Knives and gloves · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753536 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +60 462.88₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 129 053.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 189 515.88₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +46.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%
From the outcome -39 524.60 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +99 987.48 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 374 253.70₽ · profit at most −184 737.82₽ (at most -49.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) × 450 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 115200.00 → 334080.00 ₽
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 50 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 13853.00 → 40173.70 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −60 548 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −60 548 ₽: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) and 4 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -39 524.60 ₽.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 4. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 30.8% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +23 332.09 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+60 462.88 ₽ +46.9% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) · 173 823.98 ₽ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −60 548 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -39525, selling intermediates +99987. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 12 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 522.55 ₽ +59.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 6 555.90 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −663 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 12 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+6 988.76 ₽ +6.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 318 990.83 ₽ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −11 002 ₽ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 500 pcs. but about 12 sell per day — buying will take 42 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×450
CZ75-Auto | Tigris
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
115 200.00 ₽
at 256.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.075874f′ (normalized) 0.075874wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 120 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×50
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0051
13 853.00 ₽
at 277.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005139f′ (normalized) 0.017132wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 612.18 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 2 314.03 ₽.

Craft on only from M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 20 559.89 ₽.

Set · 500 pcs 129 053.00 ₽ +60 462.88 (+46.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.027500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
2 252.12 ₽ 33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)fetches 1 958.37, no more than the replacement you get 0.0210
sell
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Factory New
7 539.29 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)+4 241.87 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Factory New
4 366.04 ₽ 33%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)+1 482.53 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
20 559.89 ₽ 50%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)fetches 17 878.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
sell
P90 | Asiimov
Factory New
25 751.04 ₽ 50%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)+1 832.32 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0644
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 85%
in profit
best
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Factory New
177 371.41 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 173823.98 you get 0.005600 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 177 371.41 ₽ listings 278 · you get 173 823.98 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 178 481.05 ₽ (you get 155 200.91)) · buy orders: 3645 sell on Market.CSGO: 179 643.82 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 196 977.88 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 177 371.41 ₽ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 198 402.19 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 179 964.28 ₽ listings: 193
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
109 782.87 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 107587.21 you get 0.027500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 109 782.87 ₽ listings 157 · you get 107 587.21 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 155 806.71 ₽ (you get 135 484.09)) · buy orders: 1363 sell on Market.CSGO: 123 120.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 135 000.00 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 109 782.87 ₽ listings: 157 on CS.Money: ~ 136 879.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 119 547.90 ₽ listings: 55
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
94 583.70 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 92692.02 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 94 583.70 ₽ listings 10 · you get 92 692.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 100 422.31 ₽ (you get 87 323.74)) · buy orders: 505 sell on Market.CSGO: 104 681.49 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 114 782.34 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 94 583.70 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 103 267.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 102 289.50 ₽ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained
Factory New
110 078.73 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 95720.63 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 90 355.98 ₽ (you get 78 570.41)) · buy orders: 361 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 74 967.99 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 77 634.52 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 73 917.82 ₽ listings: 21
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
110 813.34 ₽ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 108597.07 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 110 813.34 ₽ listings 24 · you get 108 597.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 141 210.68 ₽ (you get 122 791.89)) · buy orders: 414 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 110 813.34 ₽ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 117 393.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 119 665.25 ₽ listings: 21
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
53 129.26 ₽ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 46199.36 you get 0.111800 sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 46 507.64 ₽ (you get 40 441.42)) · buy orders: 482 sell on Market.CSGO: 37 848.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 41 500.00 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 36 721.64 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 43 614.54 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 36 783.31 ₽ listings: 50
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
60 670.75 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 52757.17 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 37 392.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 41 000.00 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 36 641.97 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 43 637.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 41 057.65 ₽ listings: 40
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
137 919.80 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 119930.26 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 107 739.45 ₽ (you get 93 686.47)) · buy orders: 688 sell on Market.CSGO: 85 310.31 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 93 542.01 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 84 693.61 ₽ listings: 65 on CS.Money: ~ 97 446.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 87 820.99 ₽ listings: 51
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
83 745.80 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 72822.43 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 53 309.91 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 58 453.85 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 51 161.03 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 59 546.96 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 53 184.27 ₽ listings: 35
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
63 139.49 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 54903.90 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 51 458.09 ₽ (you get 44 746.16)) · buy orders: 509 sell on Market.CSGO: 46 092.01 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 50 539.49 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 40 259.32 ₽ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 48 543.31 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 42 329.67 ₽ listings: 43
at a loss
worst
★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
46 517.23 ₽ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 40449.77 you get 0.111800 sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 45 628.86 ₽ (you get 39 677.26)) · buy orders: 635 sell on Market.CSGO: 37 699.19 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 41 336.84 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 35 119.83 ₽ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 40 203.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 37 275.84 ₽ listings: 38
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
69 265.45 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 60230.83 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 53 212.79 ₽ (you get 46 271.99)) · buy orders: 460 sell on Market.CSGO: 48 133.54 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 52 778.01 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 42 829.06 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 49 219.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 44 998.78 ₽ listings: 37
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife
no wear
158 877.80 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knifenet 138154.61
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 127 147.27 ₽ (you get 110 562.84)) · buy orders: 3422 sell on Market.CSGO: 108 278.46 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 118 726.39 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 96 329.41 ₽ listings: 105 on CS.Money: ~ 112 732.08 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 99 939.04 ₽ listings: 107
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