The Operation Broken Fang Collection
+ The Operation Hydra Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 1744957 · ways to build: 3A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+54 157.82₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».226 169.78₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.280 327.60₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+23.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.18%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 530 464.63₽
· profit at most −250 137.03₽
(at most -47.1%) · chance of profit at most 13%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 119% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.1621594.62 → 46644.38 ₽
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 419% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.37204575.16 → 483820.25 ₽
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 3.3% of the probability.
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 26.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 61.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -199 918.50 ₽.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.цена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
at a loss, a chance at an expensive oneoutcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×1
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
21 594.62 ₽
at 21 594.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 43 714.67 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 143 · from 15 051.84 ₽ (float 0.0117) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×4
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
204 575.16 ₽
at 51 143.79
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs226 169.78 ₽
+54 157.82
(+23.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×2
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
43 189.24 ₽
at 21 594.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 43 714.67 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 143 · from 15 051.84 ₽ (float 0.0117) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
153 431.37 ₽
at 51 143.79
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs196 620.61 ₽
+33 356.68
(+17.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
profit on prices without salesat least −15 066 ₽
!
19% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×3
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(6% of this wear's listings)
64 783.86 ₽
at 21 594.62
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 15 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 43 714.67 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 143 · from 15 051.84 ₽ (float 0.0117) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×2
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0135
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
102 287.58 ₽
at 51 143.79
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 53) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs167 071.44 ₽
+12 555.54
(+7.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
48 outcomes
Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 3%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT
Factory New
44 715.25 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New)net 43820.94you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 44 715.25 ₽listings 3 · you get 43 820.94 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 44 715.25 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 50 653.93 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 44 696.41 ₽listings: 3
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands
Factory New
150 870.30 ₽3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Factory New)net 131191.57you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 64 502.14 ₽
(you get 56 088.81)) · buy orders: 47not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 61 677.27 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 60 071.18 ₽listings: 5
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Leather
Factory New
75 151.29 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)net 73648.26you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 75 151.29 ₽listings 6 · you get 73 648.26 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 578.52 ₽
(you get 48 329.14)) · buy orders: 56Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 75 151.29 ₽listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 76 356.50 ₽listings: 8
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter
Factory New
98 807.50 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)net 96831.35you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 98 807.50 ₽listings 3 · you get 96 831.35 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 85 879.82 ₽
(you get 74 678.10)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 98 807.50 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 109 018.80 ₽listings: 3
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse
Factory New
57 480.02 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Factory New)net 56330.41you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 57 480.02 ₽listings 6 · you get 56 330.41 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 46 989.58 ₽
(you get 40 860.50)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 57 480.02 ₽listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 54 979.66 ₽listings: 7
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap3.33%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionsell now to a buy order: 173 313.53 ₽
(you get 150 707.41)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 482 773.45 ₽listings: 12
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 71 365.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 78 251.40 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 74 436.91 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 65 020.51 ₽listings: 6
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint
Factory New
188 362.21 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New)net 184594.96you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 188 362.21 ₽listings 3 · you get 184 594.96 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 164 464.50 ₽
(you get 143 012.60)) · buy orders: 26
sell on Market.CSGO: 236 839.96 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 259 692.94 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 188 362.21 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 187 666.66 ₽listings: 9
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave
Factory New
89 084.44 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)net 87302.75you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 89 084.44 ₽listings 7 · you get 87 302.75 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 50 882.43 ₽
(you get 44 245.59)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 92 840.42 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 101 798.71 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 89 084.44 ₽listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 99 673.50 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 90 675.97 ₽listings: 6
sell now to a buy order: 46 925.52 ₽
(you get 40 804.80)) · buy orders: 79not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 41 257.23 ₽listings: 4
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave
Factory New
179 537.71 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)net 175946.95you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 179 537.71 ₽listings 7 · you get 175 946.95 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 29
sell on Market.CSGO: 209 780.10 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 230 022.04 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 179 537.71 ₽listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 176 868.60 ₽listings: 12
sell now to a buy order: 68 297.46 ₽
(you get 59 389.09)) · buy orders: 94Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 64 882.60 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
52 045.87 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 51004.95you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 52 045.87 ₽listings 6 · you get 51 004.95 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 41 205.29 ₽
(you get 35 830.68)) · buy orders: 78Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 52 045.87 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 54 522.25 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 51 778.62 ₽listings: 6
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web
Factory New
