Knives and gloves · The Recoil Collection
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to all knife crafts

The Recoil Collection

Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753722 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 875.66₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 34 687.87₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 44 563.53₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +28.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 62%
From the outcome +6 669.06 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +3 206.60 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 100 594.83₴ · profit at most −56 031.29₴ (at most -55.7%) · chance of profit at most 8%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) × 50 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 2400.15 → 6960.45 ₴
M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 450 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 32287.72 → 93634.38 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 379 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 379 ₴: ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New), ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New), ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New), ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New), ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New) and 8 more
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO — outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 41.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -15 914.21 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → нож или перчатки
+9 875.66 ₴ +28.5% chance of profit 62%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 118 771.85 ₴ · chance 4.2%
profit on prices without salesat least −5 379 ₴ marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 1× R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
  • 9× M249 | Downtown (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0043
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+703.80 ₴ +24.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 4 039.89 ₴ · chance 50%
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 8× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+21 308.66 ₴ +106.3% chance of profit 71%
expensive: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) · 118 771.85 ₴ · chance 4.2%
продажа ненадёжна marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 58% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now. rare inputs The rarest input sells 4 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0094

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 500 pcs needed, and about 31 sell per day — buying will take 17 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×50
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0749
2 400.15 ₴
at 48.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074966f′ (normalized) 0.074966wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 368 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 128) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×450
M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0043
32 287.72 ₴
at 71.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004345f′ (normalized) 0.006685wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 015 · good ≈ 15
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · among lots up to 111.64 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 204) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from P250 | Visions (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 452.26 ₴.

Craft on only from AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 4 009.65 ₴.

Set · 500 pcs 34 687.87 ₴ +9 875.66 (+28.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 24 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Restricted → Classified

50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
736.14 ₴ 33%
Steam AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)+187.86 each above the replacement you get 0.0104
craft on
P250 | Visions
Factory New
403.98 ₴ 33%
Steam P250 | Visions (Factory New)fetches 351.29, no more than the replacement you get 0.0095
craft on
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
494.58 ₴ 33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)fetches 430.07, no more than the replacement you get 0.0135
2

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
Factory New
3 720.74 ₴ 50%
Steam AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)fetches 3 235.43, no more than the replacement you get 0.0095
sell
USP-S | Printstream
Factory New
4 645.88 ₴ 50%
Steam USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)+30.24 each above the replacement you get 0.0115
3

