Knives and gloves · The Recoil Collection
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The Recoil Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753721 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 581.37₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 12 194.52₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 13 775.88₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 33%
From the outcome +200.79 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +1 380.57 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 364.10₴ · profit at most −21 588.22₴ (at most -61.0%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) × 25 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 4684.51 → 13585.07 ₴
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) × 25 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 7510.01 → 21779.03 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 261 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 261 ₴: ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear), ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear), ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear), ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear), ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) and 11 more

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
+1 581.36 ₴ +13.0% chance of profit 33%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) · 42 155.79 ₴ · chance 4.2%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 261 ₴ pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1672
  • 5× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0759
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+703.80 ₴ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 4 039.89 ₴ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+21 308.66 ₴ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 118 771.85 ₴ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of listings fit, and a rare float costs more than usual; you need 50 pcs. but about 30 sell per day — buying will take 2 days and the price will move meanwhile. The database holds the average item price, ignoring float — the real purchase will cost more.

×25
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1672
4 684.51 ₴
at 187.38
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details5 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.167244f′ (normalized) 0.167244wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 544 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 396.46 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×25
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0759
7 510.01 ₴
at 300.40
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details5 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.075998f′ (normalized) 0.075998wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 253 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 984.90 ₴.

Set · 50 pcs 12 194.52 ₴ +1 581.37 (+13.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.121621522 all outcomes come out at 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 24 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Minimal Wear
1 984.90 ₴ 50%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)fetches 1 726.00, no more than the replacement you get 0.0851
sell
USP-S | Printstream
Minimal Wear
2 917.70 ₴ 50%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)+552.23 each above the replacement you get 0.1034
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 33%
  • Losing outcome 67%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Minimal Wear
4 760.48 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Minimal Wear)net 4139.55 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 236.87 ₴ (you get 2 814.66)) · buy orders: 163
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Minimal Wear
9 578.51 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear)net 8329.14 you get 0.150000 sells 9 a week no buy orders
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Minimal Wear
4 554.19 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Minimal Wear)net 3960.17 you get 0.150000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 881.74 ₴ (you get 3 375.42)) · buy orders: 134
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Minimal Wear
5 835.73 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Minimal Wear)net 5074.55 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 563.31 ₴ (you get 4 837.65)) · buy orders: 175
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Minimal Wear
11 213.39 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear)net 9750.78 you get 0.150000 sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 296.85 ₴ (you get 8 953.78)) · buy orders: 262
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Minimal Wear
9 250.86 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Minimal Wear)net 8044.23 you get 0.150000
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 236.48 ₴ (you get 7 162.16)) · buy orders: 210
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Minimal Wear
4 676.40 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear)net 4066.43 you get 0.150000 sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 272.57 ₴ (you get 3 715.27)) · buy orders: 220
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Minimal Wear
10 811.12 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Minimal Wear)net 9400.97 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Minimal Wear
35 451.59 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)net 30827.47 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 27 484.33 ₴ (you get 23 899.41)) · buy orders: 346
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Minimal Wear
5 994.07 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear)net 5212.24 you get 0.150000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 672.04 ₴ (you get 4 932.21)) · buy orders: 156
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Minimal Wear
7 331.80 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)net 6375.48 you get 0.150000 sells 11 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 535.87 ₴ (you get 5 683.36)) · buy orders: 253
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Minimal Wear
15 102.46 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)net 13132.57 you get 0.150000 sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 15 053.95 ₴ (you get 13 090.38)) · buy orders: 263
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Minimal Wear
15 244.17 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Minimal Wear)net 13255.80 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 155.16 ₴ (you get 13 178.40)) · buy orders: 277
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Minimal Wear
24 837.30 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 21597.65 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 548.49 ₴ (you get 16 998.68)) · buy orders: 385
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Minimal Wear
10 549.23 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Minimal Wear)net 9173.25 you get 0.150000
by lot · 2 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Minimal Wear
20 435.76 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear)net 17770.23 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Minimal Wear
18 763.64 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear)net 16316.21 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Minimal Wear
12 130.85 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Minimal Wear)net 10548.56 you get 0.150000 sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 10 407.08 ₴ (you get 9 049.64)) · buy orders: 195
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Minimal Wear
47 963.43 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear)net 41707.33 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Minimal Wear
48 479.16 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)net 42155.79 you get 0.150000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 42 577.36 ₴ (you get 37 023.79)) · buy orders: 147
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Minimal Wear
3 144.38 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Minimal Wear)net 2734.25 you get 0.150000 sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 256.41 ₴ (you get 2 831.66)) · buy orders: 198
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Minimal Wear
7 271.35 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear)net 6322.91 you get 0.150000 sells 14 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 867.45 ₴ (you get 5 102.13)) · buy orders: 246
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Minimal Wear
4 192.18 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear)net 3645.37 you get 0.150000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 741.44 ₴ (you get 3 253.43)) · buy orders: 697
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Minimal Wear
4 538.50 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Minimal Wear)net 3946.53 you get 0.150000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 973.44 ₴ (you get 3 455.16)) · buy orders: 216
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