The Operation Hydra Collection
+ The Snakebite Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 1745013 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+34 486.31₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».112 403.64₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.146 889.95₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+30.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.21%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 264 767.07₴
· profit at most −117 877.12₴
(at most -44.5%) · chance of profit at most 13%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 418% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.37107196.13 → 253518.85 ₴
M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) × 118% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.165207.51 → 11248.22 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 3.3% of the probability.
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 26.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 61.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -98 648.13 ₴.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float out of reachThere are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0072
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly29% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
продажа ненадёжнаno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.цена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
18% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0128
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
107 196.13 ₴
at 26 799.03
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012831f′ (normalized) 0.012831wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×1
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0128
(6% of this wear's listings)
5 207.51 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012831f′ (normalized) 0.016242wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 13 028.76 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs112 403.64 ₴
+34 486.31
(+30.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
17% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×3
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0122
(≈3% of this wear's listings)
80 397.10 ₴
at 26 799.03
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012214f′ (normalized) 0.012214wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×2
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0122
(6% of this wear's listings)
10 415.02 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012214f′ (normalized) 0.015461wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 13 028.76 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs90 812.12 ₴
+29 694.58
(+32.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 2% of the probability.
!
17% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×2
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0116
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
53 598.07 ₴
at 26 799.03
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011654f′ (normalized) 0.011654wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×3
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0116
(4% of this wear's listings)
15 622.53 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011654f′ (normalized) 0.014752wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 17 539.18 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs69 220.59 ₴
+24 902.85
(+36.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap. The calculation counts them as zero, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 1% of the probability.
!
16% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (estimate)
×1
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0111
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
26 799.03 ₴
at 26 799.03
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011143f′ (normalized) 0.011143wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 3 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new ~0.0 per day
×4
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0111
(4% of this wear's listings)
20 830.04 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011143f′ (normalized) 0.014105wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 17 539.18 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
Set · 5 pcs47 629.07 ₴
+20 111.12
(+42.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
48 outcomes
Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 3%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT
Factory New
23 430.52 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New)net 22961.90you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 23 430.52 ₴listings 3 · you get 22 961.90 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands
Factory New
79 055.11 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Factory New)net 68743.58you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 33 798.73 ₴
(you get 29 390.19)) · buy orders: 47
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Leather
Factory New
39 378.82 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)net 38591.24you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 39 378.82 ₴listings 6 · you get 38 591.24 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 29 122.80 ₴
(you get 25 324.17)) · buy orders: 56
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter
Factory New
51 774.53 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)net 50739.03you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 51 774.53 ₴listings 3 · you get 50 739.03 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 45 000.50 ₴
(you get 39 130.87)) · buy orders: 48
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse
Factory New
30 119.18 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Factory New)net 29516.79you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 30 119.18 ₴listings 6 · you get 29 516.79 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 24 622.25 ₴
(you get 21 410.65)) · buy orders: 60
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap3.33%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)you get 0.070000sell now to a buy order: 90 815.23 ₴
(you get 78 969.76)) · buy orders: 48
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Boom!
Factory New
72 269.13 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)net 62842.72you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint
Factory New
98 700.65 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New)net 96726.63you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 98 700.65 ₴listings 3 · you get 96 726.63 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 86 178.39 ₴
(you get 74 937.73)) · buy orders: 26
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave
Factory New
46 679.70 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)net 45746.11you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 46 679.70 ₴listings 7 · you get 45 746.11 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 26 662.08 ₴
(you get 23 184.42)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Convoy
Factory New
33 293.79 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Factory New)net 28951.12you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 588.69 ₴
(you get 21 381.47)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave
Factory New
94 076.66 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)net 92195.13you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 94 076.66 ₴listings 7 · you get 92 195.13 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 29
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback
Factory New
83 916.94 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)net 72971.26you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 35 787.45 ₴
(you get 31 119.52)) · buy orders: 94
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
27 271.72 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 26726.28you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 27 271.72 ₴listings 6 · you get 26 726.28 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 21 591.32 ₴
(you get 18 775.06)) · buy orders: 78
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web
Factory New
179 537.32 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)net 175946.58you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 179 537.32 ₴listings 8 · you get 175 946.58 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 98 246.50 ₴
(you get 85 431.74)) · buy orders: 43
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono
Factory New
403 958.98 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)net 395879.79you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 403 958.98 ₴listings 5 · you get 395 879.79 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 95 639.47 ₴
(you get 83 164.75)) · buy orders: 66
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation
Factory New
