Knives and gloves · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

LanguageRU
to all knife crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1745190 · ways to build: 4 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +3 490.97₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 32 757.23₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 36 248.20₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +10.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 74 804.82₴ · profit at most −38 556.61₴ (at most -51.5%) · chance of profit at most 10%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13005.05 → 28090.91 ₴
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 19752.18 → 46713.91 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 284 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 284 ₴: ★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New), ★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New), ★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Factory New), ★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New), ★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Factory New) and 20 more
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 4.6% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 7. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 23.3% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -19 224.36 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Revolution Collection
+3 490.97 ₴ +10.7% chance of profit 30%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) · 241 926.54 ₴ · chance 3.3%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 284 ₴ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+71 022.02 ₴ +93.0% chance of profit 32%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+55 279.73 ₴ +65.5% chance of profit 27%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 39% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
  • 4× SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0075
Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+35 269.08 ₴ +31.5% chance of profit 21%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) · 1 288 808.67 ₴ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
  • 4× Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0135
Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+23 089.75 ₴ +110.8% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) · 241 926.54 ₴ · chance 3.3%
marketplace price sells slowly 71% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094
  • 4× MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+20 893.58 ₴ +99.6% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) · 241 926.54 ₴ · chance 0.8%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 61% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100
  • 4× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

19% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)
×1
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0135
13 005.05 ₴
at 13 005.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 78 830.45 ₴ · little data: 2.0 d.
×4
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0135
19 752.18 ₴
at 4 938.04
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.013513f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 72 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 13 530.10 ₴
Set · 5 pcs 32 757.23 ₴ +3 490.97 (+10.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 37 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 62%
  • About break-even 3%
  • Above the Steam cap 5%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape
Factory New
31 968.34 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New)net 27798.56 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 023.88 ₴ (you get 13 064.25)) · buy orders: 199
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls
Factory New
50 513.27 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)net 49503.01 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 50 513.27 ₴ listings 10 · you get 49 503.01 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 57 824.22 ₴ (you get 50 281.93)) · buy orders: 63
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint
Factory New
27 830.84 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)net 24200.73 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal
Factory New
14 199.85 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New)net 12347.69 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle
Factory New
33 666.58 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New)net 29275.28 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 319.37 ₴ (you get 19 408.14)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | POW!
Factory New
33 655.22 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Factory New)net 29265.40 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon
Factory New
43 680.78 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New)net 37983.28 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32 569.12 ₴ (you get 28 320.97)) · buy orders: 124
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Transport
Factory New
17 506.68 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New)net 15223.20 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 329.67 ₴ (you get 10 721.44)) · buy orders: 106
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid
Factory New
62 198.06 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New)net 54085.27 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake
Factory New
113 805.12 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)net 111529.02 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 113 805.12 ₴ listings 4 · you get 111 529.02 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 90 815.23 ₴ (you get 78 969.76)) · buy orders: 66
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake
Factory New
24 575.69 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New)net 21370.16 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 145.89 ₴ (you get 14 909.47)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green
Factory New
9 431.89 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)net 8201.64 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 244.37 ₴ (you get 6 299.45)) · buy orders: 96
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade
Factory New
74 956.83 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)net 73457.69 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 74 956.83 ₴ listings 16 · you get 73 457.69 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 51
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot
Factory New
12 985.21 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Factory New)net 11291.49 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 12 354.72 ₴ (you get 10 743.23)) · buy orders: 102
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web
Factory New
44 884.33 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 43986.64 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 44 884.33 ₴ listings 12 · you get 43 986.64 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 53 703.97 ₴ (you get 46 699.10)) · buy orders: 48
about break-even
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul
Factory New
37 203.57 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Factory New)net 32350.93 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 30 812.39 ₴ (you get 26 793.38)) · buy orders: 150
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Omega
Factory New
57 900.34 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)net 56742.33 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 57 900.34 ₴ listings 11 · you get 56 742.33 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 466.87 ₴ (you get 77 797.28)) · buy orders: 28
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Vice
Factory New
246 863.82 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)net 241926.54 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 246 863.82 ₴ listings 13 · you get 241 926.54 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious
Factory New
106 443.64 ₴ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)net 104314.76 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 106 443.64 ₴ listings 14 · you get 104 314.76 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 97 733.91 ₴ (you get 84 986.01)) · buy orders: 58
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph
Factory New
24 414.56 ₴ 3.33%
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New)net 21230.05 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection sells 1 a week sell now to a buy order: 24 401.79 ₴ (you get 21 218.94)) · buy orders: 244
at a loss
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald
Factory New
11 867.49 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New)net 10319.55 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 786.15 ₴ (you get 7 640.12)) · buy orders: 152
at a loss
★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened
Factory New
26 933.16 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 23420.14 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove
Factory New
7 321.38 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New)net 6366.42 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 587.24 ₴ (you get 3 988.90)) · buy orders: 137
at a loss
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler
Factory New
9 169.88 ₴ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Factory New)net 7973.81 you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 871.46 ₴ (you get 5 105.62)) · buy orders: 147
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade
Factory New
8 050.04 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 7000.04 you get 0.001081
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 365.63 ₴ (you get 6 404.89)) · buy orders: 652
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter
Factory New
5 476.45 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 4762.13 you get 0.013378
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 182.00 ₴ (you get 4 506.08)) · buy orders: 299
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
Factory New
10 350.05 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 9000.05 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 724.27 ₴ (you get 5 847.19)) · buy orders: 143
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained
Factory New
9 740.84 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New)net 8470.30 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened
Factory New
14 292.58 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 12428.33 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest
Factory New
7 777.49 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 6763.04 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 115.23 ₴ (you get 3 578.46)) · buy orders: 104
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 11 277.43 ₴ (you get 9 806.46)) · buy orders: 140
★ Shadow Daggers | Night
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 6 709.74 ₴ (you get 5 834.56)) · buy orders: 140
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched
Factory New
10 272.81 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Factory New)net 8932.88 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 326.44 ₴ (you get 2 022.99)) · buy orders: 91
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh
Factory New
5 807.15 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 5049.69 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 981.95 ₴ (you get 3 462.56)) · buy orders: 121
at a loss
★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked
Factory New
7 440.23 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 6469.76 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ Shadow Daggers
no wear
3 721.18 ₴ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Shadow Daggersnet 3235.81 sells ≈19 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 3 270.44 ₴ (you get 2 843.86)) · buy orders: 1039
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work