Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1747939 · ways to build: 4 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −3 734.14₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 10 155.63₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 421.49₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −36.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 17%

If buying now (with float)

invest 14 583.11₴ · profit −8 161.62₴ (-56.0%) · chance of profit 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 53% of the wear window fits ×1.47 8052.84 → 11802.25 ₴
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 1 53% of the wear window fits ×1.32 2102.79 → 2780.73 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 4 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 10.8% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -3 907.95 ₴.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

53% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
8 052.84 ₴
at 2 013.21
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.426136wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 38 of 45 · from 1 743.31 ₴ (float 0.2718) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2727
2 102.79 ₴
at 2 102.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.272727f′ (normalized) 0.545454wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 17 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 52 of 64 · from 1 500.93 ₴ (float 0.1625) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 10 155.63 ₴ -3 734.14 (-36.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 17%
  • Losing outcome 71%
  • About break-even 2%
  • Above the Steam cap 11%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
14 139.97 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 12295.63 you get 0.036000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 770.98 ₴ (you get 10 235.63)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 085.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 155.18 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 10 932.92 ₴ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 11 248.01 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 11 128.17 ₴ listings: 9
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
21 714.09 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 18881.82 you get 0.122500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 406.71 ₴ (you get 9 918.87)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 131.11 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 108.67 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 10 322.95 ₴ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 9 683.34 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
7 255.88 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 6309.46 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 221.90 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 995.34 ₴ (you get 6 082.90)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 546.98 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 178.71 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 6 483.99 ₴ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
6 615.42 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 5752.54 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 273.69 ₴ (you get 4 585.82)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 465.47 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 5 992.84 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 466.02 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
9 875.29 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 8587.21 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 13 332.10 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 889.37 ₴ (you get 7 729.88)) · buy orders: 134 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 650.13 ₴ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
2 969.77 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 2582.41 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 594.14 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 404.23 ₴ (you get 2 960.19)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 297.28 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 615.44 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 3 768.49 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
3 759.02 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 3268.72 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 607.47 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 745.95 ₴ (you get 3 257.35)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 653.53 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 006.07 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
8 907.90 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 7746.00 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
5 364.69 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 4664.94 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 431.89 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 599.64 ₴ (you get 3 130.12)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 587.76 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 6 126.93 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 763.60 ₴ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
3 670.05 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 3191.35 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 3 950.54 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 3 562.56 ₴ (you get 3 097.88)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 3 620.68 ₴ (you get 3 148.42)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 774.37 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
3 667.96 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 3189.53 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 350.54 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 2 908.17 ₴ (you get 2 528.84)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 440.75 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 772.76 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 3 627.10 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
6 733.42 ₴ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 5855.14
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 811.84 ₴ (you get 5 053.77)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 4 946.25 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 6 301.76 ₴ listings: 29
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
23 527.33 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 20458.54 you get 0.036000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 667.63 ₴ (you get 12 754.46)) · buy orders: 303 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 405.41 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 14 698.92 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 13 285.31 ₴ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 13 497.17 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 13 364.76 ₴ listings: 48
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
11 449.27 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 9955.88 you get 0.122500The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 185.49 ₴ (you get 7 987.38)) · buy orders: 138 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 477.70 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 10 392.21 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 8 493.01 ₴ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 8 172.09 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 8 875.43 ₴ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
8 907.90 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 7746.00 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 915.68 ₴ (you get 6 013.63)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 4 825.51 ₴ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 5 207.48 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 042.80 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
5 530.61 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 4809.23 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 6 782.07 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 863.32 ₴ (you get 4 228.98)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 552.35 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 991.61 · lots 9 on Lis-Skins: from 4 615.45 ₴ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
8 907.90 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 7746.00 you get 0.450000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 420.14 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 460.96 ₴ (you get 7 357.35)) · buy orders: 131 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 258.03 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 958.37 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 8 797.33 ₴ listings: 13 on CS.Money: ~ 7 084.54 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 431.50 ₴ listings: 8
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
4 913.78 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4272.86 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 190.89 ₴ (you get 3 644.25)) · buy orders: 96 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
5 647.08 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 4910.50 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 954.04 ₴, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 3 364.22 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 688.84 · lots 5 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 3 473.60 ₴ listings: 5
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
11 527.87 ₴ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 11297.31 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 11 527.87 ₴ listings 7 · you get 11 297.31 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and patternlisted at 11 645.69 ₴, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 697.47 ₴ (you get 4 084.75)) · buy orders: 100 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 11 645.69 ₴ listings: 7
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 4 500.55 ₴ (you get 3 913.52)) · buy orders: 80 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
3 568.96 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 3103.44 you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 319.42 ₴, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 3 357.35 ₴ listings: 4 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 5 645.48 ₴ (you get 4 909.11)) · buy orders: 67 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000The CS20 Collection sell now to a buy order: 5 585.36 ₴ (you get 4 856.83)) · buy orders: 58 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
15 867.72 ₴ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 13798.02The CS20 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 657.23 ₴ (you get 13 614.98)) · buy orders: 419 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 894.83 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 14 139.07 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 11 836.45 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 10 947.74 ₴ listings: 10
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work