81 851.96 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)net 80214.92you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 81 851.96 ₴listings 3 · you get 80 214.92 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 38
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze
Factory New
1 315 110.89 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)net 1288808.67you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 1 315 110.89 ₴listings 5 · you get 1 288 808.67 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 98 246.50 ₴
(you get 85 431.74)) · buy orders: 77
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor
Factory New
482 506.55 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)net 472856.42you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 482 506.55 ₴listings 4 · you get 472 856.42 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 97 885.24 ₴
(you get 85 117.60)) · buy orders: 53
about break-even
★ Sport Gloves | Arid
Factory New
120 273.40 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Factory New)net 117867.93you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 120 273.40 ₴listings 8 · you get 117 867.93 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 68
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
Factory New
905 765.79 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)net 887650.47you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 905 765.79 ₴listings 8 · you get 887 650.47 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 98 246.50 ₴
(you get 85 431.74)) · buy orders: 108
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred
Factory New
46 458.73 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New)net 40398.90you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla
Factory New
25 586.37 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Factory New)net 22249.02you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 706.06 ₴
(you get 18 874.84)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed
Factory New
26 572.23 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Factory New)net 23106.29you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 820.93 ₴
(you get 19 844.28)) · buy orders: 133
at a loss
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite
Factory New
17 753.72 ₴3.33%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)net 16866.04you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 17 753.72 ₴listings 3 · you get 16 866.04 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 17 922.04 ₴
(you get 15 584.38)) · buy orders: 136
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
17 164.47 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 14925.63you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
44 000.39 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 38261.21you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 28 903.34 ₴
(you get 25 133.34)) · buy orders: 145
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
16 159.89 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 14052.08you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 198.01 ₴
(you get 11 476.52)) · buy orders: 92
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
15 486.24 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 13466.30you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 017.76 ₴
(you get 8 711.09)) · buy orders: 113
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 43556.86you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 710.95 ₴
(you get 18 009.52)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
17 674.63 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 15369.24you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 281.70 ₴
(you get 8 071.04)) · buy orders: 164
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
47 955.26 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 41700.23you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 33 011.56 ₴
(you get 28 705.70)) · buy orders: 117
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
90 475.59 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 88666.07you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 90 475.59 ₴listings 19 · you get 88 666.07 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 53
sell now to a buy order: 18 539.34 ₴
(you get 16 121.16)) · buy orders: 107
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
25 572.40 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 25060.95you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 25 572.40 ₴listings 16 · you get 25 060.95 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 35 706.78 ₴
(you get 31 049.37)) · buy orders: 142
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
51 168.14 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 50144.77you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 51 168.14 ₴listings 9 · you get 50 144.77 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
44 539.48 ₴0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 42312.51you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 44 539.48 ₴listings 5 · you get 42 312.51 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 40 260.94 ₴
(you get 35 009.51)) · buy orders: 63
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
66 276.20 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 64950.68you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 66 276.20 ₴listings 6 · you get 64 950.68 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 27
sell now to a buy order: 29 569.25 ₴
(you get 25 712.39)) · buy orders: 70
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
52 398.86 ₴0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 49778.92you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 52 398.86 ₴listings 7 · you get 49 778.92 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 078.39 ₴
(you get 47 894.25)) · buy orders: 47
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
42 040.01 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 41199.21you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 42 040.01 ₴listings 10 · you get 41 199.21 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 930.20 ₴
(you get 48 634.95)) · buy orders: 74
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
28 678.85 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 28105.27you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 28 678.85 ₴listings 5 · you get 28 105.27 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 42 500.20 ₴
(you get 36 956.69)) · buy orders: 89
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
121 195.77 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 118771.85you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 121 195.77 ₴listings 14 · you get 118 771.85 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 94
about break-even
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
112 210.83 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 109966.61you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 112 210.83 ₴listings 3 · you get 109 966.61 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 78
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
8 632.53 ₴0.83%
Steam★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 7506.54you get 0.070000The Snakebite Collectionsells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 7 858.18 ₴
(you get 6 833.19)) · buy orders: 127
sell now to a buy order: 15 744.41 ₴
(you get 13 690.79)) · buy orders: 121
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+33 196.98 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+33 770.42 ₴historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history — their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
9 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1744264
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 36 233.20₴
· invest 111 170.05₴
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1744265
· The Clutch Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 36 233.20₴
· invest 111 170.05₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745002
· The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 35 684.16₴
· invest 111 205.79₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745003
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 35 684.16₴
· invest 111 205.79₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745004
· The Revolution Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 35 269.08₴
· invest 112 134.18₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745005
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 35 269.08₴
· invest 112 134.18₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1744446
· The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 34 499.38₴
· invest 118 316.82₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1744447
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 34 499.38₴
· invest 118 316.82₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745012
· The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 34 486.31₴
· invest 112 403.64₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
