The Snakebite Collection
+ The Revolution Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 1745194 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+18 450.48₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam».24 959.69₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.43 410.17₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+73.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.57%
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 57 962.12₴
· profit at most −14 551.95₴
(at most -25.1%) · chance of profit at most 17%
An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.
!
The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) × 118% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.165207.51 → 11248.22 ₴
AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 418% of the wear window fitsat least ×2.3719752.18 → 46713.91 ₴
Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 17.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 31.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -9 422.82 ₴.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.
marketplace pricesells slowly68% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0128
4× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0128
Variant 2The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0075
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0072
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly38% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0135
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.sells slowly35% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0128
marketplace pricesells slowly71% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.pricier variants existPattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
1× AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0094
4× MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New)buy0.0000–0.0094
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.
!
18% of lots fit≈ enough for 1contract · medium (by listings)
Price understated: only 18% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×1
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0128
(6% of this wear's listings)
5 207.51 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012831f′ (normalized) 0.016242wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 13 028.76 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
×4
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0128
(9% of this wear's listings)
19 752.18 ₴
at 4 938.04
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012831f′ (normalized) 0.012831wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 72 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 13 530.10 ₴
Set · 5 pcs24 959.69 ₴
+18 450.48
(+73.9%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
17% of lots fit≈ enough for 1contract · medium (by listings)
Price understated: only 17% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×2
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0122
(6% of this wear's listings)
10 415.02 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012214f′ (normalized) 0.015461wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 13 028.76 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
×3
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0122
(9% of this wear's listings)
14 814.13 ₴
at 4 938.04
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012214f′ (normalized) 0.012214wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 72 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 13 530.10 ₴
Set · 5 pcs25 229.15 ₴
+17 667.71
(+70.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
17% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 17% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×3
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0116
(4% of this wear's listings)
15 622.53 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011654f′ (normalized) 0.014752wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 17 539.18 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
×2
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0116
(9% of this wear's listings)
9 876.09 ₴
at 4 938.04
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011654f′ (normalized) 0.011654wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 72 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 13 530.10 ₴
Set · 5 pcs25 498.62 ₴
+16 884.93
(+66.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
!
16% of lots fit≈ enough for 0contracts · hard (by listings)
Price understated: only 16% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.
×4
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0111
(4% of this wear's listings)
20 830.04 ₴
at 5 207.51
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011143f′ (normalized) 0.014105wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 50 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new ~0.34 per day, cheapest usually 17 539.18 ₴ · little data: 2.9 d.
×1
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0111
(9% of this wear's listings)
4 938.04 ₴
at 4 938.04
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011143f′ (normalized) 0.011143wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 72 · good ≈ 7
on the market with this float, usually ~8,
new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 13 530.10 ₴
Set · 5 pcs25 768.08 ₴
+16 102.16
(+62.5%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out at 0.070000«No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
48 outcomes
Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 39%
About break-even 4%
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape
Factory New
31 968.34 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New)net 27798.56you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 023.88 ₴
(you get 13 064.25)) · buy orders: 199
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls
Factory New
50 513.27 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)net 49503.01you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 50 513.27 ₴listings 10 · you get 49 503.01 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 57 824.22 ₴
(you get 50 281.93)) · buy orders: 63
about break-even
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint
Factory New
27 830.84 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)net 24200.73you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal
Factory New
14 199.85 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New)net 12347.69you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
Steam★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)net 111529.02you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 113 805.12 ₴listings 4 · you get 111 529.02 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 90 815.23 ₴
(you get 78 969.76)) · buy orders: 66
sell now to a buy order: 17 145.89 ₴
(you get 14 909.47)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green
Factory New
9 431.89 ₴3.33%
price without deals
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)net 8201.64you get 0.070000The Revolution Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 244.37 ₴
(you get 6 299.45)) · buy orders: 96
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade
Factory New
