Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1745173 · ways to build: 2 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +2 666.35₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 18 408.02₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 21 074.37₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 38%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 42 867.51₽ · profit at most −21 793.13₽ (at most -50.8%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 17% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 3255.90 → 7032.74 ₽
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) × 4 17% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 15152.12 → 35834.76 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 900 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −13 900 ₽: ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear), ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear), ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear), ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear), ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) and 20 more

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection
+2 666.35 ₽ +14.5% chance of profit 38%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) · 80 450.93 ₽ · chance 3.3%
profit on prices without salesat least −13 900 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0835
  • 4× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0835
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+136 331.94 ₽ +94.7% chance of profit 32%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0071
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+122 077.44 ₽ +83.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 34% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection
+68 100.34 ₽ +32.1% chance of profit 21%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0124
Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
+53 845.84 ₽ +25.1% chance of profit 20%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 2 459 587.25 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 34% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0121
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0121
Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
−530.32 ₽ −0.6% chance of profit 49%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 318 990.83 ₽ · chance 6.2%
at a loss, a chance at an expensive one outcome without sales no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070
  • 4× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0070

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

17% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 17% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0835
3 255.90 ₽
at 3 255.90
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.083568f′ (normalized) 0.130575wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 59 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~12, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 4 086.26 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
×4
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0835
15 152.12 ₽
at 3 788.03
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.083568f′ (normalized) 0.119383wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 131 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 6 259.96 ₽ · among lots up to 8 798.03 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 5 pcs 18 408.02 ₽ +2 666.35 (+14.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.121621522 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.040405, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 37 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 32%
  • Losing outcome 55%
  • About break-even 13%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Minimal Wear
9 085.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Minimal Wear)net 7900.00 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 177.30 ₽ (you get 5 371.56)) · buy orders: 163
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Minimal Wear
18 279.82 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear)net 15895.50 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 9 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Minimal Wear
8 691.31 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Minimal Wear)net 7557.66 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 407.98 ₽ (you get 6 441.72)) · buy orders: 134
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Minimal Wear
11 137.01 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Minimal Wear)net 9684.36 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 617.12 ₽ (you get 9 232.27)) · buy orders: 175
about break-even
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Minimal Wear
21 399.85 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear)net 18608.57 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 650.71 ₽ (you get 17 087.57)) · buy orders: 262
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Minimal Wear
17 654.52 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Minimal Wear)net 15351.76 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 718.66 ₽ (you get 13 668.40)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Minimal Wear
8 924.53 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear)net 7760.46 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 153.85 ₽ (you get 7 090.30)) · buy orders: 220
about break-even
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Minimal Wear
20 632.15 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Minimal Wear)net 17941.00 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Minimal Wear
67 656.49 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)net 58831.73 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 52 451.62 ₽ (you get 45 610.10)) · buy orders: 346
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Minimal Wear
11 439.20 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear)net 9947.13 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 824.63 ₽ (you get 9 412.72)) · buy orders: 156
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Minimal Wear
13 992.15 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)net 12167.09 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 473.18 ₽ (you get 10 846.24)) · buy orders: 253
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Minimal Wear
28 821.82 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)net 25062.45 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 28 729.24 ₽ (you get 24 981.94)) · buy orders: 263
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Minimal Wear
29 092.27 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Minimal Wear)net 25297.63 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 28 922.40 ₽ (you get 25 149.91)) · buy orders: 277
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Minimal Wear
47 399.98 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 41217.37 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 306.71 ₽ (you get 32 440.61)) · buy orders: 385
about break-even
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Minimal Wear
20 132.36 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Minimal Wear)net 17506.40 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Minimal Wear
39 000.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear)net 33913.04 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Minimal Wear
35 808.90 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear)net 31138.17 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Minimal Wear
23 150.74 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Minimal Wear)net 20131.08 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 861.08 ₽ (you get 17 270.50)) · buy orders: 195
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Minimal Wear
91 534.34 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear)net 79595.08 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Minimal Wear
92 518.57 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)net 80450.93 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 81 255.45 ₽ (you get 70 656.91)) · buy orders: 147
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Minimal Wear
6 000.80 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Minimal Wear)net 5218.09 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 214.60 ₽ (you get 5 404.00)) · buy orders: 198
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Minimal Wear
13 876.79 ₽ 3.33%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear)net 12066.77 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 197.56 ₽ (you get 9 737.00)) · buy orders: 246
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Minimal Wear
8 000.44 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear)net 6956.90 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 140.24 ₽ (you get 6 208.90)) · buy orders: 697
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Minimal Wear
8 661.37 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Minimal Wear)net 7531.63 you get 0.150000The Recoil Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 582.98 ₽ (you get 6 593.89)) · buy orders: 216
in profit
★ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
22 295.29 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 19387.21 you get 0.009730 sells ≈7 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 19 379.14 ₽ (you get 16 851.42)) · buy orders: 915
about break-even
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.040405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 770.47 ₽ (you get 18 061.27)) · buy orders: 377
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
13 791.98 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)net 11993.03 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 268.32 ₽ (you get 9 798.53)) · buy orders: 151
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Stained
Minimal Wear
8 373.70 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)net 7281.48 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
20 023.81 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)net 17412.01 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 474.31 ₽ (you get 15 195.05)) · buy orders: 234
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
5 769.10 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 5016.61 you get 0.150000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 514.63 ₽ (you get 4 795.33)) · buy orders: 132
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
6 987.49 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 6076.08 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 582.75 ₽ (you get 5 724.13)) · buy orders: 136
about break-even
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
22 068.15 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 19189.70 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 420.31 ₽ (you get 13 408.96)) · buy orders: 168
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
7 710.66 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 6704.92 you get 0.150000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 557.16 ₽ (you get 6 571.44)) · buy orders: 172
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
8 275.19 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 7195.82 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 499.33 ₽ (you get 4 782.02)) · buy orders: 165
at a loss
worst
★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
5 618.81 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 4885.92 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 602.38 ₽ (you get 4 002.06)) · buy orders: 189
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
7 710.08 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 6704.42 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 479.70 ₽ (you get 6 504.08)) · buy orders: 125
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife
no wear
9 924.40 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knifenet 8629.91 sells 16 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 940.61 ₽ (you get 6 904.87)) · buy orders: 1165
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work