Knives and gloves · The Gamma Collection
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The Gamma Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1751156 · ways to build: 2 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −17 411.85₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 40 363.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 22 951.80₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −43.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 22%

If buying now (with float)

invest 40 509.78₽ · profit −17 557.99₽ (-43.3%) · chance of profit 20%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) × 1 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 11137.01 → 11137.01 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 23709.84 → 23828.39 ₽
StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear window fits ×1.00 5516.80 → 5544.38 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.0% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 5. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 10.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -23 891.49 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel
Minimal Wear
any lot
11 137.01 ₽
at 11 137.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.277777wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 6 · good ≈ 6
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries
Battle-Scarred
any lot
23 709.84 ₽
at 11 854.92
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.8000on the market 8 · good ≈ 8
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon
Battle-Scarred
any lot
5 516.80 ₽
at 2 758.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 30 · good ≈ 30
Set · 5 pcs 40 363.65 ₽ -17 411.85 (-43.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.855555556 result 0.068444, 0.223889, 0.855556, 0.855556, 0.855556, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.693111, 0.000000, 0.068444, 0.410667, 0.556111, 0.855556, 0.727222, 0.427778, 0.068444, 0.410667, 0.556111, 0.855556, 0.727222, 0.427778, 0.068444, 0.410667, 0.556111, 0.855556, 0.727222, 0.427778, 0.068444, 0.410667, 0.556111, 0.855556, 0.727222, 0.427778, 0.068444, 0.410667, 0.556111, 0.855556, 0.727222, 0.427778 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 43 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 20%
  • Losing outcome 72%
  • About break-even 2%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade
Factory New
18 746.63 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 16301.42 you get 0.068444The Kilowatt Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 18 058.57 ₽ (you get 15 703.10)) · buy orders: 267
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
Field-Tested
13 241.16 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 11514.05 you get 0.223889The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 15 003.15 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 729.68 ₽ (you get 11 938.85)) · buy orders: 64
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
7 587.31 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 6597.66 you get 0.855556The Kilowatt Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 557.16 ₽ (you get 6 571.44)) · buy orders: 345
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
6 156.01 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 5353.05 you get 0.855556The Kilowatt Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 044.39 ₽ (you get 5 255.99)) · buy orders: 183
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
1 719.29 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 1495.03 you get 0.855556The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 10 535.02 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 10 176.30 ₽ (you get 8 848.95)) · buy orders: 168
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT
Battle-Scarred
4 236.11 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 3683.57 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 800.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 553.61 ₽ (you get 3 959.66)) · buy orders: 161
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest
Battle-Scarred
4 328.80 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)net 3764.17 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 4 890.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web
Battle-Scarred
8 999.99 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 7826.08 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 117.51 ₽ (you get 7 058.70)) · buy orders: 214
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched
Battle-Scarred
4 465.97 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 3883.45 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 632.02 ₽ (you get 4 027.84)) · buy orders: 116
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh
Battle-Scarred
4 051.08 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 3522.68 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
listed at 5 498.20 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe
Battle-Scarred
5 036.22 ₽ 3.08%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)net 4379.32 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 5 724.08 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 4 943.76 ₽ (you get 4 298.92)) · buy orders: 111
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked
Battle-Scarred
5 373.67 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 4672.76 you get 0.693111The Kilowatt Collection sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 707.79 ₽ (you get 4 963.29)) · buy orders: 202
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife
no wear
10 442.43 ₽ 3.08%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knifenet 9080.37The Kilowatt Collection sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 723.99 ₽ (you get 8 455.64)) · buy orders: 304
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
67 362.58 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 58576.16 you get 0.068444
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand
Well-Worn
23 200.12 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand (Well-Worn)net 20174.02 you get 0.410667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 468.12 ₽ (you get 13 450.53)) · buy orders: 71
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore
Battle-Scarred
28 814.43 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 25056.03 you get 0.556111
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 34 999.99 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 25 241.84 ₽ (you get 21 949.42)) · buy orders: 52
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Battle-Scarred
21 000.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 18260.87 you get 0.855556
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 23 643.39 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
33 730.60 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 29330.96 you get 0.727222
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 70 995.34 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 26 594.92 ₽ (you get 23 126.01)) · buy orders: 150
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water
Well-Worn
