Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1745364 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −3 854.22₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 513.94₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 659.72₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −36.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 23%

If buying now (with float)

invest 17 583.00₴ · profit −10 923.28₴ (-62.1%) · chance of profit 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 5 49% of the wear window fits ×1.67 10513.94 → 17583.51 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 23.1% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -4 723.24 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки
−3 854.22 ₴ −36.7% chance of profit 23%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) · 20 458.54 ₴ · chance 7.7%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 69% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.2635
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+580.02 ₴ +46.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) · 3 921.75 ₴ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 045 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 3× StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+2 747.71 ₴ +42.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 15 613.27 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 059 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0773
  • 6× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

49% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×5
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2635
10 513.94 ₴
at 2 102.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.263513f′ (normalized) 0.527026wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs 10 513.94 ₴ -3 854.22 (-36.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.527026927 result 0.042162, 0.141757, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.527027, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 13 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 23%
  • Losing outcome 54%
  • Above the Steam cap 23%
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
23 527.33 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 20458.54 you get 0.042162
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 667.63 ₴ (you get 12 754.46)) · buy orders: 303
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
11 449.27 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 9955.88 you get 0.141757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 185.49 ₴ (you get 7 987.38)) · buy orders: 138
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
7 158.28 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 6224.59 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 478.25 ₴ (you get 5 633.25)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
5 530.61 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 4809.23 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 752.78 ₴, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
8 907.90 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 7746.00 you get 0.527027
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 218.25 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 910.91 ₴ (you get 7 748.61)) · buy orders: 105
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
4 913.78 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4272.86 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 190.89 ₴ (you get 3 644.25)) · buy orders: 96
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
5 647.08 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 4910.50 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 954.04 ₴, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
11 527.87 ₴ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 11297.31 you get 0.450000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 11 527.87 ₴ listings 7 · you get 11 297.31 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 11 645.69 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 697.47 ₴ (you get 4 084.75)) · buy orders: 100
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 4 500.55 ₴ (you get 3 913.52)) · buy orders: 80
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
3 568.96 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 3103.44 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 319.42 ₴, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 5 645.48 ₴ (you get 4 909.11)) · buy orders: 67
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.450000 sell now to a buy order: 5 585.36 ₴ (you get 4 856.83)) · buy orders: 58
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
15 867.72 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 13798.02
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 657.23 ₴ (you get 13 614.98)) · buy orders: 419
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