Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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to all knife crafts

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 1753179 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −16 152.03₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 37 717.32₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 21 565.29₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −42.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 11%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 86 387.39₽ · profit at most −64 822.10₽ (at most -75.0%) · chance of profit at most 3%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 4 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 23990.16 → 56736.73 ₽
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 13727.16 → 29650.67 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 6.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 2. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 1.3% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -18 057.81 ₽.

No other variants in this recount

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0791
23 990.16 ₽
at 5 997.54
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079195f′ (normalized) 0.123742wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0791
13 727.16 ₽
at 13 727.16
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.079195f′ (normalized) 0.113136wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 10 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 19 518.89 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 5 pcs 37 717.32 ₽ -16 152.03 (-42.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.121621522 result 0.009730, 0.040405, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.121622, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.000000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.009730, 0.060811, 0.472973, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 43 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 10%
  • Losing outcome 82%
  • About break-even 1%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
26 985.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 23465.22 you get 0.009730
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 463.97 ₽ (you get 19 533.88)) · buy orders: 426
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
59 530.35 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 51765.52 you get 0.040405
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 892.31 ₽ (you get 23 384.61)) · buy orders: 222
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
29 554.24 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)net 25699.34 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 898.76 ₽ (you get 7 738.05)) · buy orders: 109
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Minimal Wear
16 635.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)net 14465.22 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 977.62 ₽ (you get 9 545.75)) · buy orders: 111
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Minimal Wear
37 488.67 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)net 32598.84 you get 0.121622
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 340.16 ₽ (you get 17 687.09)) · buy orders: 121
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
9 637.31 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 8380.27 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 043.43 ₽ (you get 5 255.15)) · buy orders: 129
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
11 999.99 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 10434.77 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 798.86 ₽ (you get 5 912.05)) · buy orders: 82
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
24 999.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 21738.26 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 458.06 ₽ (you get 15 180.92)) · buy orders: 115
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
18 003.07 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 15654.84 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 189.40 ₽ (you get 11 469.04)) · buy orders: 84
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
13 009.72 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 11312.80 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 980.77 ₽ (you get 6 939.80)) · buy orders: 97
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
8 287.47 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 7206.50 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
not on Steam — above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) you get 0.150000 sell now to a buy order: 8 798.35 ₽ (you get 7 650.73)) · buy orders: 64
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 850.18 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11174.07
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 091.42 ₽ (you get 9 644.71)) · buy orders: 193
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
Factory New
173 457.69 ₽ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 169988.53 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 173 457.69 ₽ listings 55 · you get 169 988.53 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 1069
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
118 244.18 ₽ 0.67%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 115879.29 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 118 244.18 ₽ listings 22 · you get 115 879.29 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 134 754.15 ₽ (you get 117 177.52)) · buy orders: 1087
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
154 196.31 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 134083.75 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 108 709.07 ₽ (you get 94 529.62)) · buy orders: 936
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
146 143.76 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 127081.53 you get 0.060811The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 86 470.78 ₽ (you get 75 191.98)) · buy orders: 306
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
55 554.50 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 48308.26 you get 0.472973The Spectrum Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 56 516.59 ₽ (you get 49 144.86)) · buy orders: 355
in profit
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
124 214.52 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 108012.63 you get 0.150000The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler
Factory New
41 795.75 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 36344.13 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 35 617.99 ₽ (you get 30 972.16)) · buy orders: 321
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 153.69 ₽ (you get 17 524.94)) · buy orders: 251
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
16 810.75 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 14618.04 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
18 419.18 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 16016.68 you get 0.060811The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 172.42 ₽ (you get 12 323.84)) · buy orders: 118
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
7 025.04 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 6108.73 you get 0.472973The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
20 504.98 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 17830.42 you get 0.150000The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 350.33 ₽ (you get 9 000.28)) · buy orders: 107
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler
Factory New
18 570.35 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)net 16148.13 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade
Factory New
9 680.09 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 8417.47 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection sells 6 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 768.21 ₽ (you get 9 363.66)) · buy orders: 201
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
9 638.42 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 8381.23 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 490.45 ₽ (you get 7 383.00)) · buy orders: 192
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel
Factory New
9 244.92 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 8039.06 you get 0.060811The Spectrum Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 211.45 ₽ (you get 8 009.95)) · buy orders: 120
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 400.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5565.22 you get 0.472973The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 669.31 ₽ (you get 4 060.26)) · buy orders: 214
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
10 946.89 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 9519.03 you get 0.150000The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 764.66 ₽ (you get 6 751.87)) · buy orders: 129
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler
Factory New
33 403.05 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 29046.13 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 678.39 ₽ (you get 20 589.90)) · buy orders: 362
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
23 611.20 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 20531.48 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 947.65 ₽ (you get 15 606.65)) · buy orders: 270
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
15 835.08 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 13769.63 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 13 472.45 ₽ (you get 11 715.17)) · buy orders: 350
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
20 115.60 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 17491.83 you get 0.060811The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 086.63 ₽ (you get 9 640.54)) · buy orders: 126
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 564.98 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5708.68 you get 0.472973The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 750.82 ₽ (you get 5 000.71)) · buy orders: 144
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
12 400.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 10782.61 you get 0.150000The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 823.67 ₽ (you get 9 411.88)) · buy orders: 115
about break-even
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler
Factory New
44 547.12 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 38736.63 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
25 056.35 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 21788.13 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 23 263.38 ₽ (you get 20 229.02)) · buy orders: 233
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
18 500.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 16086.96 you get 0.009730The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 022.74 ₽ (you get 13 932.81)) · buy orders: 447
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
15 500.07 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 13478.32 you get 0.060811The Spectrum Collection sells 2 a week no buy orders
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat
Battle-Scarred
6 346.12 ₽ 0.67%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 5518.37 you get 0.472973The Spectrum Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 052.99 ₽ (you get 5 263.46)) · buy orders: 136
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet
Minimal Wear
15 183.00 ₽ 0.67%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)net 13202.61 you get 0.150000The Spectrum Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
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