Knives and gloves · The Chroma 2 Collection
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The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753560 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −7 419.16₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 265 972.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 258 552.84₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −2.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -227 331.52 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +219 912.36 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 771 318.80₽ · profit at most −512 765.96₽ (at most -66.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) × 50 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 8257.00 → 23945.30 ₽
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) × 450 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 257715.00 → 747373.50 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
The gain is understated. 6 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 20.0% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 3. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 10.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -12 836.63 ₽.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
−7 419.16 ₽ −2.8% chance of profit 0%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) · 114 704.73 ₽ · chance 3.3%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 70% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2571
  • 9× StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0049
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+5 532.43 ₽ +335.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear) · 13 472.17 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −192 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 13 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 10× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) buy 0.2500–0.2562
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+11 771.43 ₽ +73.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) · 41 716.03 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −16 055 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1619
  • 1× StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)
×50
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix
Field-Tested
buy 0.2500–0.2571
8 257.00 ₽
at 165.14
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.257112f′ (normalized) 0.071123wear 0.2500–0.3500on the market 96 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~7, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 757.75 ₽
×450
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0049
257 715.00 ₽
at 572.70
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004978f′ (normalized) 0.007112wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 36 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 4 255.00 ₽.

Craft on only from StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 16 027.73 ₽.

Set · 500 pcs 265 972.00 ₽ -7 419.16 (-2.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006757, 0.408108, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 30 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn
Factory New
4 255.00 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)fetches 3 700.00, no more than the replacement you get 0.0135
sell
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business
Minimal Wear
5 036.22 ₽ 33%
Steam StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear)+124.32 each above the replacement you get 0.1108
sell
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco
Minimal Wear
15 493.00 ₽ 33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)+9 217.17 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.1101
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast
Factory New
47 973.44 ₽ 50%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)+25 688.30 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0135
craft on
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
16 027.73 ₽ 50%
Steam StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)fetches 13 937.16, no more than the replacement you get 0.0061
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 80%
  • Above the Steam cap 20%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler
Factory New
46 907.64 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 40789.25 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 44 511.01 ₽ (you get 38 705.22)) · buy orders: 886
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade
Factory New
52 522.04 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 45671.34 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 047.29 ₽ (you get 34 823.73)) · buy orders: 530
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
36 557.24 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 31788.90 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel
Factory New
28 698.15 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 24954.91 you get 0.006757
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
23 428.00 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 20372.17 you get 0.408108
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 746.89 ₽ (you get 11 953.81)) · buy orders: 114
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) you get 0.070000
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler
Factory New
31 730.53 ₽ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 27591.77 you get 0.001081 sells ≈4 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 34 576.65 ₽ (you get 30 066.65)) · buy orders: 586
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
40 193.77 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 34951.10 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 247.98 ₽ (you get 27 172.15)) · buy orders: 471
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
27 583.96 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 23986.05 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 812.04 ₽ (you get 19 836.55)) · buy orders: 235
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
26 491.54 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 23036.12 you get 0.006757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 107.12 ₽ (you get 14 875.75)) · buy orders: 136
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
15 075.83 ₽ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 14774.31 you get 0.408108 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 15 075.83 ₽ listings 4 · you get 14 774.31 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 11 725.40 ₽ (you get 10 196.00)) · buy orders: 76
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 34 321.33 ₽ (you get 29 844.63)) · buy orders: 25
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler
Factory New
14 739.68 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 12817.11 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 729.68 ₽ (you get 11 938.85)) · buy orders: 725
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade
Factory New
15 902.24 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 13828.03 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 229.57 ₽ (you get 11 503.97)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
11 082.47 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 9636.93 you get 0.001081
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 394.32 ₽ (you get 9 038.53)) · buy orders: 229
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel
Factory New
13 963.91 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 12142.53 you get 0.006757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 753.92 ₽ (you get 5 872.97)) · buy orders: 138
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) you get 0.408108 sell now to a buy order: 5 121.62 ₽ (you get 4 453.58)) · buy orders: 38
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 11 868.84 ₽ (you get 10 320.73)) · buy orders: 22
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler
Factory New
103 646.32 ₽ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)net 101573.39 you get 0.001081 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 103 646.32 ₽ listings 128 · you get 101 573.39 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 145 135.08 ₽ (you get 126 204.41)) · buy orders: 1442
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade
Factory New
130 300.67 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 113304.93 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 115 908.60 ₽ (you get 100 790.08)) · buy orders: 1129
at a loss
best
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
131 910.44 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 114704.73 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 95 481.42 ₽ (you get 83 027.32)) · buy orders: 1066
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel
Factory New
98 514.14 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 85664.47 you get 0.006757
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 81 430.44 ₽ (you get 70 809.07)) · buy orders: 369
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
47 118.82 ₽ 3.33%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 46176.44 you get 0.408108 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 47 118.82 ₽ listings 3 · you get 46 176.44 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 95 623.90 ₽ (you get 83 151.21)) · buy orders: 18
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler
Factory New
92 987.08 ₽ 3.33%
pricier variants exist 7 фазы — цена усреднена
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 80858.33 you get 0.001081 sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 90 707.87 ₽ (you get 78 876.40)) · buy orders: 1519
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade
Factory New
101 958.73 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 88659.77 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 93 056.40 ₽ (you get 80 918.60)) · buy orders: 605
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth
Factory New
78 172.51 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 67976.10 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 66 421.32 ₽ (you get 57 757.66)) · buy orders: 615
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel
Factory New
84 726.36 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 73675.10 you get 0.006757
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat
Well-Worn
57 822.80 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 50280.70 you get 0.408108
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32 128.67 ₽ (you get 27 937.97)) · buy orders: 79
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 3.33%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 84 914.02 ₽ (you get 73 838.27)) · buy orders: 17
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