Knives and gloves · The Breakout Collection
₽
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD
LanguageRU
to all knife crafts

The Breakout Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753535 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +71 245.69₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 138 530.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 209 775.69₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +51.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%
From the outcome -28 741.79 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +99 987.48 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 401 737.00₽ · profit at most −191 961.31₽ (at most -47.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 500 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 138530.00 → 401737.00 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 023 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −22 023 ₽: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -28 741.79 ₽.
The gain is understated. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 7.7% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 76.9% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -20 552.12 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+71 245.69 ₽ +51.4% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 318 990.83 ₽ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −22 023 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -28742, selling intermediates +99987. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 18 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 522.55 ₽ +59.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −663 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 12 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+6 988.76 ₽ +6.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 318 990.83 ₽ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 002 ₽ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×500
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
138 530.00 ₽
at 277.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details10 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004054f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 612.18 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 140) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 2 314.03 ₽.

Craft on only from M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 20 559.89 ₽.

Set · 500 pcs 138 530.00 ₽ +71 245.69 (+51.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
2 252.12 ₽ 33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)fetches 1 958.37, no more than the replacement you get 0.0041
sell
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Factory New
7 539.29 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)+4 241.87 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0135
sell
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Factory New
4 366.04 ₽ 33%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)+1 482.53 each above the replacement you get 0.0095
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
20 559.89 ₽ 50%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)fetches 17 878.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0068
sell
P90 | Asiimov
Factory New
25 751.04 ₽ 50%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)+1 832.32 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0124
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 69%
  • About break-even 8%
  • Above the Steam cap 8%
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Factory New
177 371.41 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 173823.98 you get 0.001081 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 177 371.41 ₽ listings 278 · you get 173 823.98 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 178 481.05 ₽ (you get 155 200.91)) · buy orders: 3645 sell on Market.CSGO: 179 643.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 196 977.88 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 177 371.41 ₽ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 198 402.19 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 179 964.28 ₽ listings: 193
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
109 782.87 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 107587.21 you get 0.013378 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 109 782.87 ₽ listings 157 · you get 107 587.21 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 155 806.71 ₽ (you get 135 484.09)) · buy orders: 1363 sell on Market.CSGO: 123 120.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 135 000.00 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 109 782.87 ₽ listings: 157 on CS.Money: ~ 136 879.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 119 547.90 ₽ listings: 55
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
94 583.70 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 92692.02 you get 0.013513 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 94 583.70 ₽ listings 10 · you get 92 692.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 100 422.31 ₽ (you get 87 323.74)) · buy orders: 505 sell on Market.CSGO: 104 681.49 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 114 782.34 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 94 583.70 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 103 267.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 102 289.50 ₽ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained
Factory New
110 078.73 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 95720.63 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 90 355.98 ₽ (you get 78 570.41)) · buy orders: 361 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 74 967.99 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 77 634.52 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 73 917.82 ₽ listings: 21
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
110 813.34 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 108597.07 you get 0.013513 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 110 813.34 ₽ listings 24 · you get 108 597.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 141 210.68 ₽ (you get 122 791.89)) · buy orders: 414 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 110 813.34 ₽ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 117 393.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 119 665.25 ₽ listings: 21
at a loss
worst
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
59 975.25 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 58775.74 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 59 975.25 ₽ listings 5 · you get 58 775.74 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 59 079.31 ₽ (you get 51 373.31)) · buy orders: 128 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 59 975.25 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 61 882.00 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
72 295.45 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 70849.54 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 72 295.45 ₽ listings 3 · you get 70 849.54 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 76 838.58 ₽ (you get 66 816.15)) · buy orders: 135 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 72 295.45 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 70 743.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 72 985.86 ₽ listings: 9
in profit
best
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
325 500.85 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 318990.83 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 325 500.85 ₽ listings 3 · you get 318 990.83 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽ (you get 148 475.64)) · buy orders: 177 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 325 500.85 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 379 979.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 381 144.37 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Night
Factory New
109 107.03 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 106924.88 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 109 107.03 ₽ listings 6 · you get 106 924.88 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 102 448.58 ₽ (you get 89 085.72)) · buy orders: 154 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 109 107.03 ₽ listings: 6 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Factory New
72 809.40 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 71353.21 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 72 809.40 ₽ listings 7 · you get 71 353.21 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 72 809.40 ₽ listings: 7 on Lis-Skins: from 73 973.50 ₽ listings: 3
★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 56 666.72 ₽ (you get 49 275.40)) · buy orders: 126 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on Lis-Skins: from 62 267.46 ₽ listings: 9
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
85 486.80 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 83777.06 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 85 486.80 ₽ listings 11 · you get 83 777.06 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 65 563.57 ₽ (you get 57 011.80)) · buy orders: 146 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 85 486.80 ₽ listings: 11 on Lis-Skins: from 87 102.32 ₽ listings: 4
about break-even
★ Butterfly Knife
no wear
158 877.80 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knifenet 138154.61
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 127 147.27 ₽ (you get 110 562.84)) · buy orders: 3422 sell on Market.CSGO: 108 278.46 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 118 726.39 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 96 329.41 ₽ listings: 105 on CS.Money: ~ 112 732.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 99 939.04 ₽ listings: 107
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work