Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753548 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +70 410.58₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 118 968.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 189 378.58₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +59.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -93 094.11 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +163 504.69 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 345 007.20₽ · profit at most −155 628.62₽ (at most -45.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) × 350 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 63945.00 → 185440.50 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) × 150 9% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 55023.00 → 159566.70 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −118 968 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −118 968 ₽: StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New), StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) and 11 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -93 094.11 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+70 410.58 ₽ +59.2% chance of profit 0%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) · 89 549.15 ₽ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −118 968 ₽ profit only from resale Outcome alone -93094, selling intermediates +163505. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 3× StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 106.93 ₽ +46.5% chance of profit 33%
expensive: StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) · 7 484.35 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −1 994 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 3× StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+5 243.78 ₽ +42.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 29 796.67 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 655 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 4× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0773
  • 6× StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0064

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 9% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 500 pcs needed, and about 2 sell per day — buying will take 250 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×350
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0771
63 945.00 ₽
at 182.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details7 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.077142f′ (normalized) 0.096428wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 52 · from 322.93 ₽ (float 0.0750) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×150
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0062
55 023.00 ₽
at 366.82
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details3 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.006249f′ (normalized) 0.008333wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 18 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 2 883.45 ₽ · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 24) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 422.02 ₽.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 7 452.96 ₽.

Set · 500 pcs 118 968.00 ₽ +70 410.58 (+59.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.027500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Factory New
1 329.52 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)fetches 1 156.10, no more than the replacement you get 0.0280
sell
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra
Factory New
8 607.00 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)+6 062.33 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
sell
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
2 091.18 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)+396.40 each above the replacement
by lot · 2 sales per day
you get 0.0399
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire
Factory New
34 266.17 ₽ 50%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)+22 343.71 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0583
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
6 220.96 ₽ 50%
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)fetches 5 409.53, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
44 900.00 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 39043.48 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 991.98 ₽ (you get 24 340.85)) · buy orders: 303 sell on Market.CSGO: 25 583.15 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 28 051.71 · lots 18 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 25 353.95 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 25 758.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 25 505.56 ₽ listings: 48
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
34 693.68 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 30168.42 you get 0.027500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 970.09 ₽ (you get 17 365.29)) · buy orders: 156 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 904.79 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 728.94 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 18 008.76 ₽ listings: 8 on CS.Money: ~ 17 252.40 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 19 458.10 ₽ listings: 12
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
37 630.50 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 32722.17 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 186.76 ₽ (you get 12 336.31)) · buy orders: 124 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
19 550.00 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 17000.00 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 665.11 ₽ (you get 13 621.83)) · buy orders: 47 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
best
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
102 981.52 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 89549.15 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 76 235.73 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
11 067.20 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 9623.65 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 10 754.04 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 791.72 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 7 452.26 ₽ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 7 195.28 ₽ Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
13 603.82 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 11829.41 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 737.16 ₽ (you get 7 597.53)) · buy orders: 78 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
29 971.43 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 26062.11 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 134.85 ₽ (you get 14 899.86)) · buy orders: 144 sell on Market.CSGO: 19 106.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 949.99 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 18 648.63 ₽ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 15 733.68 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 18 662.33 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
17 000.00 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 14782.61 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 540.17 ₽ (you get 7 426.23)) · buy orders: 86 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 708.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 548.98 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 8 176.07 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 8 464.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 629.69 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
8 674.25 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 7542.83 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 463.45 ₽ (you get 6 489.95)) · buy orders: 91 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 767.04 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 420.00 · lots 5 CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 6 234.20 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 358.89 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Minimal Wear
14 499.98 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)net 12608.68 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 741.43 ₽ (you get 9 340.37)) · buy orders: 95 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 030.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 998.87 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 8 755.97 ₽ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 9 228.81 ₽ listings: 8
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
21 960.01 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 19095.66 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 267.14 ₽ (you get 8 927.94)) · buy orders: 109 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 367.67 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 11 368.06 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 8 564.96 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife
no wear
30 282.27 ₽ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 26332.41
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 880.56 ₽ (you get 25 983.09)) · buy orders: 419 sell on Market.CSGO: 24 608.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 26 983.27 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 22 588.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 892.87 ₽ listings: 10
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work