15 762.27 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 13706.32 you get 0.427778
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 18 959.49 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 14 433.47 ₽ (you get 12 550.84)) · buy orders: 39
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
50 242.21 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 43688.88 you get 0.068444
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 43 768.01 ₽ (you get 38 059.13)) · buy orders: 404
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 2.00%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) you get 0.410667 sell now to a buy order: 13 697.17 ₽ (you get 11 910.58)) · buy orders: 27
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore
Battle-Scarred
14 032.51 ₽ 2.00%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 13751.85 you get 0.556111 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 14 032.51 ₽ listings 4 · you get 13 751.85 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 16 731.31 ₽ (you get 14 548.96)) · buy orders: 101
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate
Battle-Scarred
13 681.67 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 11897.10 you get 0.855556
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 14 568.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 13 013.46 ₽ (you get 11 316.05)) · buy orders: 74
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
22 426.37 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 19501.19 you get 0.727222
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 25 355.48 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 2.00%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) you get 0.427778 sell now to a buy order: 10 246.10 ₽ (you get 8 909.65)) · buy orders: 61
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
23 031.17 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 20027.10 you get 0.068444
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 490.57 ₽ (you get 15 209.19)) · buy orders: 296
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand
Well-Worn
6 289.49 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)net 5469.12 you get 0.410667
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 836.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 858.15 ₽ (you get 5 963.60)) · buy orders: 95
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore
Battle-Scarred
9 095.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 7908.70 you get 0.556111
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 14 699.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 10 158.13 ₽ (you get 8 833.15)) · buy orders: 91
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate
Battle-Scarred
6 325.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 5500.00 you get 0.855556
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 500.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 5 579.65 ₽ (you get 4 851.86)) · buy orders: 83
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
10 997.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 9562.61 you get 0.727222
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 754.95 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 10 300.61 ₽ (you get 8 957.05)) · buy orders: 115
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water
Well-Worn
6 450.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 5608.70 you get 0.427778
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 14 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 263.37 ₽ (you get 5 446.40)) · buy orders: 82
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
147 222.32 ₽ 2.00%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 144277.87 you get 0.068444 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 147 222.32 ₽ listings 67 · you get 144 277.87 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 173 866.24 ₽ (you get 151 188.03)) · buy orders: 915
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 2.00%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand (Well-Worn) you get 0.410667 sell now to a buy order: 46 906.39 ₽ (you get 40 788.16)) · buy orders: 121
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore
Battle-Scarred
58 087.04 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 50510.47 you get 0.556111
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 64 249.94 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 55 660.76 ₽ (you get 48 400.66)) · buy orders: 98
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate
Battle-Scarred
76 841.04 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 66818.30 you get 0.855556
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 79 023.56 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 64 863.60 ₽ (you get 56 403.13)) · buy orders: 139
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
100 000.00 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 86956.52 you get 0.727222
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 74 876.38 ₽ (you get 65 109.89)) · buy orders: 207
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water
Well-Worn
38 374.84 ₽ 2.00%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 37607.34 you get 0.427778 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 38 374.84 ₽ listings 3 · you get 37 607.34 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 39 979.40 ₽ (you get 34 764.69)) · buy orders: 57
in profit
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
Factory New
94 652.22 ₽ 2.00%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)net 92759.17 you get 0.068444 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 94 652.22 ₽ listings 39 · you get 92 759.17 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 133 709.94 ₽ (you get 116 269.51)) · buy orders: 591
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand
Well-Worn
46 565.66 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Well-Worn)net 40491.88 you get 0.410667
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 33 764.80 ₽ (you get 29 360.69)) · buy orders: 51
in profit
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore
Battle-Scarred
57 824.84 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 50282.47 you get 0.556111
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 581.15 ₽ (you get 32 679.26)) · buy orders: 108
in profit
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate
Battle-Scarred
53 112.91 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 46185.14 you get 0.855556
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 44 154.33 ₽ (you get 38 395.06)) · buy orders: 94
in profit
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
71 102.58 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 61828.33 you get 0.727222
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 59 673.14 ₽ (you get 51 889.68)) · buy orders: 99
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water
Well-Worn
37 458.53 ₽ 2.00%
sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Well-Worn)net 35585.60 you get 0.427778 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 37 458.53 ₽ listings 3 · you get 35 585.60 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
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