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 63%
  • Losing outcome 38%
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
Factory New
17 164.47 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New)net 14925.63 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 11 067.37 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 135.28 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 7 616.42 ₴ listings: 12 on Lis-Skins: from 9 958.49 ₴ listings: 40
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
Factory New
44 000.39 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)net 38261.21 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 28 903.34 ₴ (you get 25 133.34)) · buy orders: 145 sell on Market.CSGO: 23 640.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 25 921.62 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 25 584.07 ₴ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 27 233.57 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 24 409.89 ₴ listings: 10
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
Factory New
16 159.89 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)net 14052.08 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 198.01 ₴ (you get 11 476.52)) · buy orders: 92 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 315.15 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 117.49 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 9 424.81 ₴ listings: 11 on Lis-Skins: from 9 638.91 ₴ listings: 15
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
Factory New
15 486.24 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)net 13466.30 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 017.76 ₴ (you get 8 711.09)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 10 429.77 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 11 436.15 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 8 561.24 ₴ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 10 197.27 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 652.83 ₴ listings: 11
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
Factory New
45 446.73 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)net 39518.90 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 33 176.64 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 36 377.89 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 25 532.90 ₴ listings: 8 on CS.Money: ~ 29 774.92 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 27 850.28 ₴ listings: 18
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
Factory New
50 090.39 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)net 43556.86 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 710.95 ₴ (you get 18 009.52)) · buy orders: 79 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 789.56 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 506.10 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 16 890.87 ₴ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 18 748.19 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 18 205.08 ₴ listings: 13
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
Factory New
17 674.63 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)net 15369.24 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 281.70 ₴ (you get 8 071.04)) · buy orders: 164 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 432.82 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 535.99 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 8 838.62 ₴ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 10 083.27 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 397.88 ₴ listings: 12
in profit
★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
Factory New
47 955.26 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New)net 41700.23 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 33 011.56 ₴ (you get 28 705.70)) · buy orders: 117 sell on Market.CSGO: 30 517.55 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 33 462.22 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 24 910.81 ₴ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 28 808.56 ₴ listings: 9
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
Factory New
90 475.59 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)net 88666.07 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 90 475.59 ₴ listings 19 · you get 88 666.07 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 53 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 90 475.59 ₴ listings: 19 on CS.Money: ~ 90 770.03 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 85 402.31 ₴ listings: 15
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
Factory New
44 842.48 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New)net 38993.46 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 539.34 ₴ (you get 16 121.16)) · buy orders: 107 sell on Market.CSGO: 22 480.24 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 24 649.40 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 18 402.58 ₴ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 19 153.04 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 21 944.85 ₴ listings: 23
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
Factory New
25 572.40 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)net 25060.95 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 25 572.40 ₴ listings 16 · you get 25 060.95 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 35 706.78 ₴ (you get 31 049.37)) · buy orders: 142 sell on Market.CSGO: 27 981.78 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 30 681.78 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 25 572.40 ₴ listings: 16 on CS.Money: ~ 27 909.08 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 25 994.76 ₴ listings: 10
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
Factory New
51 168.14 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)net 50144.77 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 51 168.14 ₴ listings 9 · you get 50 144.77 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 51 168.14 ₴ listings: 9 on CS.Money: ~ 53 374.20 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 50 416.32 ₴ listings: 24
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
Factory New
44 539.48 ₴ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)net 42312.51 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 44 539.48 ₴ listings 5 · you get 42 312.51 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 40 260.94 ₴ (you get 35 009.51)) · buy orders: 63 sell on Market.CSGO: 40 620.01 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 44 539.48 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 43 563.83 ₴ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 40 204.69 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 38 713.18 ₴ listings: 22
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
Factory New
66 276.20 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 64950.68 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 66 276.20 ₴ listings 6 · you get 64 950.68 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 27 sell on Market.CSGO: 71 132.48 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 77 996.15 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 66 276.20 ₴ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 70 099.00 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 64 858.76 ₴ listings: 23
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
Factory New
44 539.48 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)net 38729.98 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 29 569.25 ₴ (you get 25 712.39)) · buy orders: 70 sell on Market.CSGO: 26 921.23 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 29 518.89 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 26 311.65 ₴ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 28 157.73 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 25 035.13 ₴ listings: 21
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
Factory New
52 398.86 ₴ 4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)net 49778.92 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on Market.CSGO from 52 398.86 ₴ listings 7 · you get 49 778.92 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 55 078.39 ₴ (you get 47 894.25)) · buy orders: 47 sell on Market.CSGO: 47 787.76 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 52 398.86 · lots 7 CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 45 766.76 ₴ listings: 32
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
Factory New
42 040.01 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)net 41199.21 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 42 040.01 ₴ listings 10 · you get 41 199.21 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 55 930.20 ₴ (you get 48 634.95)) · buy orders: 74 sell on Market.CSGO: 47 702.71 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 52 305.60 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 42 040.01 ₴ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 45 031.55 ₴ listings: 19
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
Factory New
28 678.85 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)net 28105.27 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 28 678.85 ₴ listings 5 · you get 28 105.27 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 42 500.20 ₴ (you get 36 956.69)) · buy orders: 89 sell on Market.CSGO: 32 664.20 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 35 816.01 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 28 678.85 ₴ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 31 746.24 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 30 716.14 ₴ listings: 22
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
Factory New
121 195.77 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)net 118771.85 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 121 195.77 ₴ listings 14 · you get 118 771.85 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 94 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 121 195.77 ₴ listings: 14 on CS.Money: ~ 127 469.70 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 120 756.35 ₴ listings: 16
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
Factory New
112 210.83 ₴ 4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)net 109966.61 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 112 210.83 ₴ listings 3 · you get 109 966.61 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 89 470.38 ₴ (you get 77 800.33)) · buy orders: 78 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 112 210.83 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 130 342.75 ₴ listings: 22
at a loss
worst
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
Factory New
8 632.53 ₴ 4.17%
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Factory New)net 7506.54 you get 0.070000 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 858.18 ₴ (you get 6 833.19)) · buy orders: 127 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 891.56 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 556.54 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 7 854.76 ₴ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 7 572.43 ₴ listings: 24
in profit
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
Factory New
44 310.44 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New)net 38530.82 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 462.66 ₴ (you get 23 011.01)) · buy orders: 166 sell on Market.CSGO: 26 348.43 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 28 890.83 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 26 885.71 ₴ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 28 103.43 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 25 231.28 ₴ listings: 22
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
Factory New
13 702.96 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)net 11915.62 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 435.77 ₴ (you get 9 944.15)) · buy orders: 148 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 636.43 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 759.25 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 11 945.97 ₴ listings: 10 on Lis-Skins: from 11 917.24 ₴ listings: 14
at a loss
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
Factory New
19 645.00 ₴ 4.17%
price without deals
Steam ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Factory New)net 17082.60 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 15 744.41 ₴ (you get 13 690.79)) · buy orders: 121 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 11 445.50 ₴ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 12 719.32 ₴ Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
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