342 632.48 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)net 335779.83you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 342 632.48 ₽listings 8 · you get 335 779.83 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 187 495.51 ₽
(you get 163 039.57)) · buy orders: 43not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 342 632.48 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 412 364.18 ₽listings: 9
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono
Factory New
770 923.08 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)net 755504.61you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 770 923.08 ₽listings 5 · you get 755 504.61 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 182 520.20 ₽
(you get 158 713.21)) · buy orders: 66not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 770 923.08 ₽listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation
Factory New
156 207.86 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)net 153083.70you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 156 207.86 ₽listings 3 · you get 153 083.70 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 38Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 156 207.86 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 159 732.69 ₽listings: 13
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze
Factory New
2 509 782.91 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)net 2459587.25you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 2 509 782.91 ₽listings 5 · you get 2 459 587.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 187 495.51 ₽
(you get 163 039.57)) · buy orders: 77not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 2 509 782.91 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 2 470 380.17 ₽listings: 3
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor
Factory New
920 824.79 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)net 902408.29you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 920 824.79 ₽listings 4 · you get 902 408.29 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 186 806.07 ₽
(you get 162 440.06)) · buy orders: 53not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 920 824.79 ₽listings: 4Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
about break-even
★ Sport Gloves | Arid
Factory New
229 532.07 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Factory New)net 224941.42you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 229 532.07 ₽listings 8 · you get 224 941.42 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 68Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 229 532.07 ₽listings: 8Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
Factory New
1 728 580.85 ₽3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)net 1694009.23you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 728 580.85 ₽listings 8 · you get 1 694 009.23 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 187 495.51 ₽
(you get 163 039.57)) · buy orders: 108
sell now to a buy order: 41 424.27 ₽
(you get 36 021.10)) · buy orders: 118not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 37 770.95 ₽listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
sell now to a buy order: 43 551.90 ₽
(you get 37 871.21)) · buy orders: 133
sell on Market.CSGO: 35 272.53 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 38 676.03 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 48 825.13 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 35 899.32 ₽listings: 5
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite
Factory New
33 881.55 ₽3.33%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)net 32187.47you get 0.070000The Operation Hydra Collectionno price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 33 881.55 ₽listings 3 · you get 32 187.47 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 202.76 ₽
(you get 29 741.53)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 899.97 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 881.55 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 34 262.39 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 28 847.94 ₽listings: 4
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
32 757.00 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 28484.35you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 121.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 23 159.21 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 14 535.33 ₽listings: 12
on Lis-Skins: from 19 004.97 ₽listings: 40
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
83 971.20 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 73018.43you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 55 159.69 ₽
(you get 47 964.94)) · buy orders: 145
sell on Market.CSGO: 45 116.01 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 49 469.32 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 48 825.13 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 51 973.06 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 46 584.31 ₽listings: 10
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
30 839.85 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 26817.26you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 25 187.33 ₽
(you get 21 902.02)) · buy orders: 92
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 868.80 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 17 400.00 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 17 986.49 ₽listings: 11
on Lis-Skins: from 18 395.08 ₽listings: 15
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
29 554.24 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 25699.34you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 118.09 ₽
(you get 16 624.42)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 904.37 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 824.97 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 16 338.43 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 19 460.67 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 18 421.64 ₽listings: 11
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 63 314.93 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 69 424.27 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 48 727.48 ₽listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 56 823.03 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 53 150.01 ₽listings: 18
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
95 593.46 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 83124.75you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 39 525.18 ₽
(you get 34 369.72)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 33 949.94 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 37 225.82 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 32 234.86 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 35 779.40 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 34 742.93 ₽listings: 13
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
33 730.60 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 29330.96you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 713.37 ₽
(you get 15 402.93)) · buy orders: 164
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 818.61 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 23 923.92 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 16 867.80 ₽listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 19 243.10 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 935.10 ₽listings: 12
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
91 518.75 ₽0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 79581.52you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 62 999.89 ₽
(you get 54 782.51)) · buy orders: 117
sell on Market.CSGO: 58 240.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 63 859.95 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 47 540.26 ₽listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 54 978.81 ₽listings: 9
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
172 665.35 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 169212.04you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 172 665.35 ₽listings 19 · you get 169 212.04 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 53Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 172 665.35 ₽listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 173 227.27 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 162 983.42 ₽listings: 15
sell now to a buy order: 35 380.84 ₽
(you get 30 765.94)) · buy orders: 107
sell on Market.CSGO: 42 901.73 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 47 041.38 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 35 119.83 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 36 552.03 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 41 879.97 ₽listings: 23