74 956.83 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)net 73457.69you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 74 956.83 ₴listings 16 · you get 73 457.69 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 51
sell now to a buy order: 12 354.72 ₴
(you get 10 743.23)) · buy orders: 102
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web
Factory New
44 884.33 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 43986.64you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 44 884.33 ₴listings 12 · you get 43 986.64 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 53 703.97 ₴
(you get 46 699.10)) · buy orders: 48
sell now to a buy order: 30 812.39 ₴
(you get 26 793.38)) · buy orders: 150
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Omega
Factory New
57 900.34 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)net 56742.33you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 57 900.34 ₴listings 11 · you get 56 742.33 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 466.87 ₴
(you get 77 797.28)) · buy orders: 28
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Vice
Factory New
246 863.82 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)net 241926.54you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 246 863.82 ₴listings 13 · you get 241 926.54 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious
Factory New
106 443.64 ₴3.33%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)net 104314.76you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionno price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 106 443.64 ₴listings 14 · you get 104 314.76 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 97 733.91 ₴
(you get 84 986.01)) · buy orders: 58
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph
Factory New
24 414.56 ₴3.33%
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New)net 21230.05you get 0.070000The Revolution Collectionsells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 24 401.79 ₴
(you get 21 218.94)) · buy orders: 244
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 43556.86you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 710.95 ₴
(you get 18 009.52)) · buy orders: 79
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
17 674.63 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 15369.24you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 281.70 ₴
(you get 8 071.04)) · buy orders: 164
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
47 955.26 ₴0.83%
price without deals
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 41700.23you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 33 011.56 ₴
(you get 28 705.70)) · buy orders: 117
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
90 475.59 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 88666.07you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 90 475.59 ₴listings 19 · you get 88 666.07 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 53
sell now to a buy order: 18 539.34 ₴
(you get 16 121.16)) · buy orders: 107
about break-even
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
25 572.40 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 25060.95you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 25 572.40 ₴listings 16 · you get 25 060.95 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 35 706.78 ₴
(you get 31 049.37)) · buy orders: 142
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
51 168.14 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 50144.77you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 51 168.14 ₴listings 9 · you get 50 144.77 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
44 539.48 ₴0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 42312.51you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 44 539.48 ₴listings 5 · you get 42 312.51 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 40 260.94 ₴
(you get 35 009.51)) · buy orders: 63
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
66 276.20 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 64950.68you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 66 276.20 ₴listings 6 · you get 64 950.68 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 27
sell now to a buy order: 29 569.25 ₴
(you get 25 712.39)) · buy orders: 70
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
52 398.86 ₴0.83%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 49778.92you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 52 398.86 ₴listings 7 · you get 49 778.92 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 078.39 ₴
(you get 47 894.25)) · buy orders: 47
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
42 040.01 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 41199.21you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 42 040.01 ₴listings 10 · you get 41 199.21 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 930.20 ₴
(you get 48 634.95)) · buy orders: 74
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
28 678.85 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 28105.27you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 28 678.85 ₴listings 5 · you get 28 105.27 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 42 500.20 ₴
(you get 36 956.69)) · buy orders: 89
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
121 195.77 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 118771.85you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 121 195.77 ₴listings 14 · you get 118 771.85 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 94
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
112 210.83 ₴0.83%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 109966.61you get 0.070000no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 112 210.83 ₴listings 3 · you get 109 966.61 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴
(you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 78
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
8 632.53 ₴0.83%
Steam★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 7506.54you get 0.070000sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 7 858.18 ₴
(you get 6 833.19)) · buy orders: 127
sell now to a buy order: 15 744.41 ₴
(you get 13 690.79)) · buy orders: 121
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+16 283.66 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+18 792.39 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
enter their float — I'll pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.
Third collection
add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes — profit and investment differ by less than 0.5%; or the same nine items with a different tenth — profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%; or the same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler — profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 1744472
· The Revolution Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 18 463.56₴
· invest 30 872.87₴
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1744475
· The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 18 463.56₴
· invest 30 872.87₴
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012831
Craft 1745196
· The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18 450.48₴
· invest 24 959.69₴
«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.
f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.
Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.
