Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753791 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +49 694.55₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 113 239.35₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 162 933.90₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +43.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -105 132.27 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +154 826.82 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 320 153.78₴ · profit at most −157 219.88₴ (at most -49.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) × 45 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 94075.79 → 272819.80 ₴
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 5 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 19163.56 → 47333.98 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −113 239 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −113 239 ₴: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New), ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) and 6 more
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -105 132.27 ₴.
The gain is understated. 3 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 23.1% of the probability.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
+49 694.55 ₴ +43.9% chance of profit 0%
expensive: ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) · 27 124.82 ₴ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −113 239 ₴ profit only from resale Outcome alone -105132, selling intermediates +154827. Sale money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away. no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 9× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+563.48 ₴ +15.8% chance of profit 67%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) · 4 831.68 ₴ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 557 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 5× StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0770
  • 5× StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0061
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+13 227.36 ₴ +58.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) · 67 183.14 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −22 648 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0766
  • 1× StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0058

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×45
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0766
94 075.79 ₴
at 2 090.57
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076693f′ (normalized) 0.076693wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0058
19 163.56 ₴
at 3 832.71
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005856f′ (normalized) 0.009760wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 36 · from 7 207.53 ₴ (float 0.0049) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 5 252.42 ₴.

Set · 50 pcs 113 239.35 ₴ +49 694.55 (+43.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.005600, 0.027500, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.111800, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector
Factory New
77 260.61 ₴ 50%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)+61 930.73 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0700
craft on
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
5 252.42 ₴ 50%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)fetches 4 567.32, no more than the replacement you get 0.0448
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 77%
  • Above the Steam cap 23%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
14 139.97 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 12295.63 you get 0.005600
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 770.98 ₴ (you get 10 235.63)) · buy orders: 426 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 085.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 12 155.18 · lots 3 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 10 932.92 ₴ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 11 248.01 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 11 128.17 ₴ listings: 9
at a loss
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
31 193.54 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 27124.82 you get 0.027500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 091.41 ₴ (you get 12 253.39)) · buy orders: 222 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 633.86 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 19 335.37 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 16 701.01 ₴ listings: 6 on Lis-Skins: from 20 385.12 ₴ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
24 103.72 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 20959.76 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 238.11 ₴ (you get 8 033.14)) · buy orders: 41 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New) you get 0.070000 sell now to a buy order: 7 859.68 ₴ (you get 6 834.50)) · buy orders: 53 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Minimal Wear
5 049.89 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)net 4391.21 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 166.72 ₴ (you get 2 753.67)) · buy orders: 129 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Minimal Wear
6 287.92 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 5467.76 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 562.56 ₴ (you get 3 097.88)) · buy orders: 82 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 485.90 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 822.26 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 6 193.59 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 3 530.60 ₴ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Minimal Wear
13 099.32 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 11390.72 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 147.92 ₴ (you get 7 954.71)) · buy orders: 115 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 458.51 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 274.69 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 7 854.76 ₴ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 8 326.94 ₴ listings: 6
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Minimal Wear
9 433.50 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)net 8203.04 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 911.16 ₴ (you get 6 009.71)) · buy orders: 84 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 9 848.52 ₴ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Minimal Wear
6 817.01 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 5927.84 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 181.87 ₴ (you get 3 636.41)) · buy orders: 97 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Minimal Wear
4 342.58 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 3776.16 you get 0.111800
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 3 365.87 ₴ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Minimal Wear
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) you get 0.111800 sell now to a buy order: 4 610.28 ₴ (you get 4 008.94)) · buy orders: 64 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 2 lots — too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 3 908.08 ₴ Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
6 733.42 ₴ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 5855.14
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 811.84 ₴ (you get 5 053.77)) · buy orders: 193 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 4 946.25 ₴ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 6 301.76 ₴ listings: 29
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