586.26 ₴ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 3 848.83 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 395.50 ₴ listings: 64
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