Knives and gloves · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753536 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +318 903.58₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 680 673.24₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 999 576.82₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +46.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 15%
From the outcome -208 467.35 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +527 370.94 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 973 952.38₸ · profit at most −974 375.56₸ (at most -49.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) × 450 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 607607.39 → 1762061.44 ₸
Nova | Koi (Factory New) × 50 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 73065.84 → 211890.95 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −319 353 ₸ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −319 353 ₸: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) and 4 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -208 467.35 ₸.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 4. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 30.8% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is +123 062.07 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+318 903.59 ₸ +46.9% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) · 916 811.94 ₸ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −319 353 ₸ profit only from resale Outcome alone -208467, selling intermediates +527371. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 12 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+8 030.48 ₸ +59.0% chance of profit 67%
expensive: Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) · 34 578.24 ₸ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 496 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 12 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 1× Nova | Koi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+36 861.33 ₸ +6.8% chance of profit 46%
expensive: ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 1 682 475.57 ₸ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −58 027 ₸ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 7 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 500 pcs. but about 12 sell per day — buying will take 42 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×450
CZ75-Auto | Tigris
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0758
607 607.39 ₸
at 1 350.24
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.075874f′ (normalized) 0.075874wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 120 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 84) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×50
Nova | Koi
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0051
73 065.84 ₸
at 1 461.32
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005139f′ (normalized) 0.017132wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 183 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 8 503.23 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 140) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 12 205.05 ₸.

Craft on only from M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 108 440.46 ₸.

Set · 500 pcs 680 673.24 ₸ +318 903.58 (+46.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.027500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy
Factory New
11 878.51 ₸ 33%
Steam Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)fetches 10 329.17, no more than the replacement you get 0.0210
sell
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play
Factory New
39 765.00 ₸ 33%
price without deals
Steam Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)+22 373.19 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
Glock-18 | Water Elemental
Factory New
23 028.11 ₸ 33%
Steam Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)+7 819.41 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
108 440.46 ₸ 50%
Steam M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)fetches 94 296.08, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
sell
P90 | Asiimov
Factory New
135 820.51 ₸ 50%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)+9 664.33 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0644
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 15%
  • Losing outcome 85%
in profit
best
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Factory New
935 522.39 ₸ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 916811.94 you get 0.005600 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 935 522.39 ₸ listings 278 · you get 916 811.94 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 941 375.05 ₸ (you get 818 586.98)) · buy orders: 3645 sell on Market.CSGO: 947 507.92 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 1 038 934.17 · lots 25 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 935 522.39 ₸ listings: 278 on CS.Money: ~ 1 046 446.50 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 949 198.15 ₸ listings: 193
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
579 035.45 ₸ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 567454.72 you get 0.027500 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 579 035.45 ₸ listings 157 · you get 567 454.72 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 821 782.19 ₸ (you get 714 593.18)) · buy orders: 1363 sell on Market.CSGO: 649 380.40 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 712 039.91 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 579 035.45 ₸ listings: 157 on CS.Money: ~ 721 951.03 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 630 539.82 ₸ listings: 55
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
498 869.40 ₸ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 488891.98 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 498 869.40 ₸ listings 10 · you get 488 891.98 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 529 664.39 ₸ (you get 460 577.69)) · buy orders: 505 sell on Market.CSGO: 552 128.88 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 605 404.50 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 498 869.40 ₸ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 544 672.14 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 539 512.64 ₸ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained
Factory New
580 595.92 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 504865.99 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 476 570.84 ₸ (you get 414 409.39)) · buy orders: 361 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 395 408.90 ₸ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 409 473.16 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 389 869.91 ₸ listings: 21
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
584 470.53 ₸ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 572781.10 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 584 470.53 ₸ listings 24 · you get 572 781.10 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 744 797.33 ₸ (you get 647 649.83)) · buy orders: 414 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 584 470.53 ₸ listings: 24 on CS.Money: ~ 619 177.25 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 631 158.77 ₸ listings: 21
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
280 223.36 ₸ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 243672.51 you get 0.111800 sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 245 298.49 ₸ (you get 213 303.00)) · buy orders: 482 sell on Market.CSGO: 199 624.35 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 218 886.34 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 193 683.51 ₸ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 230 039.21 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 194 008.78 ₸ listings: 50
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
319 999.97 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 278260.82 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 197 219.23 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 216 249.16 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 193 263.30 ₸ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 230 161.21 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 216 553.23 ₸ listings: 40
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
727 440.02 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 632556.53 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 568 257.69 ₸ (you get 494 137.08)) · buy orders: 688 sell on Market.CSGO: 449 958.12 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 493 375.15 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 446 705.41 ₸ listings: 65 on CS.Money: ~ 513 968.29 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 463 200.37 ₸ listings: 51
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
441 706.31 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 384092.42 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 281 176.18 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 308 307.22 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 269 842.19 ₸ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 314 072.68 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 280 513.50 ₸ listings: 35
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
333 021.01 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 289583.47 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 271 408.99 ₸ (you get 236 007.79)) · buy orders: 509 sell on Market.CSGO: 243 106.30 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 266 563.96 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 212 342.54 ₸ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 256 035.36 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 223 262.33 ₸ listings: 43
at a loss
worst
★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
245 349.07 ₸ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 213347.04 you get 0.111800 sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 240 663.48 ₸ (you get 209 272.54)) · buy orders: 635 sell on Market.CSGO: 198 839.47 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 218 025.78 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 185 234.97 ₸ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 212 048.86 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 196 606.56 ₸ listings: 38
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
365 331.59 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 317679.67 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 280 663.93 ₸ (you get 244 055.58)) · buy orders: 460 sell on Market.CSGO: 253 874.09 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 278 370.74 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 225 896.30 ₸ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 259 600.05 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 237 340.20 ₸ listings: 37
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife
no wear
837 980.26 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knifenet 728678.49
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 670 621.71 ₸ (you get 583 149.30)) · buy orders: 3422 sell on Market.CSGO: 571 100.63 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 626 206.88 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 508 076.92 ₸ listings: 105 on CS.Money: ~ 594 590.67 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 527 115.45 ₸ listings: 107
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