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
48 802.86 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 47826.80you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 48 802.86 ₽listings 16 · you get 47 826.80 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 68 143.50 ₽
(you get 59 255.21)) · buy orders: 142
sell on Market.CSGO: 53 400.97 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 58 553.70 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 48 802.86 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 53 262.22 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 49 608.90 ₽listings: 10
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
97 650.26 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 95697.25you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 97 650.26 ₽listings 9 · you get 95 697.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 97 650.26 ₽listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 101 860.35 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 96 215.48 ₽listings: 24
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
85 000.00 ₽0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 80750.00you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 85 000.00 ₽listings 5 · you get 80 750.00 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 76 834.76 ₽
(you get 66 812.83)) · buy orders: 63
sell on Market.CSGO: 77 520.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 85 000.00 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 83 138.06 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 76 727.40 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 73 880.98 ₽listings: 22
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
126 482.78 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 123953.12you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 126 482.78 ₽listings 6 · you get 123 953.12 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 27
sell on Market.CSGO: 135 750.60 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 148 849.35 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 126 482.78 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 133 778.28 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 123 777.70 ₽listings: 23
sell now to a buy order: 56 430.53 ₽
(you get 49 070.02)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 51 376.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 56 334.42 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 50 213.65 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 53 736.76 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 47 777.53 ₽listings: 21
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
99 999.00 ₽0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 94999.05you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 99 999.00 ₽listings 7 · you get 94 999.05 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 105 112.66 ₽
(you get 91 402.31)) · buy orders: 47
sell on Market.CSGO: 91 199.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 99 999.00 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 87 342.16 ₽listings: 32
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
80 229.96 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 78625.36you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 80 229.96 ₽listings 10 · you get 78 625.36 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 106 738.26 ₽
(you get 92 815.87)) · buy orders: 74
sell on Market.CSGO: 91 036.77 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 99 821.02 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 80 229.96 ₽listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 85 939.08 ₽listings: 19
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
54 731.26 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 53636.63you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 54 731.26 ₽listings 5 · you get 53 636.63 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 81 108.19 ₽
(you get 70 528.86)) · buy orders: 89
sell on Market.CSGO: 62 336.98 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 68 351.96 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 54 731.26 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 60 585.13 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 58 619.28 ₽listings: 22
about break-even
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
231 292.34 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 226666.49you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 231 292.34 ₽listings 14 · you get 226 666.49 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 94Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 231 292.34 ₽listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 243 265.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 230 453.75 ₽listings: 16
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
214 145.30 ₽0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 209862.39you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 214 145.30 ₽listings 3 · you get 209 862.39 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 78not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 214 145.30 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 248 748.61 ₽listings: 22
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
16 474.48 ₽0.83%
Steam★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 14325.63you get 0.070000sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 14 996.70 ₽
(you get 13 040.60)) · buy orders: 127
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 151.98 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 421.04 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 14 990.17 ₽listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 14 451.38 ₽listings: 24
sell now to a buy order: 50 501.85 ₽
(you get 43 914.65)) · buy orders: 166
sell on Market.CSGO: 50 283.86 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 55 135.82 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 51 309.21 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 53 633.12 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 48 151.86 ₽listings: 22
sell now to a buy order: 21 824.24 ₽
(you get 18 977.60)) · buy orders: 148
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 207.19 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 24 349.99 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 22 797.91 ₽listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 22 743.09 ₽listings: 14
sell now to a buy order: 30 046.94 ₽
(you get 26 127.77)) · buy orders: 121Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 21 842.82 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 24 273.80 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+51 697.24 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+52 791.60 ₽historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history — their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
23 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1744734
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 55 101.66₽
· invest 219 202.90₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 1745020
· The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 53 845.84₽
· invest 214 231.82₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745021
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 53 845.84₽
· invest 214 231.82₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744122
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 53 609.34₽
· invest 219 191.90₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744123
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 53 609.34₽
· invest 219 191.90₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744052
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 53 456.74₽
· invest 219 344.50₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744053
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 53 456.74₽
· invest 219 344.50₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745014
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 53 418.05₽
· invest 218 282.41₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1745015
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 53 418.05₽
· invest 218 282.41₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744998
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 52 517.98₽
· invest 217 340.63₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012584 instead of 0.013513
Craft 1744701
· The Gallery Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 49 709.00₽
· invest 217 874.57₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012584 instead of 0.013513
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
