Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1750635 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −8 080.09₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 19 048.20₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 10 968.11₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −42.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 12%

If buying now (with float)

invest 42 573.08₽ · profit −31 604.97₽ (-74.2%) · chance of profit 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 38% of the wear window fits ×2.33 15368.20 → 35775.63 ₽
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) × 1 38% of the wear window fits ×1.85 3680.00 → 6796.96 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

38% of lots fit collecting: no data
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.2379
15 368.20 ₽
at 3 842.05
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.237945f′ (normalized) 0.371789wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 24 of 45 · from 3 460.59 ₽ (float 0.2197) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.5572
3 680.00 ₽
at 3 680.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.557253f′ (normalized) 0.762842wear 0.4500–0.7305on the market 9
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 33 of 95 · from 3 346.66 ₽ (float 0.5446) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 19 048.20 ₽ -8 080.09 (-42.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.449999900 result 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000, 0.036000, 0.122500, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.450000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.393000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 12%
  • Losing outcome 82%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.036000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 21 155.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 23 197.17 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 20 864.60 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 21 465.92 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 21 237.22 ₽ listings: 9
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
41 439.58 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 36034.42 you get 0.122500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 768.78 ₽ (you get 18 929.37)) · buy orders: 150 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 334.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 200.00 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 19 700.51 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 18 479.88 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
13 847.27 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 12041.10 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 17 599.25 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 350.05 ₽ (you get 11 608.73)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 494.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 699.99 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 12 374.17 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
12 625.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 10978.26 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 064.42 ₽ (you get 8 751.66)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 430.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 436.85 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 431.45 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
18 846.19 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 16387.99 you get 0.450000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 25 443.24 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 964.64 ₽ (you get 14 751.86)) · buy orders: 134 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 18 416.50 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
5 667.57 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 4928.32 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 675.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 496.69 ₽ (you get 5 649.29)) · buy orders: 94 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 292.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 899.78 · lots 3 on Lis-Skins: from 7 191.86 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
7 173.79 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 6238.08 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 792.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 148.84 ₽ (you get 6 216.38)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 972.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 645.26 · lots 3 Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
17 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 14782.61 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Well-Worn
10 238.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Well-Worn)net 8902.67 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 869.62 ₽ (you get 5 973.58)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 663.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 692.75 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 999.36 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
7 004.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 6090.43 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 539.29 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) you get 0.393000 sell now to a buy order: 6 909.78 ₽ (you get 6 008.50)) · buy orders: 93 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 11 019.92 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
7 000.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 6086.96 you get 0.393000
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 570.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 550.01 ₽ (you get 4 826.09)) · buy orders: 62 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 566.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 200.00 · lots 5 on Lis-Skins: from 6 922.03 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 439.52 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 12 026.40 ₽ listings: 29
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade
Factory New
18 746.63 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 16301.42 you get 0.036000The Gallery Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 18 058.57 ₽ (you get 15 703.10)) · buy orders: 267 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 656.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 167.10 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 13 588.80 ₽ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 16 483.19 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 210.68 ₽ listings: 66
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
13 241.16 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 11514.05 you get 0.122500The Gallery Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 774.40 ₽ (you get 11 108.17)) · buy orders: 236 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 158.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 235.12 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 11 050.75 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 10 952.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 11 115.85 ₽ listings: 49
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
8 600.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 7478.26 you get 0.450000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 920.53 ₽ (you get 6 887.41)) · buy orders: 270 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 834.83 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 494.34 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 6 856.93 ₽ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 6 076.59 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 584.54 ₽ listings: 24
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
6 597.98 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 5737.37 you get 0.450000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 016.66 ₽ (you get 5 231.87)) · buy orders: 203 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 475.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 003.87 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 5 996.07 ₽ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 5 210.58 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 463.27 ₽ listings: 18
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
1 719.29 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 1495.03 you get 0.450000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
listed at 9 499.34 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 024.76 ₽ (you get 6 978.05)) · buy orders: 199 Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam — not shown CSFloat: price does not match Steam — not shown CS.Money: price does not match Steam — not shown Lis-Skins: price does not match Steam — not shown
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT
Well-Worn
4 236.11 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 3683.57 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 357.58 ₽ (you get 3 789.20)) · buy orders: 197 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 294.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 709.00 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 4 756.60 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 4 972.45 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
4 328.80 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)net 3764.17 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 258.13 ₽ (you get 3 702.72)) · buy orders: 84 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 268.16 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 680.00 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 4 277.77 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web
Well-Worn
10 023.81 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 8716.36 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 10 538.05 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 737.16 ₽ (you get 7 597.53)) · buy orders: 210 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 079.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 051.61 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 7 622.72 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 7 280.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 466.94 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched
Well-Worn
4 685.00 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 4073.91 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 340.37 ₽ (you get 3 774.23)) · buy orders: 103 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 286.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 700.00 · lots 9 on CS.Money: ~ 3 773.24 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 042.69 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh
Well-Worn
4 051.08 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 3522.68 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 540.51 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 4 645.50 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 093.76 · lots 10 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 4 663.23 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe
Well-Worn
5 036.22 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 4379.32 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 5 618.74 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 136.92 ₽ (you get 4 466.88)) · buy orders: 176 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 294.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 4 708.59 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 4 710.34 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 4 502.19 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked
Well-Worn
5 450.89 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 4739.90 you get 0.393000The Gallery Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 5 514.23 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 070.08 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 655.79 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 4 038.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 016.63 ₽ listings: 8
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife
no wear
10 442.43 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knifenet 9080.37The Gallery Collection sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 723.99 ₽ (you get 8 455.64)) · buy orders: 304 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 369.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 177.07 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 7 794.89 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 8 570.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 619.29 ₽ listings: 71
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